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20 New Papers Crush Claims Of A Man-Made Link To Arctic Climate Change, Glacier Retreat, Sea Ice

PolarbearArctic2

Via By on 8. February 2018 // NoTricksZone :

Anthropogenic Influence On Arctic Climate

‘Too Small To Be Detected’

Anthropogenic-Signal-Not-Detectable-Greenland-Ice-Sheet-Melt-Haines-2016.jpg

Source: Haine, 2016

The evidence compiled in scientific papers continues to rapidly accumulate.

An anthropogenic signal in the regional Arctic climate is still too small to be detected.

Temperature, glacier melt, and sea ice changes are all well within the range of natural variation for the Arctic region.  The changes that do occur have identifiable origins that are unrelated to atmospheric CO2 concentrations or human emissions.

Below is a brief summary of some of the latest research that underscores the lack of connection between anthropogenic influences and climate-related changes in the Arctic.

Read the papers here…

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Related :

Climatism Related :

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ARCTIC SEA ICE — Ice Traps Narwhals

“The pity is that Alarmist media cannot seem to educate the public, and doesn’t do a little reading-up on the subject, but rather seems determined to horrify. Horror is not helpful, unless your intent is to herd people with a sort of bullying. To paraphrase FDR, in truth we have nothing to be horrified about but horror itself.”

A truly glorious read on the wonders of the Arctic wilderness and its wildlife, to the not so wondrous world of the politicisation of climate ‘science’…

Thanks Caleb!

Sunrise's Swansong

One thing that has fascinated me, in my study of sea-ice, is how swiftly vast areas can freeze over. This is apparent from many sources.

The captains of whaling ships, tempted north by whale’s habit of hunting in the rich ecosystem that exists at the very edge of the ice, sometimes appear like cowards for turning tail and fleeing the refreeze far before the whales chose to depart. (You might think whales would know best when to depart, for they suffocate when trapped under ice). However this choice does not seem so foolish once you understand larger whales could break up through a foot of ice, (with smaller beluga whales following and using the air-holes big whales created), while, without a strong following wind, a sailing craft could be bogged down and halted by a skim of ice only an inch thick. And despite all precautions, the ice formed so…

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Arctic Ice Goes Above Average

More inconvenient climate change (aka global warming) news…

Science Matters

Heavy ice is making it impossible for fishermen from the Twillingate area to get to their crab fishing grounds. It may not open up until mid-May. (Twitter/@jeddore1972) Source: CBC

The title of this post sounds contradictory to most of what the media is saying about Arctic ice being in a tailspin, setting records for low extents, etc. And reports of ice blocking Newfoundland also fly in the face of media claims.

I will let you in on a secret: Arctic Ocean ice is doing fine and well above the decadal average. The only place where ice is below normal is outside the Arctic Ocean, namely Bering and Okhotsk Seas in the Pacific. Claims of disappearing ice pertain not to the Arctic itself, but to marginal Pacific seas that will melt out anyway in September.

I noticed the pattern this April when it became obvious that including Bering and Okhotsk in…

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NSIDC Confirm Low Arctic Ice Due To Influx Of Warm Atlantic Water

Great analysis by Paul Homewood explaining the “SUPER HOT” Arctic atmosphere, that has become the latest, hysterical climate (weather) event of the month pushed by climate alarmists.

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

osisaf_nh_iceextent_daily_5years_en

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php

There has been increasing hysteria from global warming alarmists lately about polar sea ice trends.

So let’s start with the Arctic, where sea ice extent, despite some unusually, but certainly not unprecedented, mild weather in the last couple of months, has been tracking close to 2012.

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YES! The Climate Changes

climate-changes

People who follow the “climate change” mantra know exactly what to think and feel about the topic but have no concept of the facts. This is problematic as the inability to recognise and compare historical evidence against real-world data, ferments a groupthink hysteria that global warming climate change is unprecedented and caused solely by evil humans.

This is simply not true. Climate change, extreme or otherwise, has been happening for billions of years, and yes, well before industrialisation.

Climate group-thinkers are very strong on opinion and shonky on facts. They know what they should think about global warming climate change, but have no idea why they should think it.

This five minute US congressional video highlights brilliantly the fact-free, pseudoscientific groupthink zealotry that has so dangerously infected the gullible, and inspired a trillion dollar faith-based industry we know as “climate change”.

