“It is becoming more and more apparent that sea levels rise and fall without any obvious connection to CO2 concentrations.”
Holocene Sea Levels were 2 Meters Higher
1. Are Modern ‘Anthropogenic’ Sea Levels Rising At An Unprecedented Rate? No.
Despite the surge in CO2 concentrations since 1900, the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has concluded that global sea levels only rose by an average of 1.7 mm/yr during the entire 1901-2010 period, which is a rate of just 0.17 of a meter per century.
During the 1958 to 2014 period, when CO2 emissions rose dramatically, a recent analysis revealed that the rate of sea level rise slowed to between 1.3 mm/yr to 1.5 mm/yr, or just 0.14 of a meter per century.
Frederiske et al.,2018 “Anthropogenic” Global Sea Level Rise Rate (1958-2014): +0.14 of a meter per century
“For the first time, it is shown that for most basins the reconstructed sea level trend and acceleration can be explained by the sum of…
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BETWEEN the start of 1997 and the end of 2014, average global surface temperature stalled. This 18-year period is known as the global warming “pause” or “hiatus” and has been the subject of much research and debate in peer-reviewed scientific journals.
THE rise in global temperatures that alarmed climate campaigners in the 1990’s had slowed so much that the trend was no longer statistically significant. This despite one-third of Man’s entire influence on climate since the Industrial Revolution occurring since February 1997.
THE pause took a pause during the 2015/16 super El Niño which was the strongest such event in recorded history and helped to make 2015 and 2016 the warmest years in the modern warm period. However, 2017 witnessed the biggest drop in global temps in recorded history, seen across most data sets, bringing temps back inline with 1997-2014 averages, rendering “the pause” alive and well, to date.
THERE has been a recent surge in media reports aiming to debunk and bury the inconvenient hiatus, not predicted by any climatologist, science agency, government body, media outlet or UN computer model.
A few of the latest attempts by the mainsteam media at re-writing climate history…
BEFORE it “never happened” – ‘established’, ‘peer-reviewed’ climate science was all over the pause…
1997 – 2015 TEMPS
PEER-REVIEWED PAUSE “SCIENCE”
The Executive Summary alone mentions the word “pause” eleven times, but the key paragraph is this:
The Met Office link to their “pause” explanation has been deleted! Very un-Orwellian of the climate mafia…
“The past was erased, the erasure was forgotten, the lie became the truth.”― George Orwell,
“The hiatus continues to challenge climate science.” – Hedemann et al | Nature Climate Change …
PAUSE for thought via Tony Heller’s RealClimateScience…
Before it was disappeared, the hiatus was central to the IPCC report.
The MWP, LIA, 1940’s spike, 1970’s global cooling – all disappeared by the climate mafia.
Sometimes settled science requires rewriting history over and over again.
CALL me a cynic, but if “global warming” is so dastardly, and an “imminent global threat”, as we’re constantly told, isn’t a near 20 year warming “pause”, “hiatus” or “slowdown” (if that works better for you) a good thing? It definitely wouldn’t appear so by how much abuse, huffing and puffing is spewed out by the climate mafia when those two words – “pause” or “hiatus” are printed or uttered. One might think that the angry voices have skin in the climate game, financially, politically and/or ideologically. Oh…wait!
AS we know, the pause has been a big embarrassment to the climate establishment, because the longer it goes on, the more it casts doubt on their climate models and their theory, and thus threatens the literal trillion dollar industry made up of grants, funds, well-paid government jobs in climate bureaucracies, rent-seekers, advocacy groups, bird-slicers (windmills) and bat-blasters (solar farms)…
A LOT of jobs, reputations and (taxpayer) funds are now at stake.
TO conclude, an excellent summary of the pause and what it means for our understanding of the chaotic and complex climate system by Dr David Whitehouse…
The lesson of the pause is not that the greenhouse effect doesn’t exist, but rather that the computer models, which predicted an acceleration in global warming, and on which current policy is based, have proved to be inaccurate. Nevertheless, the pause is an important event that enriches our understanding of a highly complex climate system. In the future, a long-term rise in global temperatures may resume. There is a good chance, however, that the recent super El Niño only interrupted the 1997-2014 pause. No-one knows. But if the pause were to resume or warming keeps slowing down, many of the fundamental assumptions of climate science would have to be re-assessed.
Dr David Whitehouse is the science editor of the Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
THE latest “pause-buster” paper that this post is based on claims that “Missing Arctic temperature data, not Mother Nature, created the seeming slowdown of global warming from 1998 to 2012, according to a new study in the journal Nature Climate Change.” – Zhang et al. …
IF that’s the case, then what for the “missing data” at the other ‘inconvenient’ pole – Antarctica – that has been cooling for the past ~40 year and gaining ice mass?
“Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat) data (2003–08) show mass gains from snow accumulation exceeded discharge losses by 82 ± 25 Gt a−1, reducing global sea-level rise by 0.23 mm a−1..” – H. Jay Zwally et al. …
PERHAPS cancel’s out the apparent “unreported” Arctic data that underpins the latest pause-buster attempt by Zhang et al.
FURTHER, a valid and worthy observation by our friends “Climate Realists” who noted on twitter:
Latest Excuse on the Pause: There was NO pause in global warming because of a lack of data in the Arctic… and yet your told the Arctic is the worst it’s ever been.. work that one out.
AND this via @SimonMaxfield8
FOR the Arctic they give a warming estimate of 0.659°C per decade. This means, without the Arctic data, the global temperature paused, i.e. only one region was contributing to global warming, and a region where it’s been estimated about half is due to natural factors. #Oops
UPDATE – Big Global TLT Temp drop In Jan
ALL 2016/17 super El Nino warming effectively gone from the system. Global temps according to UAH back to pre 2016 “Hottest Year Evah” temps…
EXPECT further drops following the February NH deep freeze that has seen snow fall as far as southern Morocco and the Sahara desert, sharks freezing to death in the US and Iguanas frozen solid in Florida.
- Anomaly for January, 2018 was +0.26 deg. C.
- Coolest tropics since June, 2012 at -0.12 deg. C.
Global Warming Pause/Hiatus Related :
- List of excuses for ‘the pause’ in global warming is now up to 52 | Climatism
- The ‘Pause’ Returns As Global Temperatures Plummet, Warming Hiatus To Extend To 20 Years! | NoTricksZone
- NEW STUDY: Global Warming “Pause” Confirmed, Climate Models Wrong | Climatism
- 100% Of Climate Models Prove that 97% of Climate Scientists Were Wrong! | Climatism
- BOMBSHELL – NOAA whistleblower says Karl et al. “pausebuster” paper was hyped, broke procedures | Climatism
- MUST READ : How The Pause Was Made To Disappear | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
- Despite new study, global warming pause ‘still going strong’
- Delingpole: The Pause in Global Warming Is Real, Admits Climategate Scientist | Climate Depot
- The Pause | Search Results | Climatism
- Global warming hiatus –
El Niño Related :
- Berkeley Earth – ‘record temperature in 2016 appears to come from a strong El Nino’ | Watts Up With That?
- Global temperatures plunge in April (2017) – “the pause” returns | Climatism
- Stunning Drop In Global Temperatures As El Niño Warming Ends | Climatism