Posted: December 15, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmist media, Alarmist Predictions, Climate Refugees, Climatism, Dud predictions, Propaganda, UN, UNEP | Tags: Alarmist Predictions, Climate Change, Climate Refugee, climate refugees, Climatism, COP24, Dud Predictions, Global Warming, Global Warming Alarmism, MSU, nasa, UAH, UN, UN Climate Refugees, UNEP, UNFCCC |
Climate Refugee Found | Climatism
Snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event.”
“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”
Dr David Viner – Senior scientist, climatic research unit (CRU)
“That snow outside is what
global warming looks like.”
George Monbiot – The Guardian
***
IN 2005, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) predicted that global warming climate change would create 50 million climate refugees by 2010. These people, it was said, would flee a range of disasters including sea level rise, increases in the numbers and severity of hurricanes, and disruption to food production.
SINCE then, not a single “climate refugee” has been found. In fact, the UN has since ‘disappeared’ the official climate refugee map from their UNEP website:
UN 50 Million Climate Refugees
ORIGINAL page cached :
Fifty million climate refugees by 2010 (cached page)
*
IT turns out that the disasters haven’t occurred and the population has been increasing in the areas targeted by the UN. Ooops!
AFTER Asian Correspondent posted the story on April 11th, it was picked up by news outlets around the world such as Investor News, American Spectator and was cited in the Australian newspaper.
*
CLIMATE REFUGEE FOUND?
COULD Kelly Bruton of St. John’s, Newfoundland be the U.N’s first official documented “climate refugee”?
SHE could prove them right, be the UN’s new climate pin-up garl! Even if her considered move is as a result of cold extremes, rather than from a ‘hot’ one. After all, it’s called “climate change” right? So, it needn’t matter which way the temp swings to qualify as a U.N. “climate refugee” …
East Coast woman considers ‘moving away’ after icy fall
CBC News | The Weather Network
Wednesday, December 12, 2018, 10:02 AM –As Kelly Bruton drives through St. John’s on the way to the hospital, she can’t help but cringe at the snow-covered sidewalks she passes along the way.
Almost three years ago, Bruton slipped and fell on an icy sidewalk in the downtown area. The pins that held her ankle together are coming out today.
“Just like Frankenstein,” Bruton said, rubbing her thumb over the metal that is protruding from her ankle bone.
(Kelly Bruton holds up her traction cleats. After her breaking her leg in three places, she isn’t taking any chances. (Meg Roberts/CBC)
Bruton said although she is feeling better, it’s been a hard couple of years. She had to take time off of work to heal. Then she faced anxiety for the next few winters while walking outside.
When she looks at the sidewalks after the city’s recent snowfall, she gets nervous for others.
“I’ve thought about moving away because I am not sure how things are going to go here in the winter times.… I like to be outside, so if you can’t walk to get your groceries, what are you going to do?”
(Bruton, who broke her leg after slipping on the ice, says the City of St. John’s needs to do something about its slippery sidewalks. (Submitted by Kelly Bruton)
Bruton continues to advocate for safer sidewalks on the Facebook page she created, called Winter Sidewalks in St. John’s, Newfoundland. She has also altered her daily routine, which includes taking a closer look at the weather and wearing spikes on her boots.
(St. John’s received a walloping of snow over the weekend with more snow predicted in the forecast. (Ted Dillion/CBC)
FULL Report >>
*
RECORD SNOWFALL
MEANWHILE, the snow that was to become “a very rare and exciting event” that your
“children just aren’t going to know what (snow) is” has just set a North American record for November coverage :
Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab
*
FAKE NEWS MEDIA
The CO2-centric, mainstream media insists that, “that snow outside is what global warming looks like.” :
*
BACK IN REALITY LAND
VETERAN meteorologist Barry Burbank explains the fake news furphy behind Moonbat and other warming alarmists claims that recent record snowfall is caused by ‘Global Warming’ :
“Interestingly, some scientists have stated that increasing snow is consistent with climate change because warmer air holds more moisture, more water vapor and this can result in more storms with heavy precipitation. The trick, of course, is having sufficient cold air to produce that snow. But note that 93% of the years with more than 60″ of snow in Boston were colder than average years. The reality is cooling, not warming, increases snowfall.”
