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POLAR BEAR Habitat Update: Abundant Sea Ice Across The Arctic, Even In The Barents Sea

  • “Arctic summers ice-free by 2013” (BBC 2007)
  • “Could all Arctic ice be gone by 2012?” (AP 2007)
  • “Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?”(National Geographic 2007)
  • “Imagine yourself in a world five years from now, where there is no more ice over the Arctic” – Tim Flannery (2008)
  • “North Pole could be ice-free in 2008” – Mark Serreze (New Scientist 2008)
  • “Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014” (USA Today 2009)
  • “Arctic expert predicts final collapse of sea ice within 4 years” (Guardian 2012)
  • “Say Goodbye to Arctic Summer Ice” (Live Science 2013)
  • “Ice-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe – scientist” (The Guardian 2013)
  • “Why Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013” (Sierra Club 2013)
  • “Next year or the year after, the Arctic will be free of ice’” – Peter Wadhams (The Guardian 2016)

DIRE predictions of an “ice-free” Arctic have remained popular on the climate change fear-mongering circuit, owing to the psychological and political currency of all things melting and not least the emotional relevance applicable to the fate of the Arctic’s most famous resident and ‘global warming’ mascot – the polar bear.

CLIMATE DUD-PREDICTIONS : ‘Ice-Free’ Arctic Prophesies By The ‘97% Consensus’ And Compliant Mainstream Media | Climatism

polarbearscience

Abundant ice in Svalbard, East Greenland and the Labrador Sea is excellent news for the spring feeding season ahead because this is when bears truly need the presence of ice for hunting and mating. As far as I can tell, sea ice has not reached Bear Island, Norway at this time of year since 2010 but this year ice moved down to the island on 3 March and has been there ever since. This may mean we’ll be getting reports of polar bear sightings from the meteorological station there, so stay tuned.

Walking bear shutterstock_329214941_web size

Sea ice extent as of 11 March 2019, from NSIDC Masie:

masie_all_zoom_4km 2019 March 11

Much of the ice that was blown out of the Bering Sea early in the month has returned and ice in the Gulf of St. Lawrence on the East Coast of Canada is the highest its been in years, threatening to impede ferry traffic between Nova…

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CLIMATE DUD-PREDICTIONS : ‘Ice-Free’ Arctic Prophesies By The ‘97% Consensus’ And Compliant Mainstream Media

WE need to get some broad based support,
to capture the public’s imagination…
So we have to offer up scary scenarios,
make simplified, dramatic statements
and make little mention of any doubts
Each of us has to decide what the right balance
is between being effective and being honest.

– Prof. Stephen Schneider,
Stanford Professor of Climatology,
lead author of many IPCC reports

***

TRUST in the mainstream media is at an all time low.

A 2018 Monmouth University poll found that 77% of the public believe major ‘news’ outlets report “fake news”. A sharp rise from 63% who felt that way the previous year. A 2018 Axios poll found that 92% of Conservatives believe the media intentionally reports fake news. Concerns vindicated this week by two glaring examples of blatant fake news in the Covington Catholic high school and BuzzFeed media fiascos.

NONE of this is surprising, considering that 92%+ of the mainstream media is monopolised by Left-leaning journalists and editorial boards.

FAKE NEWS is par for the course in the Climate Crisis Industry where gross exaggeration, vague causation, alarmist predictions and even outright falsehoods are common place and excused away as acts of nobility in the righteous quest to “Save the Planet”.

GLOBAL WARMING climate change is a licence to lie.

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ONE of the perks of climate change scepticism (or realism) is the ability to exploit an almost unlimited supply of wild climate predictions made in the recent past by esteemed ‘experts’ and scientific bodies.

