PANIC DENIED : Sea Levels In And Around Sydney Harbour 1886 to 2018

Sydney Harbour Sea Levels 1886-2018 - CLIMATISM

Sydney Harbour Sea Levels 1886-2018 | CLIMATISM


“CLIMATE alarmism is a gigantic fraud:
it only survives by suppressing dissent and by spending
tens of billions of dollars of public money
every year on pseudo-scientific propaganda.”
Leo Goldstein

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SEA-LEVEL RISE alarmism is just one in a long line of propaganda tools used by the Climate Crisis Industry to promote the narrative that human CO2 emissions are causing dangerous global warming climate change.

VERY little of the carefully orchestrated fear-mongering is based on observed reality and empirical evidence, rather, worst-case climate model scenarios pushed into the unaccountable future, designed to scare you and policy makers into (costly) “climate action now!”.

SEA level alarmism holds significant implications for the public who bear the burden of carbon-dioxide related taxes. Those living within coastal areas, constrained by further punitive imposts as insurance companies exploit the climate of fear for their own profit.

SEA levels vary by geographical region from positive to neutral to negative. Where positive sea-level ‘rise’ is concerned, the best science demonstrates that there is no immediate or long-term crisis in play. Importantly, no acceleration has been detected in the era of industrialisation.

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VIV Forbes of the Carbon Sense Coalition is a member of the climate-realist think tank The Salt Bush Club  – a group of famed ex-industry leaders and climate science experts fighting back against dangerous and costly climate alarmism with fact-based reports filled with reason and common sense. Not hyper-climate alarmism and climate-model based theory that underpins mainstream media climate reporting.

FROM their About page:

INTRODUCING THE SALTBUSH CLUB

banner-5

Members, Skills and Concerns

“We have been listening to scare-mongers and panicky children for too long – it’s time to listen to sensible people and grown-ups.”
November 2018

The Saltbush Club is an unplanned venture. Tapping a deep vein of public concern about the Paris climate agreement, it just grew. In about a month, with zero corporate or government support, a few lone individuals have attracted an imposing line-up of sensible people who are well informed on all aspects of the climate debate, and on the growing energy, water and infrastructure problems facing Australia. Many are only prepared to publicise their concern since they have been freed from corporate, academic or government restraints. They are now expressing long-held but often-suppressed opinions.

A much larger group of “Silent Members” have indicated support, but do not want their names made public because they fear that exposure would harm their prospects for employment, promotion or business. They will help, but silently.

All Saltbush members are concerned that climate-alarm policies promoted by most politicians are not based on sound science, and are already causing great damage to Australian industry, jobs and consumers.

Members include people with formal qualifications and experience in geology, physics, chemistry, meteorology, astronomy, climatology, spectroscopy, electromagnetic radiation, geophysics, geochemistry, land forms, sea levels, vulcanology, palynology, engineering, metallurgy, law, medicine, veterinary science, pharmacy, pathology, sociology, classics, economics, accounting, ecology, soil science, environmental science, carbon accounting, pollution control, mathematics, statistics, electronics, communications, computer science, modelling and forecasting. No longer can it be claimed that there is “no debate among scientists”.

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They understand that the war on hydro-carbon fuels and grazing animals in Australia is not based on sound science, but is part of a broad international agenda designed to strengthen UN agencies, centralise decision making and weaken property rights with international rules and taxes.

They aim to change the climate of public opinion, thus changing the political agenda.

There is no consensus – it is time for a debate.

On behalf of the founders:

Jerry Ellis Chairman
Hugh Morgan
Jo Nova Media Director
Ian Plimer
Viv Forbes Executive Director

See a list of founding members here: https://saltbushclub.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/saltbush-founding-members.pdf

About – The Saltbush Club

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Dr G M Derrick reports the simple facts on the state of sea-level rise around Sydney Harbour over the past 132 years of records.