Will The Snowiest Decade Continue? « CBS Boston
SNOW : Setting The Record Straight | Climatism
*
NASA satellites and HadCRUT temperature data sets confirm recent rapid global cooling :
NASA MSU Satellite Data :
Latest Global Temps « Roy Spencer, PhD
*
GLOBAL Temperature Drops By 0.4°C In Three Years (HadCRUT) :
••• Read the rest of this entry »
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Posted: October 3, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climatism, Failed Climate Models, Global Cooling, Global Temperature, Grand Solar Minimum, State Of The Climate | Tags: carbon dioxide emissions, Climate Change, Climate science, Climatism, CMIP5, CO2, COP24, ECS, El Nino, failed climate models, Gavin Schmidt, global cooling, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Grand Solar Minimum, La Niña, nasa, NASA GISS, nature, NOAA, RSS, UAH |
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
Fmr President of the UN Foundation
***
GLOBAL atmospheric temperatures continue their rapid decline off the record heights of the 2016 super El Niño, despite record and rising CO2 emissions.
UAH global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for September, 2018 was +0.14°C, down from +0.19°C in August:
UAH Global Temperature Update for September, 2018: +0.14 deg. C « Roy Spencer, PhD
Latest Global Average Tropospheric Temperatures
Since 1979, NOAA satellites have been carrying instruments which measure the natural microwave thermal emissions from oxygen in the atmosphere. The intensity of the signals these microwave radiometers measure at different microwave frequencies is directly proportional to the temperature of different, deep layers of the atmosphere. Every month, John Christy and I update global temperature datasets that represent the piecing together of the temperature data from a total of fifteen instruments flying on different satellites over the years. A discussion of the latest version (6.0) of the dataset is located here.
The graph above represents the latest update; updates are usually made within the first week of every month. Contrary to some reports, the satellite measurements are not calibrated in any way with the global surface-based thermometer records of temperature. They instead use their own on-board precision redundant platinum resistance thermometers (PRTs) calibrated to a laboratory reference standard before launch.
Latest Global Temps « Roy Spencer, PhD
*
THE September anomaly represents a 0.72°C drop since 2016 super El Niño heights, bringing temps down now to ~1988 levels.
DON’T expect the mainstream media to report in this anytime soon. They are only concerned about hot and climbing temperatures to push their global warming climate change agenda.
*
CO2 CONCENTRATION Vs TEMPS – Correlation?
CO2 Vs Temp Correlation 1979 – SEP 2018 – CLIMATISM
*
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS – You Be The Judge!
Satellites Vs Land-Based Thermometers?
Satellites Vs Thermometers?
SATELLITES
NASA’s MSU satellite measurement systems, generate the RSS and UAH datasets, which measure the average temperature of every cubic inch of the lower atmosphere, the exact place where global warming theory is meant to occur.
BEFORE 2016, UAH and RSS both tracked closely showing very little warming in their data sets which led to the identification and validation of “the pause” in global warming which has since become the subject of much research and debate in peer-reviewed scientific journals.
From the RSS website:
“The simulation as a whole are predicting too much warming” – RSS
Source: http://www.remss.com/research/climate Archived here – http://www.webcitation.org/6fiQcrQDQ
HOWEVER, by 2016, Carl Mears, who is the chief scientist for RSS (Remote Sensing Systems) and who has used the pejorative “denialist” in various correspondence, decided that “the pause” was not a good look for the global warming narrative so RSS was massively adjusted upwards, conveniently eliminating “the pause” in the RSS dataset.
MEARS’ objectivity towards the business of global temperature data collection and reporting can be found in his commentary on his website:
Source: http://www.remss.com/blog/recent-slowing-rise-global-temperatures Archived here: http://www.webcitation.org/6fiS2rI7k
MEARS then published a paper claiming that new and improved adjustments have “found” that missing warming.
Mears, C., and F. Wentz, 2016: Sensitivity of satellite-derived tropospheric
temperature trends to the diurnal cycle adjustment. J. Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLID-
15-0744.1, in press.
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0744.1?af=R
THE result…
Differences between the old version and new version of RSS:
Fig. 8. Comparison between RSS V3.3 global (80°S to 80°N) anomaly time series, and result from the V4.0 merging algorithm with different levels of adjustments applied.
