Posted: February 22, 2019 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Climate science, Climategate, Climatism, CO2, Empirical Evidence, Failed Climate Models, Fossil Fuels, Global Temperature, Green New Deal, Satellite Data, State Of The Climate, The Pause | Tags: "The Pause", Climate Change, Climate science, Climategate, coal, Fossil Fuels, Fukushima, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Global Warming Hiatus, Green New Deal, HELE, Japan, Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), JMA, Prime Minister Shinzō Abe, Satellite Data, Ultra-Supercritical Coal Power Plant, Vijay Jayaraj, warming pause |
Sushi, Sake, and Coal: Japan’s Peculiar Response to the Climate Conundrum » BarbWire
“The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming
at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.”
– Kevin Trenberth, National Center For Atmospheric Research, USA (2009)
“Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the
tropical troposphere … This is just downright dangerous.”
– Peter Thorne, Hadley Centre, Met Office, UK (2007)
***
THE Japanese government has identified and acknowledged the current ~20 year-long global warming “pause” or “hiatus”. The (inconvenient) atmospheric phenomenon that has been the subject of much research and debate in peer-reviewed scientific journals for many years now.
BASED on data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), the government has justified the expansion of its global-leading, ultra-supercritical HELE coal-fired power plant technology both domestically and abroad.
PRIME MINISTER Abe has sanctioned the addition of 35 new coal power plants to the 100 currently operational.
“Japan’s use of coal is not justified exclusively on the basis of the country’s nuclear debacle. The heart of the reason is Japan’s climate.
For the past three decades, there has been no significant warming in its major cities.”
*
CLIMATE Scientist Vijay Jayaraj reports (Climatism attachments, bolds added) :
Sushi, Sake, and Coal: Japan’s Peculiar Response to the Climate Conundrum
We all know that the Japanese love their sushi. Japan is also famous for sake, a rice wine unique to the country. Lately, the Japanese have shown unrestrained love for a commodity that is increasingly demonized by climate groups: coal.
Global warming alarmists blame coal for causing dangerous global warming. But the Japanese beg to differ. They have revived their love affair with coal. Why? That’s an interesting story.
Soon after the Fukushima nuclear incident, public sentiment towards nuclear energy became hostile. Many organizations, including foreign non-profits, called for the closure of nuclear plants on fears of future mishaps.
The Fukushima plant was outdated and less safe than Japan’s other, modern nuclear plants. Yet, the impact of the Fukushima disaster (in which no one died from radiation exposure) remains fresh in people’s minds, and the nation was not ready to defend the operations of other nuclear plants.
The Japanese government caved in to the pressure and closed many nuclear plants. By 27 March 2012, Japan had only one out of 54 nuclear reactors operating. As a result, the country was forced to seek alternative sources of energy generation.
The Japanese understood that renewable sources like wind and solar could not provide stable and affordable electricity, at least not in the magnitude necessary to meet peak energy demands of Japan’s power-guzzling cities.
The most economical and safe solution was coal. Contrary to popular belief and the mainstream media, coal is not as polluting as you might think.
Moreover, coal is a tried and tested source of energy, guaranteeing superior-quality, stable output to meet the energy demands of modern cities and industries.
With the development of “clean coal technology,” coal combustion now results in fewer contaminants and more energy, making it far superior to the combustion plants of previous decades.
HELE (High Energy Low Emissions) Ultra-Supercritical Coal Power Plant
So, Japan went against the tide and embraced coal with both arms.
It now employs the most advanced and safest coal combustion technology available on the planet, becoming a leading manufacturer and exporter of clean coal technology.
But Japan’s use of coal is not justified exclusively on the basis of the country’s nuclear debacle. The heart of the reason is Japan’s climate.
For the past three decades, there has been no significant warming in its major cities.
Data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) clearly indicates that there has been no significant deviation in the monthly average temperature between 1998 and 2018. The period between is of special importance to the Japanese government.
As per the climate doomsday theorists, temperatures should have displayed a strong warming trend as the manmade carbon dioxide emissions increased exponentially.
But the temperature levels failed to display any warming trend. That flies in the face of the notion that atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration levels control temperature over the island nation—or, for that matter, the world.