THE information is what we should be receiving from our politicians and media. Instead the information we receive about climate change and sea-levels is filled with exaggeration, alarmism, ‘homogenisation’, and plenty of politics in order to drive a political agenda of climate catastrophe in order to justify costly fixes, schemes, scams and taxes.

THE big losers – empirically-based science, the simple truth and the taxpayer who is forced to pay billions upon billions for fake fixes (windmills, solar panels and carbon taxes) to a fake scam.

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sea-levels-sydney-724x1024

The Carbon Sense Coalition » Sea levels in and around Sydney Harbour 1886 to 2018

By Dr G M Derrick

Executive Summary

  1. There has been NO significant sea level rise in the harbour for the past 120 years, and what little there has been is about the height of a matchbox over a century.
  2. Along the northern beaches of Sydney, at Collaroy there has been no suggestion of any sea level rise there for the past 140 years. Casual observations from Bondi Beach 1875 to the present also suggest the same benign situation.
  3. A rush to judgement by local councils and State Governments by legislating harsh laws and building covenants along our coastlines now seems misplaced.
  4. The falsehoods and mendacity of the IPCC and climate alarmists should be rejected out of hand, and efforts be made to ensure that science, not propaganda, defines our school curricula in matters of climate and sea levels

Full article: https://saltbushclub.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/sea-levels-sydney.pdf [PDF, 3 MB]

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CLIMATISM SL SUPPORTS

SEA LEVELS

SEAS have risen 400 feet or 120,000 mm since the end of the last Ice Age, around 15,000-20,000 years ago :

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SEA-LEVEL RISE ACCELERATION?

WHAT is pertinent to the sea-level rise debate is whether SLR is accelerating due to human CO2 emissions.

Dr Judith Curry …

Sea level has been rising for the last ten thousand years, since the last Ice Age…the question is whether sea level rise is accelerating owing to human caused emissions.  It doesn’t look like there is any great acceleration, so far, of sea level rise associated with human warming.  These predictions of alarming sea level rise depend on massive melting of the big continental glaciers — Greenland and Antarctica.  The Antarctic ice sheet is actually growing.  Greenland shows large multi-decadal variability. ….  There is no evidence so far that humans are increasing sea level rise in any kind of a worrying way.” — Dr. Judith Curry, video interview published 9 August 2017

“Observed sea level rise over the last century has averaged about 8 inches, although local values may be substantially more or less based on local vertical land motion, land use, regional ocean circulations and tidal variations.

(Climatism bolds)

Sea level rise acceleration (or not): Projections for the 21st century | Climate Etc.

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ACCORDING to “the science” there has been no stat-sig or relevant acceleration of sea-level rise since industrialisation :

short-term-tide-gauge-records-from-one-location-are-inadequate-to-infer-global-sea-level-acceleration-springerlink.png

Short-Term Tide Gauge Records from One Location are Inadequate to Infer Global Sea-Level Acceleration | SpringerLink

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SOMETHING other than carbon dioxide caused seas to rise, at the current steady rate, around 1790 :

(NB// 85% of man-made CO2 was emitted after 1945.)

it-wasn_t-co2-global-sea-levels-started-rising-before-1800-c2ab-jonova-climatism

It wasn’t CO2: Global sea levels started rising before 1800 « JoNova

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NO ‘acceleration’ in sea-level rise exists in any NOAA or PSMSL tidal gauge records :

Relative Sea Level Trend
680-140 Sydney, Fort Denison 1 & 2, Australia

relative-sea-level-trend-680-140-sydney-fort-denison-1-2-australia-noaa-tides-currents

Relative Sea Level Trend 680-140 Sydney, Fort Denison 1 & 2, Australia – NOAA Tides & Currents

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ONE third of all human (CO2) influence has occurred over the past 20-30 years which has not caused acceleration of sea-levels, a jot :

680-140_Sydney_2016-04_anthro_vs_natural2

Relative Sea Level Trend 680-140 Sydney, Fort Denison 1 & 2, Australia – NOAA Tides & Currents

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THOUGH not as ‘scientific’, it is interesting to use the visual point of Fort Denison to note the high-tide line and the notable absence of SL rise since 1885 to present :

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COASTAL INSURANCE IMPLICATIONS

CLIMATE change hysteria and groupthink propaganda freely and uncritically spread by the compliant mainstream media has influenced local municipalities to wrongly and deceptively raise rates to cover “climate change” threats and damage as well insurance companies raising premiums. The result has been a devaluing of many coastal homes of up to 25% and the same increase in insurance premiums.