(Data via WUWT)
*
UAH NASA SATELLITE (Featured)
UAH Global Temperature Update for September, 2018: +0.14 deg. C « Roy Spencer, PhD
UAH is the satellite data set featured in this post and is jointly run by Dr. John R. Christy – Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science and Director of the Earth System Science Center at The University of Alabama in Huntsville. And Roy Spencer Ph.D. Principal Research Scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville.
SPENCER commentary on the divergence between RSS and UAH post “adjustment”:
“We have a paper in peer review with extensive satellite dataset comparisons to many balloon datasets and reanalyses. These show that RSS diverges from these and from UAH, showing more warming than the other datasets between 1990 and 2002 – a key period with two older MSU sensors both of which showed signs of spurious warming not yet addressed by RSS. I suspect the next chapter in this saga is that the remaining radiosonde datasets that still do not show substantial warming will be the next to be “adjusted” upward.
The bottom line is that we still trust our methodology. But no satellite dataset is perfect, there are uncertainties in all of the adjustments, as well as legitimate differences of opinion regarding how they should be handled.
Also, as mentioned at the outset, both RSS and UAH lower tropospheric trends are considerably below the average trends from the climate models.
And that is the most important point to be made.”
Comments on the New RSS Lower Tropospheric Temperature Dataset « Roy Spencer, PhD
(Climatism bolds)
* Read the rest of this entry »
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Posted: September 2, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmist media, Climatism, Extreme Weather, Global Temperature, Heat Wave | Tags: Alarmism, Alarmist Media, Climate Change, Climate science, Climatism, Fake News, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Heatwave, Hottest Year Ever, Mainstream media, nature, science, Science and Environment, UAH |
Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.
“It is a blatant lie put forth in the media that makes it seem there is only a fringe of
scientists who don’t buy into anthropogenic global warming.” – U.S Government
Atmospheric Scientist Stanley B. Goldenberg of the Hurricane Research Division of
NOAA.
“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.
•••
LOWER troposphere global temperatures continue their decline off the 2015/16 Super El Niño highs.
AUGUST temps plunged off the July bump of +0.32 deg. C, cooling back to +0.19 deg. C above the long-term average.
THE August anomaly drop brings global temps back to 2002 levels…
UAH Global Temperature Update for August 2018: +0.19 deg. C « Roy Spencer, PhD
*
LUCKY BREAK!
AT the start of the month ‘Science Alert’ reported that “We’re Going to Die in Record Numbers as Heatwaves Bake The World…”
We’re Going to Die in Record Numbers as Heatwaves Bake The World, First Global Study Shows | Science Alert
*
A global wave of “Extreme Media” followed the purported “Global Heatwave” of late July/early August that had the climate ambulance chasing, global warming theory-obsessed media in hysterics…
Global heat wave could last for the next 4 years | NYPost
*
THE end is nigh!
Earth at risk of entering ‘hothouse_ state from which there is no return, scientists warn | The Independent
*
MET office climate scientist alarmist Peter Stott knows that science is about censorship, not debate…
Global heatwave – Climate change is no longer a two-way debate – Dr Peter Stott | Horizon – the EU Research & Innovation magazine | European Commission
*
HEATWAVES in summer – ‘Unprecedented’? Not…
UK weather – Will 2018 finally top the famous heatwave of 1976? | Daily Mail Online
*
2018 UK summer will not be hotter than 1976…
SEE : Hottest Summer Evah? Not According To CET. | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
*
SANITY AMONGST THE INSANITY…
GUNTER – The current heat wave? It’s summer not global warming | Toronto Sun
It’s hot in lots of places. Get over it. It’s August.
By the end of the month it will cool down. And by December it will be cold. This is Canada.
The current heat wave is not a sign of global warming. It’s a sign it’s summer.
In June, it was cooler than normal in lots of the places that are now so hot. How come the climate alarmists weren’t running around then flailing their arms in the air and shrieking about a coming ice age?
There were breathless stories in Calgary this week warning the city was in for its hottest four days in 35 years – more proof that Earth stands poised on the brink of a climate catastrophe.
Yet, if this time the cause is climate change, what caused the heatwave 35 years ago?