Last week, Sapporo recorded its coldest day in 40 years. In fact, winter in Japan had no warming trend from 1986 to 2018, with the January monthly mean temperature anomalies displaying a cooling trend. If anything, there has been a cooling trend in Japan between 1998 and 2018.
So, the reason for Japanese embrace of coal is pretty clear: no significant warming, coupled with the post-Fukushima anti-nuclear hysteria.
No country would want to reduce its emissions when its monthly average temperatures are actually decreasing. It is for this reason that Japanese Prime Minister Shinzō Abe refuses to stay true to the hasty anti-coal commitments he made at the UN’s international climate summits.
Instead of discouraging the use of coal, Japan is increasing its dependency on coal. Abe has sanctioned the addition of 35 new coal power plants to the 100 currently operational. The country is also encouraging its Asian neighbors and other developing countries to purchase its clean coal technology.
The Japanese response to the anti-coal establishment, besides being bold, accurately reflects climate reality. Japan understands the need to prioritize the domestic energy needs over faulty, pseudo-scientific forecasts of climate doom.
The lack of warming, however, is not limited to Japan. Satellite temperature measurements (between 1979 and January 2019) show no significant warming in the earth’s atmosphere during the past 19 years.
Other countries should emulate Japan’s example, especially in the developing world. Domestic energy needs are far too important to be slain on the altar of global warming hysteria.
Sushi, Sake, and Coal: Japan’s Peculiar Response to the Climate Conundrum » BarbWire
Vijay Jayaraj (M.Sc., Environmental Science, University of East Anglia, England), is Research Associate for and Contributor for Developing Countries, for the Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation. He lives in Chennai, India.
FOLLOW Vijay on Twitter : @vjxxvj
***
REFRESHING to see government energy policy being driven by empirical evidence and real-world data, and NOT by fear, hysteria, mainstream media climate change advocacy and alarmism or politically-driven, CO2-centric, UN IPCC climate models.
BRAVO Japan for standing up to the climate groupthink bullies and misanthropic eco-activists. Instead, supporting their industry and citizens by providing them with cheap, abundant and clean (HELE) coal-fired power technology to advance and maintain their world-renowned pristine environment, civic cleanliness, health and wealth!
“The Japanese response to the anti-coal establishment, besides being bold, accurately reflects climate reality. Japan understands the need to prioritize the domestic energy needs over faulty, pseudo-scientific forecasts of climate doom.”
***
PIC of Kinkaku-ji Palace Kyoto from my recent family trip to ‘pristine’ HELE powered Japan!
IF you haven’t been to Japan – GO! Incredible people, culture and country…
Jamie Japan Trip – Kinkaku-ji Royal Palace Kyoto – Jan 2019 (iPhone 8 – No filter!)
•••
SEE also :
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Posted: July 11, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate science, Empirical Evidence, Global Cooling, Oceans, Satellite Data, Uncategorized | Tags: Climate Change, Cooling, failed climate models, global cooling, Global Warming, Grand Solar Minimum, MSU, Oceans, Satellite Data, science, Science and Environment, Sea Surface Temperatures, SST, UAH |
CURRENT ocean air temps the same as 1995 and declining. Definitely not what the climate models, nor ‘experts’ predicted! Ouch.
Science Matters
Presently sea surface temperatures (SST) are the best available indicator of heat content gained or lost from earth’s climate system. Enthalpy is the thermodynamic term for total heat content in a system, and humidity differences in air parcels affect enthalpy. Measuring water temperature directly avoids distorted impressions from air measurements. In addition, ocean covers 71% of the planet surface and thus dominates surface temperature estimates. Eventually we will likely have reliable means of recording water temperatures at depth.
Recently, Dr. Ole Humlum reported from his research that air temperatures lag 2-3 months behind changes in SST. He also observed that changes in CO2 atmospheric concentrations lag behind SST by 11-12 months. This latter point is addressed in a previous post Who to Blame for Rising CO2?
