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THE Greenland Hockey Stick


We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.

– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation

The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations
on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models
.”
– Prof. Chris Folland,
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research

***

CHALLENGING times ahead for the Climate Crisis Industry with another icon of Armageddon – Greenland – defying climate model forecasts and the usual swill of dire prognostications from the mainstream media.

CNN recently published an Uber-sexy photographic essay on the great ice continent, “What it’s like at the ground zero of climate change”.

THE photographs are incredible and well worth a look. The written content, definitely not up to the same standard. Shock news. CNN’s Kyle Almond, flooding the story with the same emotional, hyper-alarmist AGW talking points that aren’t matching, anymore, what’s really going on at “ground zero”, according to the latest hard data from NSIDC and DMI.

*

GLACIER CALVING

THE main thrust of the piece is of calving glaciers.

But when a glacier breaks up, the images can be breathtaking — and a sobering reminder of the trouble we are in.”

MEMO to Kyle: Glacier calving is an entirely natural process, reflecting the very health of a glacier. The more snow that falls, the more icebergs come out the other end!

Many glaciers terminate at oceans or freshwater lakes which results naturally[5] with the calving of large numbers of icebergs. Calving of Greenland‘s glaciers produce 12,000 to 15,000 icebergs each year alone.[6]

Ice calving – Wikipedia

ELLA Gilbert from the British Antarctic Survey who is often asked why icebergs break away…

“It’s complicated,” she explains. “The region is clearly undergoing a lot of change but you can’t just say ‘it was the climate’. Iceberg calving is a natural process anyway. If you put more snow in at one end, it has to come out the other end as icebergs.”

The ‘monster’ iceberg: What happened next? – BBC News

SEE : MEMO TO THE MEDIA : Glacier Calving Is A Natural Process | Climatism

*

ARCTIC TEMPS

ANOTHER common talking point used by Almond and fellow alarmists is that the Arctic “is warming twice as fast as the rest of the planet.”

HadCRUT4 shows no trend in warming over the past 12 years. With temps as warm in the 1930’s and 1940’s.

ARCTIC Temps - HadCRUT4

ARCTIC Temps – HadCRUT4

ARCTIC temps were below the average nearly everyday during this years summer melt season and are now back below freezing.

*

THE NEW HOCKEY STICK!

WHAT definitely wasn’t included in Almond’s propaganda piece was the sharp increase in net ice mass that has been trending for around a decade.

Read the rest of this entry »

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ICEBREAKER Encounters Most Difficult Arctic Ice Conditions In 15 Years

The Swedish icebreaker Oden on its way to the North Pole in August 2018. (Photo- Alfred-Wegener-Institut : Mario Hoppmann, meereisportal.de)

The Swedish icebreaker Oden on its way to the North Pole in August 2018. (Photo: Alfred-Wegener-Institut / Mario Hoppmann, meereisportal.de)


Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to 
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC 
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itohan award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.

These facts get little coverage because they don’t sound alarming at all, and for most reporters that means they’re not news. These ‘inconvenient truths’ are nonetheless a helpful reminder that climate change coverage should be taken with a healthy dose of scepticism. – Harry Wilkinson

“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.

•••

Via High North News :

Icebreaker encounters most difficult ice conditions in 15 years

22/08/2018 AV KATHRIN STEPHEN

A Swedish icebreaker on the way to the North Pole has encountered heavy ice conditions and had to stop just before the North Pole.

The Swedish icebreaker Oden embarked to the North Pole from Svalbard last week but encountered difficult ice conditions not seen in one and a half decades.

The captain of the Oden icebreaker described the ice conditions as the most difficult in the past fifteen years.

The pack ice the ship encountered north of 80° was very dense, piled together through a months-long northward ice drift in the Central Arctic Ocean, meereisportal.de reports.

Overall, however, the Arctic’s summer sea ice extent is again very small; the Oden hit the ice edge only at 82°N.

Destination in jeopardy

The dense ice pack left hardly any patches of open water for the ship to navigate between the massive ice floes. The crew and researchers were thus faced with the situation that the North Pole could possibly not be reached.

However, about 200 km before the Pole the situation improved with the Oden encountering younger, thinner ice and tracks of open ice left by a Russian icebreaker plowing the area a few days before.

Massive ice floe blocks North Pole

About four miles away from the North Pole, the Oden eventually had to stop its journey since a massive ice flow on the top of the Pole prevented the onward journey, meereisportal.de reports.
Icebreaker encounters most difficult ice conditions in 15 years – High North News

*

MORE real-world evidence that the Arctic is not in a “Death Spiral” or “Screaming” and certainly not “Ice-Free”, as the mainstream media and activist climate ‘scientists’ like NSIDC director Mark Serreze have promised you for years.

MARK SERREZE – “The Arctic is screaming”:

“ICE-FREE” Arctic in 2008:

ARCTIC “Death Spiral”:

ARCTIC ICE “Death Spiral” | National Geographic

ARCTIC ICE “Death Spiral” | National Geographic

*

BACK IN THE REAL WORLD

DATA from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) record indicates how the Swedish icebreaker – Oden – found itself struggling in the stubborn, thick summer sea-ice that is apparently “screaming” and “Ice-Free” by now.