Couldn’t have been SUVs, pipelines or the oilsands.
Read on…
GUNTER – The current heat wave? It’s summer not global warming | Toronto Sun
*
HEAT SELLS!
CLIMATE alarmists openly admit their propaganda techniques to con you into belief…
- The hothouse climate change study is big news—thanks to the heatwave — Quartz
*
SEE also :
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS – JUDGE FOR YOURSELF!
Satellites Vs Thermometers?
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Posted: August 2, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Australia, Climatism, Empirical Evidence, Global Cooling, Global Temperature, Global Warming | Tags: Australia, Canberra, Climate Change, Climatism, cold, Dr Roy Spencer, drought, global cooling, Grand Solar Minimum, Kangaroos, science, snow, UAH |
WHILE the mainstream media bloviates over a mythical and propagandised “global heatwave“, things couldn’t be more different and dangerous down-under, especially for Kangaroos!
via WUWT :
Guest essay by Eric Worrall
h/t IceAgeNow & Climate Depot – Australia’s capital city Canberra is being flooded by kangaroos desperately flocking to the irrigated nature reserves and Canberra’s urban heat island to avoid starvation and freezing temperatures.
Canberra Civic viewed from Mount Ainslie with Lake Burley Griffin and Mount Stromlo in the background. By Bidgee – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, Link
Mobs of kangaroos take to streets of Australia’s capital over food shortages
By Samantha Beech, Mitchell McCluskey and Susannah Cullinane, CNN
Updated 0805 GMT (1605 HKT) July 30, 2018
(CNN)Mobs of kangaroos have been raiding patches of grass in the Australian capital Canberra, driven to the city’s sports fields, back yards and roadsides by food scarcity.
…
Canberra has more than 30 nature reserves, with most hosting hundreds of Eastern Grey Kangaroos, and it is not unusual to see them in the reserves or in roads or yards nearby, Australian Capital Territory (ACT) Parks and Conservation Service Director Daniel Iglesias told CNN.
But he said this winter the animals were far more visible.
“Canberra is experiencing a perfect storm of hardship for its kangaroos. New records have been set in Canberra for very cold, frosty nights this winter. This, coupled with very dry conditions with very little rain at all in June and July, means there is very little food for kangaroos, ” Iglesias said, via email.
“Sports ovals, suburban yards, schoolyards and roadsides are the few places offering any green grass at all in Canberra at the moment and they act as magnets for kangaroos,” he said.
Read more: https://edition.cnn.com/2018/07/30/australia/australia-canberra-kangaroo-boom/index.html
*
Canberra, which is part of the Australian Capital Territory, our version of District of Columbia, is a hotspot of Australian CAGW enthusiasts. The green obsessed ACT government funded the original production of the play Kill Climate Deniers.
No doubt the locals will blame global warming for the distress of ACT’s kangaroo population.
***
SEE also : GLOBAL WARMING Batters Australia! Record Winter Lows And The Most Snow In Years | Climatism
*
MEANWHILE
GLOBAL July temps according to UAH satellite data set were slightly up on June, to 0.32C above the global average. That’s up 0.11C from June’s 0.21 deg C.
THAT’s some global heatwave!! /sarc
UAH Global Temperature Update for July, 2018: +0.32 deg. C « Roy Spencer, PhD
*
DAVID Birch (TSM) with more insight on the latest UAH global temp data :
TR goes further :
•••
UPDATE
FLASHBACK 2016 :
The True Story Behind Australia’s Coldest, Angriest Kangaroos | HUFFPO
•••
Related :
“Hottest Year Evah” Meme related :
- “HOTTEST YEAR EVAH” Claims Tell Us More About Global Warming PR Than Actual Science | Climatism
- The “HOTTEST YEAR EVAH” Meme Exposed | Climatism
- Understanding The “Hottest Year Evah” | Climatism
- “The Hottest Year Evah” | Climatism
- More “Hottest Year Evah” Nonsense | Climatism
CLIMATISM Hot Links :
TEMPERATURE Related :
ORIGINS Of The Global Warming Scam :
•••
PLEASE Tip The Climatism Jar To HELP Keep The Good Fight Alive!
(Climate sceptics/rationalists still waitin’ for that “big oil” cheque to arrive in the mail!)