The June update to HadSST3 will appear later this month, but in the meantime we can look at lower troposphere temperatures (TLT) from UAHv6…
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Posted: June 20, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Australia, Carbon Dioxide, Climatism, CO2, Empirical Evidence, Fact Check, Global Temperature, Global Warming Stasis, Satellite Data, The Pause, UAH, UHI | Tags: "The Pause", Australia, carbon dioxide emissions, climate, Climate Change, Climatism, CO2 Sensitivity, ECS, GHCN, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Global Warming Hiatus, nasa, nature, NOAA, Satellite Data, science, UAH satellite data, UHI, Urban Heat Island effect |
NASA’s MSU satellite measurement systems, generate the RSS and UAH datasets, which measure the average temperature of every cubic inch of the lower atmosphere (0-10 kms), which happens to be the exact place where anthropogenic global warming is meant to occur, according to anthropogenic global warming theory.
AUS MAY TEMPS -0.4C BELOW AVERAGE
UAH temperature anomaly for May was almost half a degree centigrade (-0.4C) below the 4o year average!
AUSTRALIA Lower Troposheric Temperature Anomaly 1978-2018
SATELLITES have the obvious benefit of measuring only the atmosphere and the effect that carbon dioxide emissions may be having on the atmosphere. Satellite data is not polluted by UHI (Urban Heat Island effect) – artificial heat generated from city infrastructure; asphalt carparks, airpots, highways, AC vents etc.
TONY Heller did a survey of the ten oldest stations in New South Wales And Victoria, circled below. Three rural stations were not included because of obvious problems with the data, but none showed any warming:
The two urban stations at Melbourne and Sydney both showed strong warming, and both have disastrously poor siting of their thermometers in the middle of large cities.
Melbourne Temperature Anomaly
Sydney Temperature Anomaly
By contrast, all of the rural stations show a long term cooling trend, with some recent warming. (Note that there is no data for the most recent years with some of the rural stations.)
Bathurst Temperature Anomaly
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Posted: May 16, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate Change, Climate History, Failed Climate Models, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Green Agenda, Hockey Stick, Satellite Data | Tags: climate, Climate Change, Climate science, Climatism, Earth Sciences, environment, global cooling, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Green Agenda, Hockey Stick Fraud, natural variation, nature, Satellite Data |
“DURING 2017, there were 150 graphs from 122 scientific papers published in peer-reviewed journals indicating modern temperatures are not unprecedented, unusual, or hockey-stick-shaped —nor so they fall outside the range of natural variability…”
OBAMA was right when he hashtagged #ScienceSaysSo!
American Elephants
You have heard the wailing and screaming about President Trump’s exit from the Paris Climate Accords, but do you understand that the agreement, never ratified by the U.S. government (NOT a treaty) accomplished nothing at all to modify or change the climate. The climate of the earth has been changing mildly for millions of years, and there is no unprecedented Global-Scale modern warming. The “Accords” were designed to transfer large amounts of wealth from the rich nations to the poor nations, ostensibly to allow them to save themselves from that non-existent unprecedented warming.
There are two kinds of climate science that we are dealing with. One is based on satellite measurements and thermometer readings and recorded history. The other is based on computer programs, based, I believe on computer programs that were designed to forecast what the financial markets were going to do. They took what they knew about the…
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Posted: March 21, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmist media, Antarctic, Antarctica, Arctic, Climate science, Climatism, Empirical Evidence, Fact Check, Fake News, Global Temperature, Greenland, Oceans, Satellite Data | Tags: Antarctica, arctic, CAGW, climate, Climate Change, DMI, El Nino, empirical data, Fact Check, Fake News, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Greenland, Mainstream media, NOAA, Satellite Data, Science and Environment, Sea surface temps, UAH satellite data |
LATEST data of common climate metrics that are misreported or omitted by the mainstream media because the actual reported *data* simply doesn’t cooperate with their catastrophic global warming narrative…
ARCTIC
THE Arctic still hasn’t melted away as climate zealots prophesied. The “disappearing” ice continues to grow with volume the highest in several years:
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Posted: March 2, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate Fraud, Climate models, Climatism, Data Tampering, Gavin Schmidt, Global Temperature, Global Warming Stasis, Govt Climate Agenda, Hockey Stick, NASA, NOAA, Satellite Data, The Pause, UAH | Tags: "The Pause", Carl Mears, Climate Change, climate fraud, Climate science, Data Fraud, Data Sets, Data Tampering, Dr Roy Spencer, Earth Sciences, Gavin Schmidt, GISS, GISTEMP, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Global Warming "Pause", Global Warming Hiatus, John Christy, RSS, Satellite Data, UAH |
UAH Global Temperature Update for February, 2018: +0.20 deg. C « Roy Spencer, PhD
GLOBAL temps continue their cooling trend, rebounding off the 2015/16 Super El Niño – the strongest since accurate measurements began, caused by surface waters in the Pacific Ocean, west of Central America rising up to 3C warmer than usual.
