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CLIMATISM : 2019 State Of The Climate Report

CLIMATISM - State Of The Climate 2019.png

CLIMATISM – 2019 State Of The Climate Report


CONTRARY to popular thinking and clever marketing, there is no “consensus” on the theory of dangerous man-made climate change. Too many variables exist within the climate system to allow for certainty of future scenarios.

THIS doesn’t deter the $2,000,000,000,000 US per year (2 Trillion) Climate Crisis Industry who manufacture catastrophic climate scenarios (pushed far enough into the distant future as to not be held accountable) with a guarantee of climate calamity unless their utopian ‘green’ dreams are realised.

BUOYED by their recent House Congress win in the 2018 mid-term elections, the hard-Left of the American Democrat party, led by pinup-socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, have doubled-down on their pet global warming theory, proposing the radically-dystopian climate agenda, a Green New Deal.

ACCORDING to PJMedia, the Green New Deal will cost approximately $49.109 Trillion in the first ten years, enough to fund Trump’s border wall 8,616 times over.

FOR all the economic pain and social upheaval that inevitably ensues when draconian climate policy is enacted, it is only fair and reasonable for the taxpayer to ask one simple question about a climate which demands so much of their hard-earned money – “what is broken?”.

THE best way to answer this is to look at the current state of a set of common environmental metrics and analyse their relationship with carbon dioxide – the colourless, odourless, tasteless trace gas at the centre of the supposed “climate crisis”.

CLIMATE CHANGE METRICS

  • ARCTIC
  • ANTARCTIC
  • EXTREME WEATHER (Heatwaves, Cyclones, Hurricanes, Tornadoes, Drought, Floods)
  • SEA LEVELS
  • SNOW
  • POLAR BEARS
  • WILDFIRES
  • GLOBAL GREENING
  • GLOBAL FOOD PRODUCTION
  • GLOBAL TEMPERATURE

IN the interests of “cherry-picking”, there are a myriad of environmental metrics that make up the climate system. The examples cited for the purpose of this report are the more common associations picked up by the press and interest groups to facilitate climate change discussion and ‘debate’.

*THE empirical evidence featured in this post is taken from the latest data supplied by government scientific agencies and peer-reviewed studies. Hyper and direct links supplied per sample.

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ARCTIC

STATE OF ARCTIC SEA-ICE : 2018 SUMMER MINIMUM

ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXTENT (September 2018)

MINIMUM sea-ice extent has been trending up over the past decade. The EXACT opposite of what the press and ‘97% experts’ have been telling you :

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ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXTENT TO DATE

ARCTIC sea-ice extent is very close to the 1981-2010 median:

ARCTIC sea-ice extent is essentially unchanged since January 2006:

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ARCTIC SEA-ICE VOLUME

THE area of the Arctic covered with thick sea ice has greatly expanded over the past eleven years:

SO far this month, ice volume gain has seen a record high:

january1-9arcticseaicevolumeincrease_shadow

Jan Arctic Sea-Ice Volume gain historic

AND January 9 Arctic sea ice volume has been increasing for over a decade:

*Support data Via Real Climate Science

MINIMUM sea-ice volume has been rising since 2007:

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@KiryeNet キリエ on Twitter : “The Arctic has been refreezing for 12 years…minimum sea ice volume has been rising since 2007”

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ARCTIC TEMPS 

ARCTIC temperatures correlate almost perfectly with ocean circulation cycles, and show no correlation with atmospheric CO2 levels.

reykjavik-iceland-temperatures-vs-the-atlantic-multidecadal-oscillation

Reykjavik, Iceland Temperatures Vs. The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

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ALARMIST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ARCTIC HYSTERIA

CLIMATE ‘experts’ describe these record large increases in ice as an unprecedented meltdown:

2019-01-11060118_shadow-789x1024

“Arctic meltdown” search

SEE also : CLIMATE DUD-PREDICTIONS : ‘Ice-Free’ Arctic Prophesies By The ‘97% Consensus’ And Compliant Mainstream Media | Climatism

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MORE on Arctic Sea-Ice Expansion :

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ANTARCTIC

THE South Pole has been a thorn in the side for warming alarmists with the giant ice continent gaining mass and cooling for decades. This despite a 20 per cent increase in atmospheric CO2, and model predictions to the contrary.

