Posted: October 30, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Carbon Dioxide, Climate Change, Climatism, CO2, COP24, ECS, Failed Climate Models, Pseudo-Science, Settled Science, State Of The Climate, UN, UNFCCC | Tags: Carbon Dioxide, carbon dioxide emissions, Climate Change, CMIP5, COP24, ECS, Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity, failed climate models, Global Warming, pseudoscience, Settled Science |
History Of Settled Science
“The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations
on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.”
– Prof. Chris Folland,
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
“The models are convenient fictions
that provide something very useful.”
– Dr David Frame,
Climate modeler, Oxford University
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation
***
THE global warming climate change scare has absolutely nothing to do with the environment or “Saving The Planet”. Rather, its roots lie in a misanthropic agenda engineered by the environmental movement of the mid 1970’s, who realised that doing something about claimed man-made “global warming” would play to quite a number of the Left’s social agendas.
IN THEIR (UN IPCC) OWN WORDS:
*
ENERGY rationing and the control of carbon dioxide, the direct byproduct of cheap, reliable hydrocarbon energy, has always been key to the Left’s Malthusian and misanthropic agenda of depopulation and deindustrialisation. A totalitarian ideology enforced through punitive emissions controls under the guise of “Saving The Planet”.
STANFORD University and The Royal Society’s resident global warming alarmist and population freak Paul R. Ehrlich spelled out in 1976 the Left’s anti-energy agenda that still underpins the current ‘climate change’ scare :
“Giving society cheap, abundant energy would be the
equivalent of giving an idiot child a machine gun.”
– Prof Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University/Royal Society fellow
*
THE creator, fabricator and proponent of global warming alarmism Maurice Strong, founded UNEP and ‘science’ arm, the UN IPCC, under the premise of studying only human (CO2) driven causes of climate change.
STRONG and the UN’s charter and agenda was clearly laid out before the ‘science’ of climate change was butchered and tortured to fit the global warming narrative…
“Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsiblity to bring that about?” – Maurice Strong, founder of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP)
“Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, use of fossil fuels, appliances, air-conditioning, and suburban housing – are not sustainable.” – Maurice Strong, Rio Earth Summit
“It is the responsibility of each human being today to choose between the force of darkness and the force of light. We must therefore transform our attitudes, and adopt a renewed respect for the superior laws of Divine Nature.“ – Maurice Strong, first Secretary General of UNEP
*
WHY CO2?
ATMOSPHERIC Physicist, MIT Professor of Meteorology and former IPCC lead author Richard S. Lindzen, examines the politics and ideology behind the CO2-centricity that drives the man-made climate change agenda.
LINDZEN’S summary goes to the very heart of why Carbon Dioxide has become the centre-piece of the ‘global’ climate debate:
“For a lot of people including the bureaucracy in Government and the environmental movement, the issue is power. It’s hard to imagine a better leverage point than carbon dioxide to assume control over a society. It’s essential to the production of energy, it’s essential to breathing. If you demonise it and gain control over it, you so-to-speak, control everything. That’s attractive to people. It’s been openly stated for over forty years that one should try to use this issue for a variety of purposes, ranging from North/South redistribution, to energy independence, to God knows what…”
•••
“CO2 for different people has different attractions. After all, what is it? – it’s not a pollutant, it’s a product of every living creature’s breathing, it’s the product of all plant respiration, it is essential for plant life and photosynthesis, it’s a product of all industrial burning, it’s a product of driving – I mean, if you ever wanted a leverage point to control everything from exhalation to driving, this would be a dream. So it has a kind of fundamental attractiveness to bureaucratic mentality.”
MORE : Bureaucratic Dioxide | Climatism
*
SCIENCE Matters‘ Ron Clutz on the myth of CO2 as a significant driver of global warming climate change and our weather:
To believe humans are dangerously warming earth’s climate, you have to swallow a bunch of unbelievable notions.
- You have to think the atmosphere drives temperature, instead of the ocean with 1000 times the heat capacity.