THE latest UAH V6.0 February anomaly of +0.20 brings temperatures back to the levels they were at after the 1998 El Niño.
UAH Feb data and results here…
*
MEASURING GLOBAL TEMPERATURES – Satellites Vs Thermometers? Read the rest of this entry »
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Posted: April 5, 2017 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate science, Empirical Evidence, Fact Check, Hot Spot | Tags: AGW falsified, Climate Change, Climate Congressional Enquiry, Climate science, Global Warming, John Christy, Satellite Data, science, Scientific Method, The Hot Spot, The Missing Hot Spot, US Senate Testimony |
“One of the key predicted observations of anthropogenic CO2 climate theory is the existence of an equatorial tropospheric hotspot.
“But nobody has yet managed to unequivocally detect that predicted hotspot.”
IMO, one of the most important pieces of the “global warming” aka “climate change” aka “climate disruption” debate … the missing ‘Hot-Spot’.
Dr David Evans wrote an excellent piece on the missing “hot spot” back in 2008:
“No Smoking Hot Spot”
(The Australian)
https://climatism.wordpress.com/2014/01/28/the-missing-hot-spot/
—–
“No amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me wrong.” – Albert Einstein
Watts Up With That?
German garden gnome. By Colibri1968 at English Wikipedia (Transferred from en.wikipedia to Commons.) [Public domain], via Wikimedia CommonsGuest essay by Eric Worrall
One thing which struck me about the recent climate science hearing is how little attention was paid to Dr. John Christy’s demonstration of a flawed climate model prediction – the missing Tropospheric hotspot.
A flawed prediction does not automatically mean the models are totally wrong – but it is a strong indicator that something isn’t right.
Consider the primary observation. The world has warmed since the mid 1850s, and for the sake of argument lets assume that the world has warmed since the mid 1930s.
Given that warming, you could propose a number of different theories for the cause of that warming, for example;
1. Chaotic shifts in ocean currents or solar influences have influenced global temperature.
2. Anthropogenic CO2 emissions have caused global temperature to rise
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Posted: September 8, 2016 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate Fraud, Climatism, Data Tampering, Empirical Evidence, Environmentalists, Fact Check, Gavin Schmidt, Global Temperature, Govt Climate Agenda, Green Agenda, Satellite Data, Scientific Fraud, UAH | Tags: Climate Change Scam, climate fraud, Data Fraud, Data Tampering, Fact Check, Gavin Schmidt, Global Warming, nasa, NOAA, RSS Satellite Data, Satellite Data, UAH satellite data, UHI |
“I believe it is appropriate to have an ‘over-representation’ of the facts
on how dangerous it is, as a predicate for opening up the audience.”
– Al Gore,
Climate Change activist
“No matter if the science of global warming is all phony…
climate change provides the greatest opportunity to
bring about justice and equality in the world.”
– Christine Stewart,
former Canadian Minister of the Environment
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation
“The Earth has cancer
and the cancer is Man.”
– Club of Rome,
premier environmental think-tank,
consultants to the United Nations
Global Warming activists routinely parrot the infamous “Hottest Year Ever” meme.
However, this depends entirely on which temperature data set is cited:
NASA’s ‘GISS’ temp uses land and ocean-based thermometers which measure “different parts of the system [UHI affected parking lots, asphalt heat sinks, AC exhaust air vents], different signal to noise ratio [we bias toward warm stations], different structural uncertainty [we ‘homogenise’ our data set to cool the past and warm the present to fit the global warming narrative].” – NASA GISS Gavin Schmidt’s admission about the satellite record versus the surface temperature record (square bracket add-ons by Climatism)
Then there are the much more accurate and comprehensive satellite measurement systems, RSS/UAH, which measure 24/7 the average temperature of every cubic inch of the lower troposphere – the exact place where global warming is meant to occur, according to the theory.