DIRE predictions of an “ice-free” Arctic have remained popular on the climate fear-mongering circuit, owing to the psychological currency of things melting and not least the emotional relevance applicable to the fate of the Arctic’s most famous resident – the polar bear…

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ARCTIC SEA-ICE FALSE PROPHESIES

A sample of Arctic sea-ice predictions made by members of the ‘97% consensus’ :

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nsidc director mark serreze – “the arctic is screaming”-

Could all Arctic ice be gone by 2012? | AP

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STATE OF ARCTIC SEA-ICE : 2018 SUMMER MINIMUM

ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXTENT (September 2018)

MINIMUM sea-ice extent has been trending up over the past decade. The EXACT opposite of what the press and ‘97% experts’ have been telling you :

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ARCTIC SEA-ICE VOLUME (September 2018)

2.0 – 3.0 meter-thick sea-ice covered most of the Arctic basin during the 2018 summer minimum :

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ARCTIC minimum sea-ice volume has been increasing since 2007 :

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@KiryeNet キリエ on Twitter : “The Arctic has been refreezing for 12 years…minimum sea ice volume has been rising since 2007”

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CURRENT STATE OF ARCTIC SEA-ICE TO DATE

ARCTIC sea-ice extent is very close to the 1981-2010 median :

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THE ARCTIC MELT ‘PAUSE’

CLAIMS that Arctic sea ice is disappearing are patently false. There has been no trend in Arctic sea ice extent since the start of MASIE records in 2006.

(Charts c/o Tony Heller – Real Climate Science)

THERE has also been no trend in Arctic sea ice volume since 2006 :

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FAKE NEWS ~ Enemy Of The People

THE daily bombardment of fake climate news by the Climate Crisis Media helps foment a conventional wisdom and an accepted world view that there really is a “climate crisis”. This leads to gullible and virtue-signalling politicians, pressured by eco-activist minorities, to enact draconian and costly UN-based climate policies that are doing far more damage to people’s livelihoods and their economies, right now, than any purported 1-2°C “fabricated” temperature rise could ever do by 2100.

••• Read the rest of this entry »


INCONVENIENT : Arctic Sea Ice Extent Enters The Mean Zone!

ARCTIC Sea-Ice Extent Enters 1981-2000 Mean - CLIMATISM

ARCTIC Sea-Ice Extent At ‘Normal’ Levels


MOTHER NATURE has dealt another blow to the credibility of the Climate Crisis Industry, with its favourite ‘canary in the coal mine’ and harbinger of doom – Arctic sea-ice – going AWOL on Global Warming Climate Change alarmists…

THE latest data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) shows sea-ice extent hitting the 1981-2000 ‘normal’ range:

 

IS that the collision of excess Arctic sea-ice or the gnashing of activists teeth making that awkward and un’deniable’ sound?! Ouch.

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SEA ICE THICKNESS

ALL that ‘inconvenient’ ice is thick, multi-year and going nowhere fast…

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ARCTIC SEA-ICE “PAUSE”

THERE has been no trend in Arctic sea ice extent over the last 12 years:

FLAT trend in Arctic sea-ice extent visible over the last 12 years of the satellite record:

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MAINSTREAM MEDIA ARCTIC ALARMISM

COMPARE the latest real-world data to what the “97% of experts” and sycophant mainstream media have been spinning to you for years, driven by CO2-centric UN climate models, politics, ideology and government grants :

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WILL the mainstream media report on the uptick in Arctic sea-ice that has brought extent to ‘normal’ levels, confounding past reporting? Not a chance. They are too heavily invested in Global Warming hysteria to bother informing you of truths.

WHAT else do the mainstream media and government funded scientific bodies not tell you in regards to ‘inconvenient’ climate information that contradicts their political, ideological and grant-driven agendas?

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UPDATE 25 Nov, 2018

Arctic Ice Keeps Coming

Despite the feverish reporting that last summer was hell, and that hot is now the “new normal,” the Arctic ice man is hard at work.  In reality, Arctic ice is spreading everywhere.  The image below shows how quickly Hudson Bay froze over in recent days.

Hudson Bay freeze over

Baffin Bay in the center next to Greenland is extending south and added 250k km2.  Hudson Bay on the left added 700k km2, now at 73% of maximum, with both east and west coastlines freezing all the way down into James Bay.

Chukchi is closing in.  On the right side Kara

On the Eurasian side, on the left margin Chukchi is closing in.  On the right side Kara has added 300k km2 of ice extent, now at 85% of maximum

The graph below shows 2018 is now exceeding the 11-year average after being down in October.