Help us to hit back against the bombardment of climate lies costing our communities, economies and livelihoods far, far too much.
Thanks to all those who have donated and continue on a monthly cycle! Your support and faith in Climatism is highly motivating and greatly appreciated!
Citizen journalists don’t rely on mastheads, rather private donations. Please give generously!
Click link for more info…TQ! Jamie.
•••
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Posted: July 11, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate science, Empirical Evidence, Global Cooling, Oceans, Satellite Data, Uncategorized | Tags: Climate Change, Cooling, failed climate models, global cooling, Global Warming, Grand Solar Minimum, MSU, Oceans, Satellite Data, science, Science and Environment, Sea Surface Temperatures, SST, UAH |
CURRENT ocean air temps the same as 1995 and declining. Definitely not what the climate models, nor ‘experts’ predicted! Ouch.
Science Matters
Presently sea surface temperatures (SST) are the best available indicator of heat content gained or lost from earth’s climate system. Enthalpy is the thermodynamic term for total heat content in a system, and humidity differences in air parcels affect enthalpy. Measuring water temperature directly avoids distorted impressions from air measurements. In addition, ocean covers 71% of the planet surface and thus dominates surface temperature estimates. Eventually we will likely have reliable means of recording water temperatures at depth.
Recently, Dr. Ole Humlum reported from his research that air temperatures lag 2-3 months behind changes in SST. He also observed that changes in CO2 atmospheric concentrations lag behind SST by 11-12 months. This latter point is addressed in a previous post Who to Blame for Rising CO2?
The June update to HadSST3 will appear later this month, but in the meantime we can look at lower troposphere temperatures (TLT) from UAHv6…
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Posted: April 6, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Global Temperature, The Pause | Tags: "The Pause", Climate Change, Cold Sun, El Nino, global cooling, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Global Warming "Pause", Global Warming Hiatus, HadCRUT, Maunder Minimum, Science and Environment, UAH |
NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
By Paul Homewood
http://woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2001
Hadcrut now have numbers out for February, giving an anomaly of 0.523C, measured against the 1961-90 baseline, slightly down on January’s 0.556C.
This means that the last six months have been below 0.59C.
It is clear that temperatures are settling down at a similar level to the period between 2002 and 2007, following the record El Nino of 2015/16. Bear in mind as well that the degree of accuracy, according to the Hadley Centre, is about +/-0.1C. As such, it cannot be said that there has been any statistically measurable warming since 2001, or indeed previously.
It is possible temperatures may drop further in coming months, with weak La Nina conditions established, although these are predicted to disappear by the summer.
Satellite measurements from UAH also show a similar picture:
http://woodfortrees.org/plot/uah6/from:2001
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Posted: March 2, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate Fraud, Climate models, Climatism, Data Tampering, Gavin Schmidt, Global Temperature, Global Warming Stasis, Govt Climate Agenda, Hockey Stick, NASA, NOAA, Satellite Data, The Pause, UAH | Tags: "The Pause", Carl Mears, Climate Change, climate fraud, Climate science, Data Fraud, Data Sets, Data Tampering, Dr Roy Spencer, Earth Sciences, Gavin Schmidt, GISS, GISTEMP, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Global Warming "Pause", Global Warming Hiatus, John Christy, RSS, Satellite Data, UAH |
UAH Global Temperature Update for February, 2018: +0.20 deg. C « Roy Spencer, PhD
GLOBAL temps continue their cooling trend, rebounding off the 2015/16 Super El Niño – the strongest since accurate measurements began, caused by surface waters in the Pacific Ocean, west of Central America rising up to 3C warmer than usual.
THE latest UAH V6.0 February anomaly of +0.20 brings temperatures back to the levels they were at after the 1998 El Niño.
UAH Feb data and results here…
*
MEASURING GLOBAL TEMPERATURES – Satellites Vs Thermometers? Read the rest of this entry »
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Posted: February 2, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate Change, Failed Climate Models, Global Cooling, Global Temperature, Global Warming Stasis, Satellite Data, UAH | Tags: "The Pause", Carbon Dioxide, Climate Change, Climate Change Scam, global cooling, Global Temperature, Global Warming "Pause", Global Warming Hiatus, Global Warming Scam, Temperature Stasis, The Great Pause, UAH, UAH satellite data |
AND the great global warming “pause” settles back into play!