There is a growing divergence between NASA’s (land-based) GISS temp and RSS (lower troposphere) satellite temps since 2000:
Gavin’s New Site | Real Science
The growing divergence between NASA’s GISS and RSS satellite data sets, since 2000, didn’t used to be so stark.
So why the obvious temp divergence, post 2000, after near exact correlation from 1979?
Before 2016 El Niño :
Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs
Current RSS v GISS :
Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs
Tony Heller of Real Climate Science, amongst many other heroic climate realists, have spent thousands of unpaid hours explaining why NASA’s data set has been corrupted by 1. UHI and 2. ‘Cooling the past and warming the present.'(data manipulation) to fit the global warming narrative.
UHI (Urban Heat Island effect):
All Warming In NSW And Victoria Is Due To UHI
Posted on October 11, 2014 by stevengoddard
I did a survey of the ten oldest stations in New South Wales And Victoria, circled below. Three rural stations were not included because of obvious problems with the data, but none showed any warming.
MELBOURNE REGIONAL OFFICE ASN00086071
DENILIQUIN (WILKINSON ST) ASN00074128
BATHURST GAOL ASN00063004
SYDNEY (OBSERVATORY HILL) ASN00066062
CAPE OTWAY LIGHTHOUSE GSN ASN00090015
BOURKE POST OFFICE ASN00048013
WAGGA WAGGA (KOORINGAL) ASN00072151
FORBES (CAMP STREET) ASN00065016
INVERELL COMPARISON ASN00056017
GUNNEDAH POOL ASN00055023
The two urban stations at Melbourne and Sydney both showed strong warming, and both have disastrously poor siting of their thermometers in the middle of large cities.
By contrast, all of the rural stations show a long term cooling trend, with some recent warming. (Note that there is no data for the most recent years with some of the rural stations.)
The only conclusion which can be derived from this is that Australia has not warmed long-term, and that BOM claims of record temperatures are due to UHI and/or data tampering.
For all GHCN stations in Australia, there is no net warming since 1880
RSS shows no warming in Australia on average since 1979 :
RSS Shows No Warming In Australia | Climatism
Satellites temperature measurement systems, UAH/RSS, are not polluted with asphalt, car parks, AC exhausts or human development, which is probably why they show no statistically significant global warming, at all, for nearly two decades :
LATEST GLOBAL TEMPS – UAH SATELLITE – ROY SPENCER – Latest Global Temps « Roy Spencer, PhD
Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs
UPDATE April, 2 2017
Current RSS Satellite temp data…
(Note record temp drop post 2016 El nino. Confirmed by UK Met office.)
Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs
On the other hand, NASA’s climate change activist-in-chief, Gavin Schmidt’s GISS temp measures; asphalt, car parks, AC exhausts and human development :
From WUWT :
From the “global warming data looks better with heat-sinks and air conditioners” department.
Dr. Mark Albright, of the University of Washington writes:
Here is a great example of how NOT to measure the climate! On our way back to Tucson from Phoenix on Monday we stopped by to see the Picacho 8 SE coop site at Picacho Peak State Park. Note the white MMTS temperature monitor 1/3 of the way in from the left. The building is surrounded by the natural terrain of the Sonoran Desert, but instead the worst possible site adjacent to the paved road and SW facing brick wall was chosen in 2009 as the location to monitor temperature.
Here is a view looking Northeast:
For an aerial view in google maps:
https://www.google.com/maps/place/32°38’45.9%22N+111°24’06.9%22W/@32.6461088,-111.4018201,111m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m2!3m1!1s0x0:0x0?hl=en
The NCEI HOMR metadata repository tells us:
COMPATABLE EQUIPMENT MOVE 55 FEET DUE WEST. EQUIPMENT MOVED 05/06/2009. (that is when the new state park visitor center was built)
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/homr/#ncdcstnid=20001376&tab=MISC
Additional photos:
Note the air conditioner heat exchangers within a few feet of the MMTS sensor:
Picacho 8 SE has it all: brick building, parking lot, road, and air conditioner heat exchangers within a few feet of the MMTS sensor.