2018 is now exceeding the 11-year average

MASIE is showing  10.8M km2 ice extent, 400k km2 greater than the average for day 327, Nov. 23.  SII is slightly lower, while 2007 is almost 500k km2 lower. In fact, in the past decade, only two years, 2013 and 2015, had more ice than 2018 at this date.

Arctic Ice Keeps Coming | Science Matters

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ARCTIC Sea-Ice Expansion related :

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ARCTIC Supply Service Cancelled : Canadian Coast Guard’s Largest Icebreaker Thwarted By “Extreme Ice”


We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.

– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation

No matter if the science of global warming is all phony…
climate change provides the greatest opportunity to
bring about justice and equality in the world
.”
– Christine Stewart,
former Canadian Minister of the Environment

***

ARCTIC supply service to Nunavut and Northwest Territories has been cancelled due to “Extreme Ice”. Canadian Coast Guard, unable to get even its largest icebreaker through the ice!

“He said the territory’s barge service is “not an amateur operation” and the Amundsen Gulf is so inundated with ice that “it’s absolutely unequivocal and clear [that] … it is just impossible” to get through.

The territory requested assistance from the Canadian Coast Guard, which was unable to get even its largest icebreaker through the ice, Vandenberg said.

The ice can be like the pinchers of a giant pair of pliers,” he said. “You don’t survive that.””

CBC News reports :

Solution to cancelled barges ‘comes a bit late,’ says N.W.T. MLA

The Northwest Territories government is giving residents an idea of what will happen to the seven barges of goods that won’t be making it to their communities this year.

Barge service to Paulatuk, N.W.T., and the western Nunavut communities of Cambridge Bay and Kugluktuk, as well as a Nunavut gold mine, has been cancelled due to extreme ice conditions.

Now, territorial government officials are deciding which items to send to the communities by plane, and what will stay behind until the next barge can bring them in.

“Our priority right now is airlifted diesel fuel into Paulatuk,” said John Vandenberg, assistant deputy minister with the Department of Infrastructure. “There’s not enough fuel there to last the winter.”

To do that, the territory will fly about 600,000 litres of diesel to Paulatuk, requiring between 50 and 60 flights to do it, Vandenberg explained.

The territorial government will pay to ship up the fuel, he said.

But some items won’t be able to be flown up, such as pickup trucks and heavy equipment.

Vandenberg said staff with the infrastructure department will contact every client with items on the barge and determine how important it is for them to receive their goods, flying them up based on priority.

There is still some uncertainty around what will happen to the remaining goods, Vandenberg said, adding that the territorial government is looking at storage options.

He said the territory’s barge service is “not an amateur operation” and the Amundsen Gulf is so inundated with ice that “it’s absolutely unequivocal and clear [that] … it is just impossible” to get through.

The territory requested assistance from the Canadian Coast Guard, which was unable to get even its largest icebreaker through the ice, Vandenberg said.

“The ice can be like the pinchers of a giant pair of pliers,” he said. “You don’t survive that.”

A spokesperson for the Coast Guard confirmed that it couldn’t send an icebreaker to help because of the extreme ice conditions.

READ on…

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CURRENT ARCTIC SEA-ICE CONDITIONS

AREAS unable to receive supplies due to “extreme ice” conditions (circled in red):

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ICEBREAKER Encounters Most Difficult Arctic Ice Conditions In 15 Years

The Swedish icebreaker Oden on its way to the North Pole in August 2018. (Photo- Alfred-Wegener-Institut : Mario Hoppmann, meereisportal.de)

The Swedish icebreaker Oden on its way to the North Pole in August 2018. (Photo: Alfred-Wegener-Institut / Mario Hoppmann, meereisportal.de)


Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to 
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC 
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itohan award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.

These facts get little coverage because they don’t sound alarming at all, and for most reporters that means they’re not news. These ‘inconvenient truths’ are nonetheless a helpful reminder that climate change coverage should be taken with a healthy dose of scepticism. – Harry Wilkinson

“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.