- You have to disregard the sun despite its obvious effects from summer to winter and longer term.
- You have to think CO2 drives radiative heat transfers, instead of H2O which does 95% of the radiative work.
- You have to think rises in CO2 cause temperatures to rise, rather than the other way around.
- You have to forget it was warmer than now in the Middle Ages, warmer still in the Roman era, and warmest of all during Minoan times. And on and on.
The global warmist narrative is full of ideas upside down and backwards, including many reversals of cause and effect.
It is like a massive hot air balloon, so why doesn’t it deflate? Answer: It is because so many interests are served by keeping it alive and pumping up public fears.
Self-Serving Global Warmism | Science Matters
*
EQUILIBRIUM CLIMATE SENSITIVITY (ECS)
WE are constantly told by the Climate Crisis Industry that the “science is settled”. Yet, the main indicator of a so-called climate “crisis” – Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity or ECS – the hypothesised amount of temperature increase per doubling of CO2, keeps shrinking even as carbon dioxide rises.
CO2 is Life with the rub…
The Ever Changing “Settled” Science; How Can a “Settled” Science need Continual Updating?
The Ever Changing “Settled” Science; How Can a “Settled” Science need Continual Updating? | CO2 is Life
The “Science” was “Settled” in 2000 CO2 Sensitivity 4.25°C
The “Science” was “Settled” in 2005 CO2 Sensitivity 3.75°C
The “Science” was “Settled” in 2010 CO2 Sensitivity 2.75°C
The “Science” was “Settled” in 2015 CO2 Sensitivity 0.50°C
(More)(Source)
The Ever Changing “Settled” Science; How Can a “Settled” Science need Continual Updating? – CO2 is Life
*
OVERHEATED UN CLIMATE MODELS
THEN there are the failed CO2-centric UN CMIP5 climate models. Overheated climate models that do not accord with observed reality, and yet increase IPCC confidence in dangerous global warming despite ever-increasing divergence from satellite and weather-balloon data…
***
JUST as ECS declines as CO2 increases it becomes harder to see how policy makers can justify the deliberate deindustrialisation of the Western world driven by draconian, UN climate policies based on overheated UN climate models, fear, funding and mass propaganda.
DO politicians even look at empirical data or “the science” anymore? Or does the wicked truth expose their scam, hindering globalist intentions?
THIS eco-scare is strong and will not die quickly. Too many jobs, reputations and egos are now at stake. And, access to unlimited “Save The Planet” taxpayer trillions, completely immune to oversight.
••• Read the rest of this entry »
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Posted: October 3, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climatism, Failed Climate Models, Global Cooling, Global Temperature, Grand Solar Minimum, State Of The Climate | Tags: carbon dioxide emissions, Climate Change, Climate science, Climatism, CMIP5, CO2, COP24, ECS, El Nino, failed climate models, Gavin Schmidt, global cooling, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Grand Solar Minimum, La Niña, nasa, NASA GISS, nature, NOAA, RSS, UAH |
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
Fmr President of the UN Foundation
***
GLOBAL atmospheric temperatures continue their rapid decline off the record heights of the 2016 super El Niño, despite record and rising CO2 emissions.
UAH global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for September, 2018 was +0.14°C, down from +0.19°C in August:
UAH Global Temperature Update for September, 2018: +0.14 deg. C « Roy Spencer, PhD
Latest Global Average Tropospheric Temperatures
Since 1979, NOAA satellites have been carrying instruments which measure the natural microwave thermal emissions from oxygen in the atmosphere. The intensity of the signals these microwave radiometers measure at different microwave frequencies is directly proportional to the temperature of different, deep layers of the atmosphere. Every month, John Christy and I update global temperature datasets that represent the piecing together of the temperature data from a total of fifteen instruments flying on different satellites over the years. A discussion of the latest version (6.0) of the dataset is located here.
The graph above represents the latest update; updates are usually made within the first week of every month. Contrary to some reports, the satellite measurements are not calibrated in any way with the global surface-based thermometer records of temperature. They instead use their own on-board precision redundant platinum resistance thermometers (PRTs) calibrated to a laboratory reference standard before launch.