2015 NASA STUDY

GUARDIAN REPORT 2015

2016 NATURE STUDY

2017 STUDY

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WHAT’S DRIVING ANTARCTIC SEA-ICE GROWTH?

THANKS to the Journal of Climate by Josefino Comiso et al, we now know what’s driving the increase in Antarctic sea-ice. It’s – wait for it – cooling temperatures over the ocean surrounding Antarctica…

screen-shot-2018-04-16-at-7-23-27-am

Positive Trend in the Antarctic Sea Ice Cover and Associated Changes in Surface Temperature: Journal of Climate: Vol 30, No 6

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2016 SEA-ICE LOSS

DURING 2016 there was substantial sea-ice loss which still reflects on the record and has become a popular talking point for warmists aiming to discredit the Antarctic with its stable and ‘inconvenient’ ice growth over many decades.

after increasing slightly in recent decades, the sea ice extent around antarctica plummeted in 2016. credit malte stuecker:university of washington

After increasing slightly in recent decades, the sea ice extent around Antarctica plummeted in 2016. CREDIT Malte Stuecker/University of Washington

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HOWEVER, sound ‘science’ confirmed this was due, not to human-induced “climate change” but thanks to a ‘perfect storm’ of tropical, polar conditions’ :

“This was a really rare combination of events, something that we have never seen before in the observations,” Stuecker said.

SEE more : Record-low 2016 Antarctic sea ice was due to a ‘perfect storm’ of tropical, polar conditions – not ‘climate change’ | Watts Up With That?

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LATEST DECEMBER 2018 / JANUARY 2019 ANTARCTICA ANOMALY NSIDC

ANTARCTICA monthly sea-ice extent is very close to the 1981-2010 median:

ANTARCTICA daily sea-ice extent, close to the 1981-2010 median:

THESE charts at odds with NSIDC SH anomaly 1978-2018… (There has been some massive ice growth since I last checked the “blue marble” charts. Both are now back to the 1981-2010 median!?)

C/w …

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2018 ANTARCTIC, BACK-ON-TRACK

APRIL 2018 : BBC was reporting on a big increase in Antarctic snowfall with “The effect of the extra snow locked up in Antarctica is to slightly slow a general trend in global sea-level rise.”

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MAY 2018

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SOUTH POLE ON STILTS!

ANOTHER unique way of knowing that the Antarctic ice mass is growing significantly, year in, year out, is by the structural design of the Amundson-Scott South Pole Station:

Screen Shot 2019-01-14 at 8.24.05 pm.png

Amundson-Scott South Pole Station

THIS is the third station built at this site. The other two have been buried by snow! (see black dome of previous station now partially buried, top right of pic)

FOR the last several decades, Antarctica has been accumulating about 8 inches of snow every year and as temps never get above freezing, the snow never melts!

THE new building comprises 7 modular buildings that sit on stilts. Every year they jack up the buildings over the accumulating snow to prolong the life if the station:

Screen Shot 2019-01-14 at 8.28.05 pm.png

Stilts on each of the 7 modulars

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THE South Pole represents 90% of the earth’s ice, and it’s getting thicker. A problem for climate alarmists and their contradictory UN climate models.

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BUT, KEEP PANICKING!

ANY sign of ‘warming’ at the inconvenient South Pole sends the climate-theory-obsessed mainstream media into a collective meltdown.