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Via High North News :

Icebreaker encounters most difficult ice conditions in 15 years

22/08/2018 AV KATHRIN STEPHEN

A Swedish icebreaker on the way to the North Pole has encountered heavy ice conditions and had to stop just before the North Pole.

The Swedish icebreaker Oden embarked to the North Pole from Svalbard last week but encountered difficult ice conditions not seen in one and a half decades.

The captain of the Oden icebreaker described the ice conditions as the most difficult in the past fifteen years.

The pack ice the ship encountered north of 80° was very dense, piled together through a months-long northward ice drift in the Central Arctic Ocean, meereisportal.de reports.

Overall, however, the Arctic’s summer sea ice extent is again very small; the Oden hit the ice edge only at 82°N.

Destination in jeopardy

The dense ice pack left hardly any patches of open water for the ship to navigate between the massive ice floes. The crew and researchers were thus faced with the situation that the North Pole could possibly not be reached.

However, about 200 km before the Pole the situation improved with the Oden encountering younger, thinner ice and tracks of open ice left by a Russian icebreaker plowing the area a few days before.

Massive ice floe blocks North Pole

About four miles away from the North Pole, the Oden eventually had to stop its journey since a massive ice flow on the top of the Pole prevented the onward journey, meereisportal.de reports.
Icebreaker encounters most difficult ice conditions in 15 years – High North News

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MORE real-world evidence that the Arctic is not in a “Death Spiral” or “Screaming” and certainly not “Ice-Free”, as the mainstream media and activist climate ‘scientists’ like NSIDC director Mark Serreze have promised you for years.

MARK SERREZE – “The Arctic is screaming”:

“ICE-FREE” Arctic in 2008:

ARCTIC “Death Spiral”:

ARCTIC ICE “Death Spiral” | National Geographic

ARCTIC ICE “Death Spiral” | National Geographic

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BACK IN THE REAL WORLD

DATA from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) record indicates how the Swedish icebreaker – Oden – found itself struggling in the stubborn, thick summer sea-ice that is apparently “screaming” and “Ice-Free” by now.

2.0 – 3.0 metre-thick sea ice covers a vast extent of the Arctic basin:

NO trend in Arctic sea-ice volume/thickness over the past decade. Though, there’s been a big build up in 2018 of 2.0-3.0 meter thick, multi-year sea ice that has stymied Oden’s travels:

TOTAL ice loss since the winter peak, has been the lowest in the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) record:

ARCTIC temps were below the average nearly everyday during the summer melt season:

THERE has been no trend in Arctic sea ice extent over the last 12 years:

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WITH the Arctic in good shape, and certainly no sign of imminent meltdown at either pole, it’s hard to see the “climate crisis” that the mainstream media, activist ‘scientists’ and politicians insist is upon us.

EVEN harder to see how policy makers can justify deindustrialisation of the Western world through draconian, UN climate Paris-policies based on overheated UN climate models, fear, propaganda, and not observed reality.

DO politicians even look at empirical data or “the science” anymore? Or does the wicked truth expose their scam, hindering globalist intentions?

DON’T expect an apology or correction from any of these interest groups, now heavily invested in climate alarm, anytime soon.

TOO many jobs, reputations and egos are now at stake. And, access to unlimited “Save The Planet” taxpayer trillions, immune to oversight.

••• Read the rest of this entry »


STUBBORN : Arctic Sea Ice Just Won’t Play The Game

STUBBORN Arctic - CLIMATISM

Arctic sea ice just won’t play the game!


We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.

– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation

No matter if the science of global warming is all phony…
climate change provides the greatest opportunity to
bring about justice and equality in the world
.”
– Christine Stewart,
former Canadian Minister of the Environment

***

LITTLE gem of a read by Harry Wilkinson on the condition of the Polar Ice Caps and the overtly propagandised meltdown hysteria promulgated by alarmist ‘scientists’ and their government institutions, gleefully pimped out by the ever-compliant global warming theory-obsessed mainstream media.

WILKINSON lays out basic empirical facts that shamelessly contradict the repetitive “Death Spiral” moans from climate and Arctic experts alarmists.