Latest Global Temps « Roy Spencer, PhD
*
THE September anomaly represents a 0.72°C drop since 2016 super El Niño heights, bringing temps down now to ~1988 levels.
DON’T expect the mainstream media to report in this anytime soon. They are only concerned about hot and climbing temperatures to push their global warming climate change agenda.
*
CO2 CONCENTRATION Vs TEMPS – Correlation?
CO2 Vs Temp Correlation 1979 – SEP 2018 – CLIMATISM
*
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS – You Be The Judge!
Satellites Vs Land-Based Thermometers?
Satellites Vs Thermometers?
SATELLITES
NASA’s MSU satellite measurement systems, generate the RSS and UAH datasets, which measure the average temperature of every cubic inch of the lower atmosphere, the exact place where global warming theory is meant to occur.
BEFORE 2016, UAH and RSS both tracked closely showing very little warming in their data sets which led to the identification and validation of “the pause” in global warming which has since become the subject of much research and debate in peer-reviewed scientific journals.
From the RSS website:
“The simulation as a whole are predicting too much warming” – RSS
Source: http://www.remss.com/research/climate Archived here – http://www.webcitation.org/6fiQcrQDQ
HOWEVER, by 2016, Carl Mears, who is the chief scientist for RSS (Remote Sensing Systems) and who has used the pejorative “denialist” in various correspondence, decided that “the pause” was not a good look for the global warming narrative so RSS was massively adjusted upwards, conveniently eliminating “the pause” in the RSS dataset.
MEARS’ objectivity towards the business of global temperature data collection and reporting can be found in his commentary on his website:
Source: http://www.remss.com/blog/recent-slowing-rise-global-temperatures Archived here: http://www.webcitation.org/6fiS2rI7k
MEARS then published a paper claiming that new and improved adjustments have “found” that missing warming.
Mears, C., and F. Wentz, 2016: Sensitivity of satellite-derived tropospheric
temperature trends to the diurnal cycle adjustment. J. Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLID-
15-0744.1, in press.
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0744.1?af=R
THE result…
Differences between the old version and new version of RSS:
Fig. 8. Comparison between RSS V3.3 global (80°S to 80°N) anomaly time series, and result from the V4.0 merging algorithm with different levels of adjustments applied.
(Data via WUWT)
*
UAH NASA SATELLITE (Featured)
UAH Global Temperature Update for September, 2018: +0.14 deg. C « Roy Spencer, PhD
UAH is the satellite data set featured in this post and is jointly run by Dr. John R. Christy – Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science and Director of the Earth System Science Center at The University of Alabama in Huntsville. And Roy Spencer Ph.D. Principal Research Scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville.
SPENCER commentary on the divergence between RSS and UAH post “adjustment”:
“We have a paper in peer review with extensive satellite dataset comparisons to many balloon datasets and reanalyses. These show that RSS diverges from these and from UAH, showing more warming than the other datasets between 1990 and 2002 – a key period with two older MSU sensors both of which showed signs of spurious warming not yet addressed by RSS. I suspect the next chapter in this saga is that the remaining radiosonde datasets that still do not show substantial warming will be the next to be “adjusted” upward.
The bottom line is that we still trust our methodology. But no satellite dataset is perfect, there are uncertainties in all of the adjustments, as well as legitimate differences of opinion regarding how they should be handled.
Also, as mentioned at the outset, both RSS and UAH lower tropospheric trends are considerably below the average trends from the climate models.
And that is the most important point to be made.”
Comments on the New RSS Lower Tropospheric Temperature Dataset « Roy Spencer, PhD
(Climatism bolds)
* Read the rest of this entry »
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Posted: September 23, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism uncovered, Alarmist media, Alarmist Predictions, Arctic, Climatism, Failed Climate Models, Greenland, Hockey Stick | Tags: AGW, arctic, Climate Change, Climatism, CNN, DMI, failed climate models, Global Warming, Greenland, Greenland Ice Sheet, Hockey Stick, Ice Mass, Kyle Almond, NSIDC, Science and Environment |
2017 review and 2018 season kick-off | Greenland Ice Sheet Today | NSIDC (Climatism modified)
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation
“The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations
on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.”