This one takes the cake, and I think it is worse than our former worst-case USHCN station (now closed) located in a parking lot in Tucson at the University of Arizona:
•••
And here’s the resulting UHI-polluted graph from NASA :
Data.GISS: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis: Analysis Graphs and Plots
•••
Outside of how to accurately measure the earth’s atmosphere to detect the supposed anthropogenic global warming signal, there is a mountain of damning evidence relating to the fraudulent tampering of the global temperature record by climate activist government agencies – NASA and NOAA.
I highly recommend visiting Tony Heller’s site “Real Climate Science” for a comprehensive understanding of the blatant manipulation of NASA’s GISS temp data set to fit the global warming narrative.
Some examples via Tony Heller of NASA ‘cooling the past and warming the present’:
NASA has massively altered their global temperature data over the past 15 years, to double global warming:
A Closer Look At GISS Temperature Fraud | Real Science
The animated image below shows the changes which Dr. Hansen made to the historical US temperature record after the year 1999. He cooled the 1930s, and warmed the 1980s and 1990s. The year 1998 went from being more than half a degree cooler than 1934, to warmer than 1934:
Spectacularly Poor Climate Science At NASA | Real Science
NASA didn’t like the 1940’s warmth in Iceland, so they simply erased it:
The Arctic warming from 1910 to 1940 completely wrecks the alarmist’s story. Fortunately for them, they control the NASA and NOAA data and can tamper with it any way they want to produce data which matches their theory.
They are constantly cooling the past in Iceland, with their latest handiwork shown below.
Original version : Data.GISS: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis
Most recent tampering : Data.GISS: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis
What they can’t tamper with is the written record of eyewitnesses.
18 Feb 1952 – POLAR ICE THAW INCREASING GLACIERS SAID TO [?] M…
31 May 1947 – TEMPERATURES RISING IN ARCTIC REGION LOS ANGELES…
Latest GISS Data Tampering In Iceland | Real Science
•••
See also :
- Met Office Data Confirms Record Drop Of Global Temperatures | Climatism
Related :
- All Warming In NSW And Victoria Is Due To UHI | Climatism
- It Is All UHI In NSW | Climatism
- Measuring global temperatures: Satellites or thermometers? CFACT
- How not to measure temperature (or climate change) #96 | Climatism
- Gavin’s admission about the satellite record versus the surface temperature record | Climatism
- Shock News : “Heat Island Effect” Warms Temperature Data | Climatism
NASA Data Fraud Related :
- Another View Of NASA Temperature Data Tampering | Climatism
- GISS Data Tampering – Worse Than You Thought | Real Science
- GISS/NOAA/CRU Climate Fraud Update | Real Science
- Smoking Gun That The Temperature Record Is Fraudulent | Real Science
- Man Made Global Warming Is A Complete Fraud | Real Science
- NASA Massively Tampering With The US Temperature Record | Real Science
- NASA’s Quest To Erase The Warm 1930′s | Climatism
- Spectacularly Poor Climate Science At NASA
- Data Tampering At USHCN/GISS
- Thermometer Magic
- EPA Throws Their Hat Into The Temperature Fraud Arena
Australia Massaged Adjustment / UHI Related :
- Threat of ANAO Audit means Australia’s BOM throws out temperature set, starts again « JoNova
- UAH – How Angry Was Summer? | kenskingdom
- Samuel’s Blog » Bureau overheat figures by 4 degrees! (2013 was not Australia’s hottest year on record)
- Jennifer Marohasy » Open Letter Requesting Verification of 2013 Temperature Record
- Australia’s record hottest 12 month period? Junk science say the Satellites | Climatism
- RSS Shows No Warming In Australia | Climatism
- Oh Wait! Bricks and mortar will create warmer nights (weren’t we supposed to blame CO2 for that?) « JoNova
- MUST READ The Urban Heat Island effect: Could Africa be more affected than the US? « JoNova
- Is there any unmassaged data out there? « JoNova
- Australian warming trend adjusted UP by 40% « JoNova
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Posted: December 7, 2015 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Climate Change, Climate Fraud, Climatism, COP21, Data Tampering, Empirical Evidence, Fact Check, Global Temperature, NASA, Satellite Data, UAH | Tags: Alarmism debunked, Climate Change, COP21, Data Fraud, Data Tampering, Dr Roy Spencer, Empirical Evidence, GISS, Global Temperature, Global Warming "Pause", RSS Satellite Data, Satellite Data, UAH |
Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.