HERE’s an example of what the NSW Govt and Lake Macquarie Council are projecting for the 21st Century:

image_thumb7

Quantifying Sea Level Fall | Watts Up With That?

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OVERHEATED, CO2-CENTRIC U.N. IPCC CLIMATE MODELS

THE very same modelled exaggeration alarmism is evident in the ensemble of U.N. IPCC CMIP5 climate models that basically act as evidence that drives the entire $2,000,000,000,000 US per year (2 Trillion) Climate Crisis Industry and associated climate policy settings that are sending Australian and other Western nations’ electricity prices through the roof, forcing businesses to close and/or move offshore and causing rampant energy poverty, hurting our most vulnerable.

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IT’S OFFICIAL : South Australia Has The World’s Highest Power Prices!

(With the closure of the 1,550 MW Hazlewood power plant in Victoria, since this chart was produced, Victoria’s power prices are now nearing SA’s)

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CONCLUSION

ENERGY poverty, rising insurance premiums, business closures, job losses and the highest electricity prices in the world is the grim reality of what life looks like under the totalitarian rule of the feel-good ‘Greens’. The zero-emissions zealots who want to force us backwards down the energy ladder to the days of human, animal and solar power.

JUST as socialist central planning failed miserably before it was replaced by free market economies, green central planning will have to be discarded before Australia and other Western nations, crippled by pseudoscientific climatology and the mad rush into costly and intermittent ‘green’ energy, will see a return to energy security, competitive pricing, business prosperity, job opportunities and a ‘liveable’ existence for our most vulnerable.

••• Read the rest of this entry »


SUMMER Causes Climate Change Hysteria

Climate Change Panic CLIMATISM


AFTER a brutally cold 2017/18 winter that witnessed record cold and snowfall across most of the Northern Hemisphere and snow again reaching all 50 states of the US, climate ambulance chasers have been eager to jump on recent heatwaves that have hit parts of the US and Europe…

Deadly heat waves to become more common - CNN

Deadly heat waves to become more common – CNN

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ROY Spencer, PhD meteorologist with 40 years experience cools down the predicted hysteria with a healthy dose of stubborn facts and historical records that show nothing unusual about the latest ‘summer’ heatwaves…

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Summer Causes Climate Change Hysteria

Read the rest of this entry »


Extreme Weather Is Not Getting Worse – Dr Roger Pielke Jr

Dear climate change alarmist media, politicians and the warming faithful,

*Extreme weather is NOT getting worse*

The inconvenient data laid out here on one the favoured weapons of mass climate hysteria – “Extreme Weather”, by climate change disaster expert – Dr. Roger Pielke Jr., a Professor in the Environmental Studies Program at the University of Colorado…

“Floods suck when they occur. The good news is U.S. flood damage is sharply down over 70 years,”

In a message aimed at climate activists and many in the media, Pielke cautioned:

“Remember, disasters can happen any time and they suck. But it is also good to understand long-term trends based on data, not hype.”

Pielke also pointed to the hard scientific data that shows other types of extreme weather are *not getting worse and may in fact be improving*.

“Is U.S. drought getting worse? No,” Pielke wrote

Read on for more hard scientific data that completely contradicts warming alarmist dogma that your CO2 emissions cause “extreme weather”…

NB, the next time you view, read or hear your favoured media hyperventilating over an ‘Extreme Weather’ event, remember that there weren’t as many smart phones last century, and keep in mind the old saying “if it bleeds, it leads.”