A recent and ongoing example being the discovery of melt occurring along the Western Antarctic ice shelf caused by recently discovered undersea volcanoes, not by evil mankind’s gasses:

WEST-ANTARCTIC DOOMSDAY MEDIA …

  • West Antarctic ice sheet collapse ‘unstoppable’ [ABC]
  • Irreversible Changes Now Affect Antarctica and the World [Live-science]
  • ‘Nothing can stop retreat’ of West Antarctic glaciers [BBC, By Jonathan Amos]
  • West Antarctic ice collapse ‘could drown Middle East and Asia crops’ [The Guardian, Suzanne Goldenberg]
  • Antarctica’s ice collapse threatens metres of sea level rise within decades [The Ecologist]
  • Global warming: it’s a point of no return in West Antarctica. [The Guardian Eric Rignot]

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MORE on Antarctica :

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LATEST ANTARCTIC “MELT” SCARE STORY JUST IN (Worth a read) :

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EXTREME WEATHER

EXTREME WEATHER, the Climate Crisis Industries most revered weapon of mass hysteria has been scuttled, once again, by their very own authority, the UN IPCC! The latest report – SR15 – released in October 2018 by the UN’s holiest ‘science’ body finding, yet again, that there is “little basis or evidence” for claiming that heatwaves, drought, floods, hurricanes, cyclones, tornadoes have increased due to greenhouse gas emissions!

BUT, alas! Just as the “low confidence” extreme weather findings from the last SREX report (IPCC AR5 2013) were/are conveniently dismissed by the mainstream media and climate crusaders, so too will the latest ‘inconvenient’ findings from the SR15 ‘Special Report’.

WE know this to be true because the mainstream media and virtue-signalling politicians still manage to blame man-made ‘Climate Change’ for every weather climate event – exceptional or tepid.

IPCC AR5 / SREX (2013) :

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HEATWAVES

ACCORDING to the EPA, the low-CO2 1930s had (by far) the worst heatwaves in US history:

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AUSTRALIAN TROPICAL CYCLONES

AUSTRALIAN tropical cyclones are declining in both intensity and frequency as CO2 rises:

Read the rest of this entry »

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ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXPLOSION : Largest Increase In November Sea Ice Volume On Record

Polar Bears Nunavut

Lots of Ice, Lots of Bears!


“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.

Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to 
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC 
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itohan award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.

“The whole climate change issue is about to fall apart — Heads will roll!” – South African UN Scientist Dr. Will Alexander, April 12, 2009

***

“BABY it’s cold outside”!

ANOTHER week, another dose of political correctness gone mad as CBC radio pulled the Christmas classic from their line-up claiming that the 1940s holiday song promotes rape culture.

THAT’s not the only thing that the PC brigade and their climate comrades would probably like to pull from the records …

IT’s not even winter yet in the Northern Hemisphere, and we’ve already witnessed a multitude of record cold events set :

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ARCTIC sea-ice, refusing to suffer ‘missing out syndrome’, setting its own ‘inconvenient’ record …

via Tony Heller’s Real Climate Science :

Largest Increase In November Sea Ice Volume On Record

The increase in Arctic sea ice volume during November was the largest on record.

November snow cover was the largest on record in North America.

And it was the fourth coldest November on record in the US.

November-Average-Maximum-Temperature-Vs-Year-1895-2018-At-All-US-Historical-Climatology-Network-Stations-Red-Line-Is-5-Year-Mean-Average-Maximum-Temperature-vs-Year_shadow-1024x953

November-Average-Maximum-Temperature-Vs-Year-1895-2018

Meanwhile, our leading experts are warning that we are burning up and Arctic ice is disappearing.

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Arctic search

Largest Increase In November Sea Ice Volume On Record | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

MEANWHILE…

No Trend In Arctic Sea Ice Extent Or Volume

1980 was an anomalously high (sea ice extent) year

– Walt Meier NSIDC

Claims that Arctic sea ice is disappearing are patently false. There has been no trend in Arctic sea ice extent since the start of MASIE records in 2006.

There also has been no trend in Arctic sea ice volume since 2006.

According to the world’s leading climate scientist, the Arctic is already ice-free.