Watts Up With That?
From Dr. Roy Spencer:
UAH Global Temperature Update for January, 2018: +0.26 deg. C
Coolest tropics since June, 2012 at -0.12 deg. C.
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for January, 2018 was +0.26 deg. C, down from the December, 2017 value of +0.41 deg. C:
Global area-averaged lower tropospheric temperature anomalies (departures from 30-year calendar monthly means, 1981-2010). The 13-month centered average is meant to give an indication of the lower frequency variations in the data; the choice of 13 months is somewhat arbitrary… an odd number of months allows centered plotting on months with no time lag between the two plotted time series. The inclusion of two of the same calendar months on the ends of the 13 month averaging period causes no issues with interpretation because the seasonal temperature cycle has been removed as has the distinction between calendar months.
The global, hemispheric…
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Posted: December 7, 2015 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Climate Change, Climate Fraud, Climatism, COP21, Data Tampering, Empirical Evidence, Fact Check, Global Temperature, NASA, Satellite Data, UAH | Tags: Alarmism debunked, Climate Change, COP21, Data Fraud, Data Tampering, Dr Roy Spencer, Empirical Evidence, GISS, Global Temperature, Global Warming "Pause", RSS Satellite Data, Satellite Data, UAH |
Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.
“It is a blatant lie put forth in the media that makes it seem there is only a fringe of
scientists who don’t buy into anthropogenic global warming.” – U.S Government
Atmospheric Scientist Stanley B. Goldenberg of the Hurricane Research Division of
NOAA.
“The whole climate change issue is about to fall apart — Heads will roll!” – South African UN Scientist Dr. Will Alexander, April 12, 2009
“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.
•••
Dr Roy Spencer, former senior scientist for Climate studies at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center, and current principal research scientist for the University of Alabama in Huntsville, reports that 2015 will not be “The Hottest Year Ever” despite a strong El Niño …. and even stronger hot-air from the climate alarm industry.
2015 will be the 3rd Warmest Year in the Satellite Record
December 3rd, 2015
Way back in June, John Christy and I called 2015 as being the warmest year on record…in the surface thermometer data. Given the strong El Nino in progress, on top of the official thermometer data warming trend, this seemed pretty obvious.
Of course, everyone has their opinions regarding how good the thermometer temperature trends are, with periodic adjustments that almost always make the present warmer or the past colder.
But I’m not going there today…
Instead, I’m going to talk about our only truly global dataset: the satellite data. With the November 2015 data now in, it’s pretty clear that in our UAH analysis 2015 will only be the 3rd warmest year since the satellite record began in 1979. Based upon my calculations, this will be true no matter what happens in December (barring Armageddon).
Here are the yearly rankings, for which I assumed the December 2015 anomaly will be +0.40 C (click for full-size):
The years are displayed with the warmest on the left, and the coldest on the right. The color coding and arrows have to do with El Nino years…
Read on …
2015 will be the 3rd Warmest Year in the Satellite Record « Roy Spencer, PhD
•••
UAH and RSS
With the ever increasing divergence of surface temperatures (NASA GISS) from satellite ones (UAH/RSS), and the subsequent divergence of overheated climate models (IPCC CMIP5) to observed reality, it is worth some background on the atmospheric temperature measurement systems used to measure the temperature of the lower troposphere – the exact place where global warming theory is meant to occur and be measured :
Roy Spencer :
…if for no other reason than this: thermometers cannot measure global averages — only satellites can. The satellite instruments measure nearly every cubic kilometer – hell, every cubic inch — of the lower atmosphere on a daily basis. You can travel hundreds if not thousands of kilometers without finding a thermometer nearby.
The two main research groups tracking global lower-tropospheric temperatures (our UAH group, and the Remote Sensing Systems [RSS] group) show 2014 lagging significantly behind 2010 and especially 1998:
With only 3 months left in the year, there is no realistic way for 2014 to set a record in the satellite data.
Granted, the satellites are less good at sampling right near the poles, but compared to the very sparse data from the thermometer network we are in fat city coverage-wise with the satellite data.