2.0 – 3.0 metre-thick sea ice covers a vast extent of the Arctic basin:

NO trend in Arctic sea-ice volume/thickness over the past decade. Though, there’s been a big build up in 2018 of 2.0-3.0 meter thick, multi-year sea ice that has stymied Oden’s travels:

TOTAL ice loss since the winter peak, has been the lowest in the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) record:

ARCTIC temps were below the average nearly everyday during the summer melt season:

THERE has been no trend in Arctic sea ice extent over the last 12 years:

***

WITH the Arctic in good shape, and certainly no sign of imminent meltdown at either pole, it’s hard to see the “climate crisis” that the mainstream media, activist ‘scientists’ and politicians insist is upon us.

EVEN harder to see how policy makers can justify deindustrialisation of the Western world through draconian, UN climate Paris-policies based on overheated UN climate models, fear, propaganda, and not observed reality.

DO politicians even look at empirical data or “the science” anymore? Or does the wicked truth expose their scam, hindering globalist intentions?

DON’T expect an apology or correction from any of these interest groups, now heavily invested in climate alarm, anytime soon.

TOO many jobs, reputations and egos are now at stake. And, access to unlimited “Save The Planet” taxpayer trillions, immune to oversight.

••• Read the rest of this entry »


DEATH SPIRAL DENIED : No Change In Arctic Sea-Ice Extent Or Volume Over The Past 12 Years


ARCTIC

AS the annual Arctic melt season comes to a close, hopes of an “Ice-free” Arctic for “Death Spiral” enthusiasts are once again denied as sea-ice remains stubbornly stable for the twelfth year in a row.

*

GREENLAND

GREENLAND, also not cooperating with climate model predictions or the prognostications of climate catastrophists.

via Real Science :

Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper.

George Orwell

Summer is over, and Greenland’s surface has gained 510 billion tons of ice over the past year – about 40% above normal.  The surface mass budget is snow/ice accumulation minus melt.  It does not include ice loss caused by glaciers flowing to the sea, which is very difficult to measure, and is driven by processes which have little to do with the current climate.

 

Last year Greenland gained a little more ice, about 50% above normal.

 

The trajectories were very different last year and this year, but the final result was about the same.

2018-08-31052405_shadow-1024x543

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (2017/18)

 

Lining the two graphs up side by side,   you can see the more than one trillion tons of ice which Greenland’s surface has gained over the past two years.

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget- DMI

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (Split)

 

Last year, the Danish Meteorological Institute reported on the gain in ice, and blamed it on Hurricane Nicole. I wonder what their excuse will be this year?

 

Even NOAA begrudgingly admitted that the huge ice gain was a “small increase.”

 

Meanwhile, the usual fraudsters in the press continue to report Greenland is melting and we are all about to die.

Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

*

THE ARCTIC, yet another icon of global warming climate change doom, set to join the graveyard of alarmist tosh.

•••

SEE also :

Read the rest of this entry »


NSIDC Confirm Low Arctic Ice Due To Influx Of Warm Atlantic Water

Great analysis by Paul Homewood explaining the “SUPER HOT” Arctic atmosphere, that has become the latest, hysterical climate (weather) event of the month pushed by climate alarmists.

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

osisaf_nh_iceextent_daily_5years_en

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php

There has been increasing hysteria from global warming alarmists lately about polar sea ice trends.

So let’s start with the Arctic, where sea ice extent, despite some unusually, but certainly not unprecedented, mild weather in the last couple of months, has been tracking close to 2012.

View original post 843 more words


Global Warming Propaganda Is Now Colour Blind

We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.

– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation

Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the
industrialized civilizations collapse?
Isn’t it our responsiblity to bring that about
?”
– Maurice Strong,
founder of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP)

It doesn’t matter what is true,
it only matters what people believe is true
.”
– Paul Watson,
co-founder of Greenpeace

•••

The (warmist) NSIDC, National Snow And Ice Data Center, is clearly so ashamed by the Arctic’s epic 2013 ice growth, against all Arctic alarmist predictions, that they have actually changed the ice extent image from the previous ‘white’ colour to a new ‘grey’ hue! :

20131025-004755.jpg

•••

How it used to look :

20131025-010131.jpg

And the same for Antarctic Ice extent

•••

Global Warming Propaganda at the NSIDC clearly has no ethical, moral or scientific boundaries. How many other Government climate departments are guilty of such climate fraud?

•••

See : Real Science Fraud File | CACA

•••

H/t Real Science

Climate Fraud Related :

More Climate Fraud :

Quote Source – The Green Agenda


Arctic Sea-Ice “Death Spiral”

It doesn’t matter what is true,
it only matters what people believe is true
.”
– Paul Watson,
co-founder of Greenpeace

According the top US scientists the Arctic should be ‘ice-free’ in a few weeks:

Screen Shot 2013-07-31 at , July 31, 12.42.21 PM

Professor Paul Wedhams delays an ‘ice-free’ Arctic by two years:

“Given present trends in extent and thickness, the ice in September will be gone in a very short while, perhaps by 2015.”