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

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http://www.climatedepot.com/2016/08/23/floods-are-not-increasing-dr-roger-pielke-jr-slams-global-warming-link-to-floods-extreme-weather-how-does-media-get-away-with-this/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+ClimateDepot+%28Climate+Depot%29

From Climate Depot:

Dr. Roger Pielke Jr., a Professor in the Environmental Studies Program at the University of Colorado and a Fellow of the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), slammed the linkage of global warming to the recent Louisiana floods and other types of extreme weather. (See: Bill Nye: Climate change is reason for Louisiana floods)

Pielke authored the 2014 book “The Rightful Place of Science: Disasters and Climate Change.”

“Flood disasters are sharply down. U.S. floods not increasing either,” Pielke Jr. declared on August 23. Pielke rebuked New York Times columnist Paul Krugman for linking floods to climate change. Krugman blamed “climate change” for ‘a proliferation of disasters like the one in Louisiana.’

“How does Krugman get away with this?” Pielke asked while showcasing this scientific graph.

“Floods suck when they occur. The good news is U.S. flood damage…

View original post 189 more words


Empirically Naming Climate Alarmists

The fate of mankind, as well as of religion, depends upon
the emergence of a new faith in the future.
Armed with such a faith, we might find
it possible to resanctify the earth.

– Al Gore,
Earth in the Balance

What If Hurricanes Were Named For Climate Change Deniers?

Is it time to adopt a new naming system for hurricanes?

A new video from 350 Action proposes the World Meteorological Organization drop its pre-determined tropical cyclone list and name the storms for politicians who deny climate change.

Although “many” policymakers still engage in climate change denial, the group writes on an accompanying website, “The scientific community is in agreement: Climate change is the reason why we’re experiencing more and more frequent and intense weather, including extreme hurricanes and tropical storms.” 

Huffington Post

“As climate change continues to create more frequent and devastating storms, we propose a new naming system.”

•••

Climate change alarmists use names, fear, stunts and hysteria to avoid debating facts.

Empirical-evidence from the latest Government data tells us they might be waiting a while to name anything! …

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NO MAJOR (category 3-5) HURRICANE STRIKES FOR 8 YEARS

As of today, it has been 2,864 days or 7.9 years since the US has been hit by a Cat 3 or greater hurricane. The last such hurricane was Wilma on October 24th, 2005. Hurricanes are actually getting not worse, but fewer. Grover Cleveland, who was president between 1885 and 1889, had 27 major hurricanes during his presidency. Only 3 major hurricanes have made landfall during Obama’s tenure thus far.

Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. summarises:

HURRICANE FREQUENCY

The graph above provides an update to data on the remarkable ongoing US “intense hurricane drought.” When the Atlantic hurricane season starts next June 1, it will have been 2,777 days since the last time an intense (that is a Category 3, 4 or 5) hurricane made landfall along the US coast (Wilma in 2005). Such a prolonged period without an intense hurricane landfall has not been observed since 1900. 

Roger Pielke Jr, December 10, 2012:

…After adjusting for patterns of development, over the long term there is no climate change signal … of increasing damage from extreme events either globally or in particular regions.

 

Hurricanes are actually getting not worse, but fewer. Grover Cleveland, who was president between 1885 and 1889, had 27 major hurricanes during his presidency. Only three major hurricanes have made landfall during Obama’s tenure thus far.

Obama HURRICANES

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html

No US Child Has Ever Seen A Category Five Hurricane

Posted on Real Science August 24, 2013 by stevengoddard

Today is the 21st anniversary of Hurricane Andrew, the last category 5 hurricane to hit the US. This means that no US child has ever seen a storm that strong. Andrew made landfall in Florida with winds over 150 MPH

ScreenHunter_366 Aug. 24 13.38

ScreenHunter_367 Aug. 24 13.40

Two other category five hurricanes hit the US last century – Camille in 1969 and the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935, which was the most intense hurricane to hit the US since 1850.