– Prof. Chris Folland,
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
***
CHALLENGING times ahead for the Climate Crisis Industry with another icon of Armageddon – Greenland – defying climate model forecasts and the usual swill of dire prognostications from the mainstream media.
CNN recently published an Uber-sexy photographic essay on the great ice continent, “What it’s like at the ground zero of climate change”.
THE photographs are incredible and well worth a look. The written content, definitely not up to the same standard. Shock news. CNN’s Kyle Almond, flooding the story with the same emotional, hyper-alarmist AGW talking points that aren’t matching, anymore, what’s really going on at “ground zero”, according to the latest hard data from NSIDC and DMI.
What it’s like at the ground zero of climate change – Photos – CNN.com
*
GLACIER CALVING
THE main thrust of the piece is of calving glaciers.
“It’s not easy to photograph climate change, a slow, subtle process that develops over time.
But when a glacier breaks up, the images can be breathtaking — and a sobering reminder of the trouble we are in.”
MEMO to Kyle: Glacier calving is an entirely natural process, reflecting the very health of a glacier. The more snow that falls, the more icebergs come out the other end!
Many glaciers terminate at oceans or freshwater lakes which results naturally[5] with the calving of large numbers of icebergs. Calving of Greenland‘s glaciers produce 12,000 to 15,000 icebergs each year alone.[6]
Ice calving – Wikipedia
ELLA Gilbert from the British Antarctic Survey who is often asked why icebergs break away…
“It’s complicated,” she explains. “The region is clearly undergoing a lot of change but you can’t just say ‘it was the climate’. Iceberg calving is a natural process anyway. If you put more snow in at one end, it has to come out the other end as icebergs.”
The ‘monster’ iceberg: What happened next? – BBC News
SEE : MEMO TO THE MEDIA : Glacier Calving Is A Natural Process | Climatism
*
ARCTIC TEMPS
ANOTHER common talking point used by Almond and fellow alarmists is that the Arctic “is warming twice as fast as the rest of the planet.”
HadCRUT4 shows no trend in warming over the past 12 years. With temps as warm in the 1930’s and 1940’s.
ARCTIC Temps – HadCRUT4
ARCTIC temps were below the average nearly everyday during this years summer melt season and are now back below freezing.
Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut
*
THE NEW HOCKEY STICK!
WHAT definitely wasn’t included in Almond’s propaganda piece was the sharp increase in net ice mass that has been trending for around a decade.
2017 review and 2018 season kick-off | Greenland Ice Sheet Today | NSIDC (Climatism modified)
*
OVER the last two years, Greenland has gained more than 1 trillion tonnes of ice. About 40% above normal. Around 200 Btonnes per year lost in melt.
ICE gain exceeding loss by a large amount. And is probably the reason why Kyle is seeing lots of calving, rather than lots of “climate change”!
“It’s not easy to photograph climate change, a slow, subtle process that develops over time.
But when a glacier breaks up, the images can be breathtaking — and a sobering reminder of the trouble we are in.”
THE hockey stick chart is yet to include NSIDC 2018 data which added another 510 billion tonnes of ice.
SURFACE Mass Balance is probably back to 1992/1996 levels at present. Certainly not “the trouble we are in” scenario as decided by Kyle @ CNN!