No Trend In Arctic Sea Ice Extent Or Volume | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

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NOT the kind of weather / climate that we should expect, or were led to believe, in the CO2-centric, Orwellian era of “The Hottest Year Evahh”!

••• Read the rest of this entry »


FIRST Fatal Polar Bear Attack In Western Hudson Bay Since 1983 Yesterday In Arviat

NOT so “cuddly” after all…

polarbearscience

A brave young father from Arviat on the northwest coast of Hudson Bay was killed yesterday evening by a polar bear while trying to protect his children.

Walking bear_129029633_web size

Aaron Gibbons, 31, was the nephew of Gordy Kidlapik, who follows this blog and my twitter account. Gordy has often sent me useful local information and perspectives from Arviat, which is in Nunavut (north of Churchill, Manitoba).

It was heartbreaking to hear this news firsthand from Gordy:

Arviat with Churchill_Google maps

More below and to follow as further details emerge. My sincere condolences to Gordy and his family – what a horrific loss.

Bob Weber, from The Canadian Press, wrote today (4 July 2018

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HUDSON BAY ICE Update: More Thick First-Year Ice Habitat For #PolarBears In 2018 Than 2004

NO wonder climate catastrophists have switched poles and are picking on Antarctica, for now! Arctic first-year and multi-year sea-ice breaking all sorts of decadel records, wrecking their “Arctic Death Spiral” agenda up there! Lol.

polarbearscience

Despite pronouncements from one polar bear specialist that “ice in Hudson Bay is in rapid retreat” a look back in time shows that there is more thick first year ice over the Bay this year for the week of the summer solstice than there was in 2004 – and much less open water than 1998.

Lunn et al 2016 EA cover image WH bear

Below, 2018, June 18 (the week of the summer solstice):

Hudson Bay weekly stage of development 2018 June 18

Compare the above to the same week coverage chart for 2004, below:
Hudson Bay weekly stage of development 2004_June 21

Ice coverage for some other recent years are shown below compared to 1998, the year the ice breakup pattern on Hudson Bay changed. Speed and melt sequences vary according to the amount of thick first year ice present, discussed previously here.

PS. If you’re wearing white today, flaunt it! Tell your friends and colleagues that you’re celebrating the success of polar bears despite such low summer sea ice since…

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ATTENBOROUGH : ‘Climate Change Stops Plants Growing’

OVER the years, TV naturalist Sir David Attenborough has wowed us all with that mesmerising voice narrating epic visuals of all things nature. Aesthetics aside, and not doubting the man’s intelligence, Attenborough persists in parroting easily demolished propaganda about the threat of ‘climate change’.

IN the BBC1 series on Africa he claimed that the wildlife there was at a “pivotal moment in their history” and “Africa’s climate is certainly changing. Some parts of the continent have become 3.5C hotter in the past 20 years.”

WHEN challenged, the BBC indicated that the claim of a 3.5C rise over 20 years was sourced from a Christian Aid report. The BBC acknowledged that the 3.5C claim, based on that NGO source, had no basis in fact and the statement would be removed when the program was repeated.

GLOBAL warming’s favourite mascot – polar bears – haven’t escaped his misinformed activism. The Oasis Nature Channel, of which Attenborough lent his name and reputation to, presented a series of programs entitled Extinctions, about animals under threat. The first of the series was about polar bears, which they referred to as the canaries in the global-warming coalmine, ignoring the fact that polar bear numbers are actually the highest since records began.

ATTENBOROUGH’S resume wouldn’t be complete without paying homage to UN “sustainability” (Agenda 21) and the tenets of Thomas Malthus


IN his latest eye-rolling rant, Attenborough claims that climate change “stops plants growing” and that global warming will create a “plant-less desert” !

Sir David Attenborough marks the reopening of the Temperate House at Kew Gardens, the largest Victorian glasshouse in the world this evening. He praises conservation work being done at the botanical gardens to preserve plants which otherwise would die, due to climate change. Kew Gardens is currently finding and researching species of plants that can help restore land affected by global warming, instead of letting our landscape become a “plantless desert”.