Screen Shot 2013-07-31 at , July 31, 12.50.14 PM

‘Arctic is Rotten and decayed and will all melt soon’

Via Real Science:

ScreenHunter_381 Jul. 29 12.06

David Barber says that the little remaining ice in the Arctic is rotten and decayed and will all melt soon. (He has been saying that for every year I can remember.)

Paul Beckwith of Sierra Club Canada still thinks “Arctic sea ice will vanish” in a few weeks:

Screen Shot 2013-07-31 at , July 31, 12.57.25 PM

National Geographic laments:

“Arctic Ice in ‘Death Spiral” with additional heating due to global warming, the extent of sea ice cover has gotten smaller and smaller over the summers since the 1980s. 

Screen Shot 2013-07-31 at , July 31, 1.01.12 PM

Look forward to Nat Geo’s Arctic ice Death Spiral, rotten decaying, ice-free arctic 2013 update: “We’ve got no idea what we’re talking about. However human’s are still to blame, the problem of global warming will hopefully not go away.”

From Real Science:

Reader Brian D sent over this 1971 National Geographic map, which shows that there is a lot more Arctic sea ice now than there was 42 years ago.

ScreenHunter_11 Jul. 30 19.16

Arctic Ocean Map 1971 by National Geographic from Maps.com.

I remember seeing that map at the time.  The next map overlays current ice extent on the 1971 map, with green representing ice present in 2013 that was not present in 1971, and red representing the opposite.

ScreenHunter_12 Jul. 30 19.29

NSIDC likes to pretend that ice has been declining steadily, by starting their graphs near the century maximum in 1978.

ScreenHunter_168 Jun. 15 11.08

N_05_plot.png (420×240)

But sadly for them, the 1990 IPCC report captured the growth in ice prior to 1979.

ScreenHunter_170 Jun. 15 11.10

www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf

NCAR mentioned the ice growth at the time

by Walter Orr Roberts  Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies, andNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

In February of 1972 earth-orbiting artificial satellites revealed the existence of a greatly increased area of the snow and ice cover of the north polar cap as compared to all previous years of space age observations.

www.iaea.org/Publications/Magazines/Bulletin/Bull165/16505796265.pdf

As did the CIA

PaintImage10991 (1)

CIA Report 1974

Is Mark Serreze hiding the incline of Arctic ice since 1971?

#ArcticIceScam

2013 ARCTIC STATS:

  • 2013: According to Environment Canada, the Western Arctic has the 3rd highest July ice coverage in history:

canada sea ice west arctic 2 record

  • Beaufort Sea ice area currently above normal:

beaufort

  • Arctic sea-ice extent highest for the date since 2005:

Arctic sea ice extent

  • 2013 the coldest summer on record in the Arctic:

COLDEST SUMMER ARCTIC

UPDATE:

Latest Death Spiral Forecast

August 3, 2013by 

Our leading diplomats, scientists and environmental organizations have promised that the remaining 155,000 Manhattans of Arctic sea ice are going to melt in the next week or two. The graph below updates the most likely death spiral trajectory.

ScreenHunter_127 Aug. 03 06.03

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

the Arctic will be ice-free in the summer of 2013

– John Kerry, US Secretary of State

John Kerry: We Can’t Ignore the Security Threat from Climate Change

James Hansen : ‘This is the last chance’

6/23/2008

“We see a tipping point occurring right before our eyes,” Hansen told the AP before the luncheon. “The Arctic is the first tipping point and it’s occurring exactly the way we said it would.”

Hansen, echoing work by other scientists, said thatin five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer.

NASA warming scientist: ‘This is the last chance’ – USATODAY.com

June 26, 2013

The alarming loss of sea ice which has grown worse each summer over the past several decades, has taken a sharp turn for the worse: this year the loss is right in the middle, the most resilient part of the ice cover. This could lead to a completely ice-free Arctic Ocean by September.

Unprecedented hole is growing in Arctic sea ice – Fairfax Climate WatchWhy Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013 | Sierra Club Canada

UPDATE:

NOAA Reminds Us That They Have Degenerated Into A Propaganda Wing Of The White House

ScreenHunter_05 Aug. 06 22.59

Noaa report says Arctic sea ice is disappearing at unprecedented pace | World news | theguardian.com

Disappearing at an unprecedented rate, means growing at an unprecedented rate since last summer.

ScreenHunter_271 Aug. 06 08.02

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Satellite imagery shows that there is 50% more ice than last year (green area.)

ScreenHunter_291 Aug. 06 16.35

UPDATE:

Second Largest Arctic Ice Gain On Record

Arctic ice area has increased by almost 20,000 Manhattans from this date last year, making it the second largest increase on record. The only year which gained more ice was 1996.

In a few days, it is likely that 2013 will move into the #1 spot.

ScreenHunter_64 Aug. 07 22.23

arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/timeseries.anom.1979-2008

 

Cheers, Steven Goddard Real Science