“It is a blatant lie put forth in the media that makes it seem there is only a fringe of
scientists who don’t buy into anthropogenic global warming.” – U.S Government
Atmospheric Scientist Stanley B. Goldenberg of the Hurricane Research Division of
NOAA.
“The whole climate change issue is about to fall apart — Heads will roll!” – South African UN Scientist Dr. Will Alexander, April 12, 2009
“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.
•••
Dr Roy Spencer, former senior scientist for Climate studies at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center, and current principal research scientist for the University of Alabama in Huntsville, reports that 2015 will not be “The Hottest Year Ever” despite a strong El Niño …. and even stronger hot-air from the climate alarm industry.
2015 will be the 3rd Warmest Year in the Satellite Record
December 3rd, 2015
Way back in June, John Christy and I called 2015 as being the warmest year on record…in the surface thermometer data. Given the strong El Nino in progress, on top of the official thermometer data warming trend, this seemed pretty obvious.
Of course, everyone has their opinions regarding how good the thermometer temperature trends are, with periodic adjustments that almost always make the present warmer or the past colder.
But I’m not going there today…
Instead, I’m going to talk about our only truly global dataset: the satellite data. With the November 2015 data now in, it’s pretty clear that in our UAH analysis 2015 will only be the 3rd warmest year since the satellite record began in 1979. Based upon my calculations, this will be true no matter what happens in December (barring Armageddon).
Here are the yearly rankings, for which I assumed the December 2015 anomaly will be +0.40 C (click for full-size):
The years are displayed with the warmest on the left, and the coldest on the right. The color coding and arrows have to do with El Nino years…
Read on …
2015 will be the 3rd Warmest Year in the Satellite Record « Roy Spencer, PhD
•••
UAH and RSS
With the ever increasing divergence of surface temperatures (NASA GISS) from satellite ones (UAH/RSS), and the subsequent divergence of overheated climate models (IPCC CMIP5) to observed reality, it is worth some background on the atmospheric temperature measurement systems used to measure the temperature of the lower troposphere – the exact place where global warming theory is meant to occur and be measured :
Roy Spencer :
…if for no other reason than this: thermometers cannot measure global averages — only satellites can. The satellite instruments measure nearly every cubic kilometer – hell, every cubic inch — of the lower atmosphere on a daily basis. You can travel hundreds if not thousands of kilometers without finding a thermometer nearby.
The two main research groups tracking global lower-tropospheric temperatures (our UAH group, and the Remote Sensing Systems [RSS] group) show 2014 lagging significantly behind 2010 and especially 1998:
With only 3 months left in the year, there is no realistic way for 2014 to set a record in the satellite data.
Granted, the satellites are less good at sampling right near the poles, but compared to the very sparse data from the thermometer network we are in fat city coverage-wise with the satellite data.
In my opinion, though, a bigger problem than the spotty sampling of the thermometer data is the endless adjustment game applied to the thermometer data. The thermometer network is made up of a patchwork of non-research quality instruments that were never made to monitor long-term temperature changes to tenths or hundredths of a degree, and the huge data voids around the world are either ignored or in-filled with fictitious data.
Furthermore, land-based thermometers are placed where people live, and people build stuff, often replacing cooling vegetation with manmade structures that cause an artificial warming (urban heat island, UHI) effect right around the thermometer. The data adjustment processes in place cannot reliably remove the UHI effect because it can’t be distinguished from real global warming.
Satellite microwave radiometers, however, are equipped with laboratory-calibrated platinum resistance thermometers, which have demonstrated stability to thousandths of a degree over many years, and which are used to continuously calibrate the satellite instruments once every 8 seconds. The satellite measurements still have residual calibration effects that must be adjusted for, but these are usually on the order of hundredths of a degree, rather than tenths or whole degrees in the case of ground-based thermometers.