*
2017 / 2018 GREENLAND ICE MASS GAINS (DMI)
Summer is over, and Greenland’s surface has gained 510 billion tons of ice over the past year – about 40% above normal. The surface mass budget is snow/ice accumulation minus melt. It does not include ice loss caused by glaciers flowing to the sea, which is very difficult to measure, and is driven by processes which have little to do with the current climate.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget – DMI
Last year Greenland gained a little more ice, about 50% above normal.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI
The trajectories were very different last year and this year, but the final result was about the same.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (2017/18)
Lining the two graphs up side by side, you can see the more than one trillion tons of ice which Greenland’s surface has gained over the past two years.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (Split)
More…
Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog
*
THE other fake-climate-news outlet, The New York Times, deceives its readers with blatant lies and misinformation just like CNN does…
As Greenland Melts, Where_s the Water Going? – The New York Times
THE NYtimes, like most of their news, deploys the worst form of propaganda ‘bias by omission’ by leaving out of their Dec 5 report – net mass input to the Greenland ice sheet.
THERE is no acceleration in global sea level rise, proving their phoney junk science as more deliberate propaganda.
Relative Sea Level Trend 680-140 Sydney, Fort Denison 1 & 2, Australia – NOAA Tides & Currents
Relative Sea Level Trend 8518750 The Battery, New York – NOAA Tides & Currents
Sea Level Trends – Stockholm SWEDEN – NOAA Tides & Currents
SLR info :
*
WHAT other lies, falsehoods and deceptions do the mainstream media tell you about global warming climate change in order to push their costly and dangerous fake scare?
WHO now are the real climate and science “deniers”?
H/t @SchneiderDallas
•••
SEE also :
ARCTIC related :
GREENLAND related :
CLIMATE related :
TEMPERATURE Related :
ORIGINS Of The Global Warming Scam :
•••
PLEASE Tip The Climatism Jar To HELP Keep The Good Fight Alive!
(Climate sceptics/rationalists still waitin’ for that “big oil” cheque to arrive in the mail!)
Help us to hit back against the bombardment of climate lies costing our communities, economies and livelihoods far, far too much.
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•••
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Posted: September 1, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmism uncovered, Alarmist media, Arctic, Climatism, Dud predictions, Fact Check, Failed Climate Models, Fake News, Greenland | Tags: Alarmism, arctic, carbon dioxide emissions, climate, Climate alarmism, Climate Change, Climatism, DMI, Dud Predictions, Fact Check, failed climate models, Fake News, Global Warming, Greenland, nature, NSIDC, science, Science and Environment, Sea Ice |
Time to listen to the ice scientists about the Arctic death spiral | Opinion | The Guardian
ARCTIC
AS the annual Arctic melt season comes to a close, hopes of an “Ice-free” Arctic for “Death Spiral” enthusiasts are once again denied as sea-ice remains stubbornly stable for the twelfth year in a row.
Sea Ice Index | National Snow and Ice Data Center
Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis | Sea ice data updated daily with one-day lag
*
GREENLAND
GREENLAND, also not cooperating with climate model predictions or the prognostications of climate catastrophists.
via Real Science :
Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row
Posted on August 31, 2018 by tonyheller
Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper.
George Orwell
Summer is over, and Greenland’s surface has gained 510 billion tons of ice over the past year – about 40% above normal. The surface mass budget is snow/ice accumulation minus melt. It does not include ice loss caused by glaciers flowing to the sea, which is very difficult to measure, and is driven by processes which have little to do with the current climate.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI
Last year Greenland gained a little more ice, about 50% above normal.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI
The trajectories were very different last year and this year, but the final result was about the same.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (2017/18)
Lining the two graphs up side by side, you can see the more than one trillion tons of ice which Greenland’s surface has gained over the past two years.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (Split)
Last year, the Danish Meteorological Institute reported on the gain in ice, and blamed it on Hurricane Nicole. I wonder what their excuse will be this year?
Guest post: How the Greenland ice sheet fared in 2017 | Carbon Brief
Even NOAA begrudgingly admitted that the huge ice gain was a “small increase.”
Greenland Ice Sheet’s 2017 weigh-in suggests a small increase in ice mass | NOAA Climate.gov
Meanwhile, the usual fraudsters in the press continue to report Greenland is melting and we are all about to die.
Goolag
Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog
*
THE ARCTIC, yet another icon of global warming climate change doom, set to join the graveyard of alarmist tosh.