Attenborough: Kew preserves rare plants – BBC News

ASSUMING that climate change aka global warming equates to an increase in carbon dioxide emissions, (I say ‘assuming’, because climate change aka global warming can mean whatever an alarmist wants it to mean depending on their particular eco-grievance of the day) then it would appear our favourite ye-olde botanist has officially exchanged brains for blunts, in claiming that climate change “stops plants growing” !

BACK ON THE ‘BLUE PLANET’, DAVID >> Carbon dioxide = plant food!

Read the rest of this entry »


THE ARCTIC : Ground Zero For Anthropogenic Hubris And Climate Change Hysteria

Polar Bears + Bertrand Russel.png

CLIMATE change alarmists conveniently ‘deny’ the existence of the 1970’s “global cooling” scare because such panic, a mere 40 years ago, threatens the legitimacy of the current “global warming” scare.

HOWEVER, climate experts and government agencies of the day were indeed warning of impending climate doom and that we must take immediate “action” to avoid catastrophe.

SOUND familiar?

WARMING alarmists rebut the 1970’s global cooling scare with claims that the phenomenon wasn’t “peer-reviewed” or that a “consensus” of “97%” of “scientists” didn’t agree. However, it doesn’t take Einstein to realise that the fashionable eco-scare of the day was indeed very real…

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IN 1976 the CIA warned the cooling climate would bring – “drought, starvation, social unrest and political upheaval” :

C.I.A. WARNING
 
From a correspondent in Washington

MAJOR world climate changes were under way that would cause economic and political upheavals “almost beyond comprehension”, an internal report of the Central Intelligence Agency has warned the US Government.

“The new climatic era brings a promise of famine and starvation to  many areas of the world”, the report  warns.

The report, which contends that the Climate changes began in 1960, is based on a study by Mr Reid Bryson of the University of Wisconsin.

Its basic premise is that the world’s climate is cooling and will revert to conditions prevalent between 1600 and 1850 — when the earth’s population was less than 1,000 million and its rural, pre-industrial era civilisations were largely capable of feeding themselves.

The report, which- was concerned with possible political and economic threats the United States could expect from such drastic events, said the starvation and famine would lead to social unrest and global migration of populations.

21 Jul 1976 – C.I.A. WARNING – Trove

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BARACK Obama’s former ‘science’ czar, John Holdren, feared a new “Ice Age” : Read the rest of this entry »


REALITY Check: Nunatsiavut Wildlife Manager Says Polar Bears Not Starving, Public Misinformed

“Goudie points to one post he saw recently from National Geographic that showed what appeared to be a starving polar bear, but in reality was an animal that was sick.”

NAT Geo pops up again with another blatant falsehood designed to deceive its audience. 100+ years building a publication of reputation and integrity only to have it destroyed in as little as a decade thanks to a religious zeal to the doctrine of CAGW.

REAFFIRMS the old adage that reputation takes a long time to build but can be destroyed overnight.

RIP Nat Geo. Viva La Polar Bears!

Watts Up With That?

Inconvenient rebound in polar bear numbers.

Polar bears not starving, says Nunatsiavut wildlife manager

Geoff Bartlett · CBC News

One of the people who oversees an Indigenous hunt of polar bears says the population is doing well, despite heart-wrenching photos online suggesting some bears are starving.

Every year, the Nunatsiavut government awards polar bear licences to Inuit hunters living in the northern Labrador settlement area.

The Inuit set a quota of 12 polar bears this winter. Nunatsiavut wildlife manager Jim Goudie said all 12 were taken within the first seven days of the season.

Goudie said it’s just the latest evidence that polar bears are on the rebound in northern Canada — a trend he said officials have been recording for years.

“There are lots of signs of bears,” he told CBC Radio’s Labrador Morning. “Lots of bears and a continuation of what we’ve seen over the last three or four years.”

The Nunatsiavut hunt takes place over an area stretching from Cape…

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