And, it is of continuing amusement to us that the global warming skeptic community now tracks the RSS satellite product rather than our UAH dataset. RSS was originally supposed to provide a quality check on our product (a worthy and necessary goal) and was heralded by the global warming alarmist community. But since RSS shows a slight cooling trend since the 1998 super El Nino, and the UAH dataset doesn’t, it is more referenced by the skeptic community now. Too funny.
In the meantime, the alarmists will continue to use the outdated, spotty, and heavily-massaged thermometer data to support their case. For a group that trumpets the high-tech climate modeling effort used to guide energy policy — models which have failed to forecast (or even hindcast!) the lack of warming in recent years — they sure do cling bitterly to whatever will support their case.
As British economist Ronald Coase once said, “If you torture the data long enough, it will confess to anything.”
So, why are the surface thermometer data used to the exclusion of our best technology — satellites — when tracking global temperatures? Because they better support the narrative of a dangerously warming planet.
Except, as the public can tell, the changes in global temperature aren’t even on their radar screen (sorry for the metaphor).
Why 2014 Won’t Be the Warmest Year on Record « Roy Spencer, PhD
•••
UPDATE
The temperature divergence, this century, between NASA GISS temp (land based) and RSS satellite data, is mind-blowing.
Looks like someone is adjusting the curve to fit the ‘global warming’ narrative. Gavin? Tom?
Paul Homewood from NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT :
Between 1979 and 2001, the RSS satellite data increased at virtually the same rate as GISS. Since then, there has been a massive divergence, with GISS claiming that the pace of increase has barely reduced from the earlier period.
In contrast RSS (and also UAH) confirm that, if anything, temperatures have been dropping.
Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs
It’s time to call the fraud squad in.
•••
Related :
- The robust Pause resists a robust el Niño Still no global warming at all for 18 years 9 months | Climatism
- RSS Continues To Diverge From GISS | Climatism
- The Pause draws blood – A new record Pause length: no warming for 18 years 7 months | Climatism
- Yes, there is a pause, and the Washington Post now admits it. UPDATE: But not Obama | Climatism
- 97% of climate models say that 97% of climate scientists are wrong | Climatism
- Biggest Fraud In History – Perpetrated By Tom Karl And Gavin Schmidt | Climatism
- Government Scientists Continue To Ramp Up Their Criminal Activity Ahead Of Paris | Climatism
Climate alarmist industry headlines “Hottest Year Ever” :
- 2015 Likely to Be Hottest Year Ever Recorded – The New York Times
- WMO: 2015 likely to be Warmest on Record, 2011-2015 Warmest Five Year Period | Media Centre
- U.N. Says 2015 Has Been Hottest Year On Record – Fortune
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Posted: December 6, 2015 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Gavin Schmidt, Global Cooling, Global Temperature, Global Warming Zealots, NASA, Satellite Data | Tags: Gavin Schmidt, GISS, global cooling, Global Temperature, nasa, RSS Satellite Data, Satellite Data, UAH satellite data |
Perhaps Gavin forgot to adjust-out the UHI effect of ‘hot-air’ belched from 40,000 climate warriors in Paris?
NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
By Paul Homewood
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei/
RSS figures for November are now out, and also show a small fall on October, as did UAH. The 12-month running average still refuses to go above earlier years, despite the strongest El Nino conditions since 1998.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei/
Although temperatures are likely to rise still further in the next few months, there is absolutely no way this year will come close to approaching either 1998 or even 2010.
Between 1979 and 2001, the RSS satellite data increased at virtually the same rate as GISS. Since then, there has been a massive divergence, with GISS claiming that the pace of increase has barely reduced from the earlier period.
In contrast RSS (and also UAH) confirm that, if anything, temperatures have been dropping.
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/rss/from:1979/plot/gistemp/from:1979/plot/rss/from:1979/to:2001/trend/plot/rss/from:2001/trend/plot/gistemp/from:1979/to:2001/trend/plot/gistemp/from:2001/trend
It’s time to call the fraud squad in.
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