•••
SEE also :
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Posted: July 24, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism, Alarmism uncovered, Alarmist media, Alarmist Predictions, Climatism, Cult Science, Dud predictions, Eco-Activists, Failed Climate Models, Green Agenda, groupthink, Pal-Review, Propaganda, Pseudo-Science | Tags: Alarmism Exposed, Beyond Blue, climate, Climate Change, Climate Change Alarmsim, CMIP5, CNN, Echo Chamber, Extreme weather, failed climate models, Failed CMIP5 Models, Fake News, Global Temperature, Global Warming, Global Warming Alarmism, groupthink, Heatwave, Mainstream media, Mental Health, Mexico, nature journal, Pal-Review, propaganda, pseudoscience, RCP8.5, Social media, Suicide, UN, UN IPCC, United States |
SINCE Climatism reported on the lazy and disrespectful link between suicide and climate change two days ago, a study has now surfaced out of the warmist, Nature Climate Change…
Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico | Nature Climate Change.
*
NOT surprisingly, the mainstream media has jumped all over this single study like a pack of hungry wolves, in a blatant attempt to link their emotionally-charged climate change cause with the genuinely emotional and tragic issue of suicide.
“The study, published today in the journal Nature Climate Change, concluded that projected temperature increases over the next few decades could lead to an additional 21,000 suicides in the United States and Mexico by 2050.”
Warming climate will likely boost suicide rates worldwide | Berkeley News
*
YET another study using the widely criticised UN IPCC CMIP5 climate models that do not accord with the stubborn observed reality of the current and inconvenient ~20 year global warming “pause”…
CURRENT UN CMIP5 CLIMATE MODEL PREDICTIONS Vs TEMPS
See : 100% Of Climate Models Prove that 97% of Climate Scientists Were Wrong! | Climatism
*
THE STUDY
PUBLISHED yesterday in the warmist journal, Nature climate change…
Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico | Nature Climate Change
*
THE studies “could, maybe, might” findings are based on the highest emissions scenario, RCP8.5, pushed out to the arbitrary, unaccountable and ‘sciencey’ date of 2050…
“We project that unmitigated climate change (RCP8.5) could result in a combined 9–40 thousand additional suicides (95% confidence interval) across the United States and Mexico by 2050, representing a change in suicide rates comparable to the estimated impact of economic recessions, suicide prevention programmes or gun restriction laws.”
THE study also took into account seasonal variation, levels of poverty, the news of celebrity suicides and even depressive social media commentary that can lead to more death…
“Analysis of depressive language in >600 million social media updates further suggests that mental well-being deteriorates during warmer periods.”
Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico | Nature Climate Change
*
THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA ECHO CHAMBER…
WHAT level of responsibility is the mainstream media itself willing to accept for stoking “global warming” fears – flogging every heatwave or extreme weather event leading to the collective mass hysteria played out on social media?
Climate change tied to increased suicide risk in new study – CNN
Warming climate will likely boost suicide rates worldwide | Berkeley News
Study: Climate Change Could Cause 26,000 More US Suicides By 2050 « CBS Philly
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Posted: July 11, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Climate science, Empirical Evidence, Global Cooling, Oceans, Satellite Data, Uncategorized | Tags: Climate Change, Cooling, failed climate models, global cooling, Global Warming, Grand Solar Minimum, MSU, Oceans, Satellite Data, science, Science and Environment, Sea Surface Temperatures, SST, UAH |
CURRENT ocean air temps the same as 1995 and declining. Definitely not what the climate models, nor ‘experts’ predicted! Ouch.
Science Matters
Presently sea surface temperatures (SST) are the best available indicator of heat content gained or lost from earth’s climate system. Enthalpy is the thermodynamic term for total heat content in a system, and humidity differences in air parcels affect enthalpy. Measuring water temperature directly avoids distorted impressions from air measurements. In addition, ocean covers 71% of the planet surface and thus dominates surface temperature estimates. Eventually we will likely have reliable means of recording water temperatures at depth.