The US has not been hit by a major (category 3-5)  hurricane in eight years, the longest such period since the Civil War. Florida has not been hit by any hurricane for eight years, by far the longest such period on record for that state.

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AUSTRALIAN CYCLONE FREQUENCY & SEVERITY DECREASING :

PEER-REVIEW STUDY ScienceDirect.com – Reconstructing tropical cyclone frequency using hydrogen isotope ratios of sedimentary n-alkanes in northern Queensland, Australia

Findings:

“This suggests that on average tropical cyclone frequency did not change during the past 200 years.”

BOM Tropical Cyclone trends are down with less frequency and severity:

tc-graph-1969-2012

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SLOWEST TORNADO SEASON ON RECORD

torngraph thru August 2013

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/torngraph.png

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SECOND SLOWEST US FIRE SEASON ON RECORD

Screen Shot 2013-08-28 at , August 28, 12.32.56 AM

http://www.nifc.gov/fireInfo/nfn.htm

California Ravaged By Forest Fires – During The Low CO2 Year Of 1936

Posted on Real Science August 27, 2013 by stevengoddard

Middlesboro Daily News – Oct 16, 1936

cali fire

Middlesboro Daily News – Google News Archive Search

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LITTLE CHANGE IN GLOBAL DROUGHT OVER THE PAST 60 YEARS

Screen Shot 2013-08-28 at , August 28, 12.35.55 AM

Little change in global drought over the past 60 years : Nature : Nature Publishing Group

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US HEAT-WAVES

According to the EPA, the worst heat-waves occurred during the 1930s. Heat waves occurred with high frequency in the 1930s, and these remain the most severe heat waves in the U.S. historical record

US Heatwaves

http://www.epa.gov/climate/climatechange/pdfs/print_heat-waves.pdf

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NO GLOBAL WARMING FOR 17 YEARS

Satellite temperature records on six different data sets show that there has been no atmospheric global warming since 1998 or any statistically-significant warming for between 18 and 23 years. A distinct lack of any warming evident, despite a dramatic rise in industrial greenhouse gas emissions over the same period:

SIX DIFFERENT DATA SETS - GLOBAL TEMP

WoodForTrees.org

Peer-Reviewed studies that confirm a lack of any global warming since 1998:

  • Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998–2008
  • Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade
  • Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years – Nature Climate Change 28/8/2013
  • Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling – Nature Journal 28/8/2013
  • Warmist scientists talk about no Global Warming

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EXTREME WEATHER

  • Official IPCC Words “We Do Not Know If The Climate Is Becoming More Extreme“
  • Nature Journal: Better models are needed before exceptional events can be reliably linked to global warming. Extreme weather : Nature News & Comment

H/t to Al Zore – @ICLEI_AGENDA21


FACT CHECK: Kerry dishes some iffy Climate Change claims abroad

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Hot off the heels of the AP scandal involving the U.S. Department of Justice’s seizure of Associated Press phone records. AP slaps back with a fact checking exercise of State Secretary John Kerrie’s trip to ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia. http://apnews.myway.com/article/20130527/DA6HGEEO1.html

KERRY on climate change: “We’re below the Kyoto levels now.”

THE FACTS: The 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which the Clinton administration signed but never won ratification for, called on the U.S. to cut its greenhouse gas emissions 6 percent from 1990 levels. Although a natural gas surge and economic woes have helped the U.S. lower emissions, they were still up some 9.5 percent from 1990 to 2011, the last year for which full data is available. Kerry also said the country met a target to cut emissions by 17 percent from 2005 levels by 2020. Government data shows about a 7 percent reduction from 2005 to 2011.

International Energy Statistics By Region:

http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/iedindex3.cfm?tid=90&pid=44&aid=8&cid=regions&syid=1990&eyid=2011&unit=MMTCD

JWS