THE piece is a welcome reminder to be cautious of the selective bias that the mainstream media is willing to share with you on all things global warming climate change:

“These facts get little coverage because they don’t sound alarming at all, and for most reporters that means they’re not news. These ‘inconvenient truths’ are nonetheless a helpful reminder that climate change coverage should be taken with a healthy dose of scepticism.”

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Arctic sea ice just won’t play the game

Arctic sea ice is proving remarkably reluctant to enter its appointed ‘death throes’, despite the usual suspects having already planned the funeral. Climate Change Anxiety Disorder, it turns out, is yet to impose its angst on the actual climate, no matter how hard the BBC tries to make it.

The latest observations show that Arctic sea ice is on course to have a greater minimum extent than in 2015 and 2016, and is running higher than levels seen a decade ago. Back then, the BBC reported that Arctic summers may be ice-free by 2013, although this estimate was described as being ‘too conservative’.

That prediction was spectacularly wrong, and contrary to warnings of an ‘Arctic death spiral’, sea ice extent has been remarkably stable in the last decade. No one can say what exactly will happen next; if this humbling affair teaches anything it should be precisely that.

The climate has misbehaved in other ways too. The Greenland Ice Sheet has been gaining mass at a record rate for the second year running, and Antarctic sea ice extent is perfectly normal relative to the 1981-2010 average. These facts get little coverage because they don’t sound alarming at all, and for most reporters that means they’re not news. These ‘inconvenient truths’ are nonetheless a helpful reminder that climate change coverage should be taken with a healthy dose of scepticism. There is a long way to go before we can make accurate predictions about how the climate will behave, if indeed we ever can.

Climate science has to be more deeply grounded in real-world observations rather than models that are inevitably riddled with flawed human assumptions.

Arctic sea ice just won’t play the game | The Conservative Woman

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Climatism supports…

ARCTIC SEA-ICE LATEST

THERE has been no trend in Arctic sea ice extent over the last 12 years:

FLAT trend in Arctic sea-ice extent visible over the last 12 years of the satellite record:

NO trend in Arctic sea-ice volume over the past 12 years:

BLINK chart of the past 15 years shows no “Death Spiral” trend in sea-ice volume. It does, however, show a large increase in multi-year, 2.0-3.5 metre thick sea-ice in 2018, that will consolidate into Autumn and go nowhere for years:

ARCTIC sea-ice extent still below the median but stabilised this Century:

* Read the rest of this entry »


DEATH SPIRAL DENIED : No Change In Arctic Sea-Ice Extent Or Volume Over The Past 12 Years


ARCTIC

AS the annual Arctic melt season comes to a close, hopes of an “Ice-free” Arctic for “Death Spiral” enthusiasts are once again denied as sea-ice remains stubbornly stable for the twelfth year in a row.

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GREENLAND

GREENLAND, also not cooperating with climate model predictions or the prognostications of climate catastrophists.

via Real Science :

Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper.

George Orwell

Summer is over, and Greenland’s surface has gained 510 billion tons of ice over the past year – about 40% above normal.  The surface mass budget is snow/ice accumulation minus melt.  It does not include ice loss caused by glaciers flowing to the sea, which is very difficult to measure, and is driven by processes which have little to do with the current climate.

 

Last year Greenland gained a little more ice, about 50% above normal.

 

The trajectories were very different last year and this year, but the final result was about the same.

2018-08-31052405_shadow-1024x543

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (2017/18)

 

Lining the two graphs up side by side,   you can see the more than one trillion tons of ice which Greenland’s surface has gained over the past two years.

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget- DMI

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (Split)

 

Last year, the Danish Meteorological Institute reported on the gain in ice, and blamed it on Hurricane Nicole. I wonder what their excuse will be this year?

 

Even NOAA begrudgingly admitted that the huge ice gain was a “small increase.”

 

Meanwhile, the usual fraudsters in the press continue to report Greenland is melting and we are all about to die.

Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

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THE ARCTIC, yet another icon of global warming climate change doom, set to join the graveyard of alarmist tosh.

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SEE also :

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