Recently, Dr. Ole Humlum reported from his research that air temperatures lag 2-3 months behind changes in SST. He also observed that changes in CO2 atmospheric concentrations lag behind SST by 11-12 months. This latter point is addressed in a previous post Who to Blame for Rising CO2?
The June update to HadSST3 will appear later this month, but in the meantime we can look at lower troposphere temperatures (TLT) from UAHv6…
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Posted: July 11, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Al Gore, Alarmism Debunked, Alarmist media, Arctic, Climate models, Climatism, Dud predictions, Empirical Evidence, Fact Check, Failed Climate Models | Tags: Al Gore, Alarmism, Alarmist Media, arctic, Arctic Temps, climate, Climate Change, Dud Predictions, Empirical Evidence, failed climate models, Global Warming, Mainstream media, Mother Nature, nasa, nature, science, Sea Ice, Seth Borenstein |
YOU will not see this inconvenient empirical data anywhere on the climate-theory-obsessed mainstream media, because it’s good news about the Arctic, and that directly contradicts their relentless bombardment of doom and gloom about Arctic sea-ice and its purported “Death Spiral”.
TO report the massive expansion of thick, multi-year ice that has built up over the past ten years threatens both media and alarmist scientists – egos, jobs, reputations and government (taxpayer) grant money…
Via Tony Heller’s Real Climate Science :
Scary Times For Climate Alarmists
Posted on July 10, 2018 by tonyheller
Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut
There has been a huge expansion of thick ice over the last ten years.
2008 2018
The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search
Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014
Scary Times For Climate Alarmists | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog
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Posted: June 26, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmism uncovered, Alarmist Godfathers, Alarmist media, Alarmist Predictions, Arctic, Climatism, Dud predictions, Empirical Evidence, Fact Check, Failed Climate Models, Global Temperature, Govt Climate Agenda, NASA, Pseudo-Science | Tags: arctic, Arctic Sea Ice, carbon dioxide emissions, Climate Change, Climate Change Hoax, Climate Change Scam, Dud Predictions, failed climate models, Global Warming, Global Warming Hoax, Global Warming Scam, Global Warming Scare, hansen, James Hansen, nasa, nature, Richard Lindzen, science, Timothy Wirth |
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation
“It’s very hard to see us fixing the climate, until we fix our democracy.” – James Hansen
“I believe it is appropriate to have an ‘over-representation’ of the facts
on how dangerous it is, as a predicate for opening up the audience.”
– Al Gore
“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” – HL Mencken
*
IT’S been 30 years since former NASA climate director James E. Hansen, sponsored by Democrat senator Timothy Wirth, made his ‘stage-crafted’ testimony to the U.S. Senate proclaiming that human emissions were dangerously heating the planet.
IT was Hansen’s testimony – made on a sweltering summer’s day during then the hottest year on record – that put climate change on the front page of newspapers.
Global Warming Has Begun, Expert Tells Senate – The New York Times
THAT day was by far the hottest June 22 on record in the US, with almost the entire country over 90 degrees and much of the country over 100 degrees… Read the rest of this entry »
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Posted: June 17, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmist media, Alarmist Predictions, Australia, Climate Alarmism, Climate History, Climate models, Climatism, CSIRO, Dud predictions, Failed Climate Models, Global Temperature, IPCC, Snow Pack | Tags: Alarmism, Alarmist Media, Australia, Australian Alps, carbon dioxide emissions, Climate Change, climate models, CSIRO, Dud Predictions, failed climate models, Failed CMIP5 Models, Global Temperature, Global Warming, IPCC, Mt Buller, Perisher, Precipitation, Record Snow, snow, Snow Extent, Snow Pack Data, Thredbo |
“The problem isn’t that Johnny can’t read.
The problem isn’t even that Johnny can’t think.
The problem is that Johnny doesn’t know what thinking is;
he confuses it with feeling.”