In my opinion, though, a bigger problem than the spotty sampling of the thermometer data is the endless adjustment game applied to the thermometer data. The thermometer network is made up of a patchwork of non-research quality instruments that were never made to monitor long-term temperature changes to tenths or hundredths of a degree, and the huge data voids around the world are either ignored or in-filled with fictitious data.
Furthermore, land-based thermometers are placed where people live, and people build stuff, often replacing cooling vegetation with manmade structures that cause an artificial warming (urban heat island, UHI) effect right around the thermometer. The data adjustment processes in place cannot reliably remove the UHI effect because it can’t be distinguished from real global warming.
Satellite microwave radiometers, however, are equipped with laboratory-calibrated platinum resistance thermometers, which have demonstrated stability to thousandths of a degree over many years, and which are used to continuously calibrate the satellite instruments once every 8 seconds. The satellite measurements still have residual calibration effects that must be adjusted for, but these are usually on the order of hundredths of a degree, rather than tenths or whole degrees in the case of ground-based thermometers.
And, it is of continuing amusement to us that the global warming skeptic community now tracks the RSS satellite product rather than our UAH dataset. RSS was originally supposed to provide a quality check on our product (a worthy and necessary goal) and was heralded by the global warming alarmist community. But since RSS shows a slight cooling trend since the 1998 super El Nino, and the UAH dataset doesn’t, it is more referenced by the skeptic community now. Too funny.
In the meantime, the alarmists will continue to use the outdated, spotty, and heavily-massaged thermometer data to support their case. For a group that trumpets the high-tech climate modeling effort used to guide energy policy — models which have failed to forecast (or even hindcast!) the lack of warming in recent years — they sure do cling bitterly to whatever will support their case.
As British economist Ronald Coase once said, “If you torture the data long enough, it will confess to anything.”
So, why are the surface thermometer data used to the exclusion of our best technology — satellites — when tracking global temperatures? Because they better support the narrative of a dangerously warming planet.
Except, as the public can tell, the changes in global temperature aren’t even on their radar screen (sorry for the metaphor).
Why 2014 Won’t Be the Warmest Year on Record « Roy Spencer, PhD
•••
UPDATE
The temperature divergence, this century, between NASA GISS temp (land based) and RSS satellite data, is mind-blowing.
Looks like someone is adjusting the curve to fit the ‘global warming’ narrative. Gavin? Tom?
Paul Homewood from NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT :
Between 1979 and 2001, the RSS satellite data increased at virtually the same rate as GISS. Since then, there has been a massive divergence, with GISS claiming that the pace of increase has barely reduced from the earlier period.
In contrast RSS (and also UAH) confirm that, if anything, temperatures have been dropping.
Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs
It’s time to call the fraud squad in.
•••
Related :
- The robust Pause resists a robust el Niño Still no global warming at all for 18 years 9 months | Climatism
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Climate alarmist industry headlines “Hottest Year Ever” :
- 2015 Likely to Be Hottest Year Ever Recorded – The New York Times
- WMO: 2015 likely to be Warmest on Record, 2011-2015 Warmest Five Year Period | Media Centre
- U.N. Says 2015 Has Been Hottest Year On Record – Fortune
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Posted: February 9, 2014 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate Change, Climate science, Fact Check, Global Temperature, Global Warming Stasis, Science | Tags: Climate science, John Christy, Rog Tallbloke, UAH |
Climatism comment : Pleasant to read climate science delivered in an objective, calm, reasoned, rational, non agenda-driven and ‘sceptical’ way.
Good interview Rog.
Tallbloke's Talkshop
John Christy has been interviewed by ‘Talking about the weather‘:
John Christy, director of the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama-Huntsville.John Christy is a climate scientist at the University of Alabama-Huntsville. Along with Roy Spencer, he developed the first satellite temperature record of the Earth. Skeptical about catastrophic anthropogenic global warming, he has been invited to speak before Congress several times. He is the director of the Earth System Science Center at UAH.
TATW: What would be the single piece of information that you would convey to people who have strong opinions about climate and little knowledge?
CHRISTY: A fundamental aspect of science is that when we scientifically understand a system, we are able to predict how the system evolves in time. The comparison of model output with observations indicates we have much less understanding than what is needed to predict it with any confidence. I…
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