– Thomas Sowell
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AUSTRALIA’S ‘premier’ science body, the CSIRO, is a prime example of a government funded agency who has been fatally captured by global warming groupthink and climate change hysteria, resulting in a litany of failed predictions and costly fear-mongering, thanks in part to their own contribution to the global set of overheated climate models.
AN example of the CSIRO’s fealty towards the Climate Crisis Industry can be seen in the use of sea level rise figures far in excess of even the IPCC…
In its 2012 report, State of the Climate, the CSIRO says that since 1993 sea levels have risen up to 10mm a year in the north and west. That means that somewhere has had a 19cm-rise in sea level since 1993. Where is this place? The European satellite says that sea levels have been constant for the past eight years.
CSIRO alarmism more dangerous than Co2 | The Australian
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A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that resorts could lose a quarter of their snow within 15 years…
Icons under threat: The Alps – General – In Depth – theage.com.au
“For the first time, they realised that their attention should be directed to a common enemy,” says Andrew Fairley, head of the Alpine Resorts Co-ordinating Council, which advises the State Government and oversees the management of Victoria’s six snow resorts. “And that enemy is climate change.”
Like those who rely on the Great Barrier Reef, the Australian ski industry sees itself as a frontline victim of global warming. A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that the resorts could lose a quarter of their snow in 15 years, and half by 2050. The worst case was a 96 per cent loss of snow by mid-century.
Icons under threat: The Alps – General – In Depth – theage.com.au
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CSIRO – Simulations of future snow conditions in the Australian alpine regions
Conclusion:
The low impact scenario for 2020 has a minor impact on snow conditions. Average season lengths are reduced by around five days. Reductions in peak depths are usually less than 10%, but can be larger at lower sites (e.g. Mt Baw Baw and Wellington High Plains).
The high impact scenario for 2020 leads to reductions of 30-40 days in average season lengths. At higher sites such as Mt Hotham, this can represent reductions in season duration of about 25%, but at lower sites such as Mt Baw Baw the reduction can be more significant (up to 60%)…
We have very high confidence (at least 95%) that the low impact scenarios will be exceeded and the high impact scenarios will not be exceeded.
https://www.climatechange.vic.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0015/73212/TheImpactofClimateChangeonSnowConditions2003.pdf (Page Not Found – hmm)
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ALL around the world, warmist institutions and the climate-theory-obsessed compliant mainstream media were once predicting the end of snow… Read the rest of this entry »
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Posted: April 16, 2018 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmism uncovered, Antarctic, Antarctica, AR5, Carbon Dioxide, Climate models, Climatism, CO2, Failed Climate Models, IPCC, NASA | Tags: antarctic, Antarctica, AR5, arctic, carbon dioxide emissions, Climate Change, climate models, Climate science, Climatism, CMIP5, CO2, failed climate models, global cooling, Global Warming, IPCC, Mainstream media, nasa, nature, science, Sea Ice, South Pole, Weather |
The Ross Ice Shelf is Freezing, Not Melting. Which Is Weird | Popular Mechanics
IT’S time for ‘that talk’. You know, the one we’ve been putting off because it’s ‘inconvenient’. That end-of-life conversation…
YEP! Antarctica, the ‘inconvenient’ pole, the naughty child, has been gaining ice mass and cooling for decades, despite a 20 per cent increase in atmospheric CO2, and model predictions to the contrary.
2015 NASA Study
NASA Study: Mass Gains of Antarctic Ice Sheet Greater than Losses | NASA
Guardian Report 2015
Why is Antarctic sea ice at record levels despite global warming? | Environment | The Guardian
2017 Study
From the abstract:
Mass changes of the Antarctic ice sheet impact sea-level rise as climate changes, but recent rates have been uncertain. Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat) data (2003–08) show mass gains from snow accumulation exceeded discharge losses by 82 ± 25 Gt a−1, reducing global sea-level rise by 0.23 mm a−1.
Mass gains of the Antarctic ice sheet exceed losses | Journal of Glaciology | Cambridge Core
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