Be sure to watch this ‘ouch’ moment c/o Barack Obama’s Chief Climate Advisor… 🤔

Obama’s Chief Climate Adviser on 1920s global warming: ‘It is a crisis we’re trying to address’ – YouTube

The article, which was written by the Associated Press, appeared in scores of newspapers around the country in November of 1922. A researcher named John Lockwood found the article archived at the Library of Congress in 2007.

The article was based on a report that appeared in the November 1922 edition of the Monthly Weather Review. The original report says an expedition was sent by the Norwegian Department of Commerce to the Arctic Circle to survey land and to make “oceanographic investigations.” According to excerpts from the report:

“The Arctic Ocean is warming up, icebergs are growing scarcer and in some places the seals are finding the water too hot, according to a report to the Commerce Department yesterday from Consul Ifft, at Bergen, Norway.

“Reports from fishermen, seal hunters and explorers, he declared, all point to a radical change in climate conditions and hitherto unheard-of temperatures in the Arctic zone. 

“Exploration expeditions report that scarcely any ice has been met with as far north as 81 degrees 29 minutes. Soundings to a depth of 3,100 meters showed the gulf stream still very warm.

Great masses of ice have been replaced by moraines of earth and stones, the report continued, while at many points well known glaciers have entirely disappeared.

“Very few seals and no white fish are found in the eastern Arctic, while vast shoals of herring and smelts, which have never before ventured so far north, are being encountered in the old seal fishing grounds.”

Ice conditions were exceptional. In fact, so little ice has never before been noted … This is the farthest north ever reached with modern oceanographic apparatus.

“…It is of interest to note the unusually warm summer in Arctic Norway and the observations of Capt. MartinIngebrigstaen, who has sailed the eastern Arctic for 54 years past.

“He says that he first noted warmer conditions in 1918, that since that time it has steadily gotten warmer, and that to-day the Arctic of that region is not recognizable as the same region of 1868 to 1917.”

Washington Post story from 1922 stating the Arctic was getting warmer and ice was melting.

Yes! The Climate Changes, even when your SUV is garaged.

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Related :

UN Climate Alarmism Related :

Arctic Recovery Related :

H/t to Schnapps (@schnappskopf) | Twitter


The Glacial Attack

Note to readers:

  • Detailed satellite measurements of glaciers and ice extent only began after 1979. We therefore only have 34 years of satellite monitoring to base detailed observations on. For historical climate perspective we have to rely on literal first-hand accounts and observations for any time before 1979.
  • Is the decline of Arctic sea ice extent from the century maximum of 1979 and glacial retreat in some areas, proof of ‘man-made’ global warming? Historical records tend to disagree or show similar, if not much warmer periods and greater melt occurrence throughout our history.
  • Real Science has compiled brilliant examples of ‘first-hand’ accounts and observations from press clippings when the polar regions have been in warm/warmer cycles throughout human observable history. Fascinating reading, if you’re into a climate historical perspective…
  • AGW climate alarmists will scoff at this list, because they like to believe the climate started in 1976, when the planet came out it’s 1945-1976 cooling phase and began the supposed ‘anthropogenic’ warming phase, until all that warming came to a grinding halt in 1998.

Real Science

Lots of comments today from people whining about man-made glacial retreat. I assume it is an organized event, so let’s just put it to bed right now.

The current Greenland warming, while not yet quite matching the temperatures of 70 years ago …..

– Walt Meier NSIDC

“Examination of several proxy records (e.g., sediment cores) of sea ice indicate ice-free or near ice-free summer conditions for at least some time during the period of 15,000 to 5,000 years ago”

– Walt Meier NSIDC

CLEVELAND, Feb. 16 (A.A.P.) Dr. William S. Carlson, an Arctic expert, said to-night that the Polar icecaps were melting at an astonishing and unexplained rate and were threatening to swamp seaports   by raising the ocean levels.

Leading Arctic expert from 1953

The glaciers of Norway and Alaska are only half the size they were 50 years age. The temperature around Spitsbergen has so modified that the sailing time has lengthened…

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Arctic Sea-Ice “Death Spiral”

It doesn’t matter what is true,
it only matters what people believe is true
.”
– Paul Watson,
co-founder of Greenpeace

According the top US scientists the Arctic should be ‘ice-free’ in a few weeks:

Screen Shot 2013-07-31 at , July 31, 12.42.21 PM

Professor Paul Wedhams delays an ‘ice-free’ Arctic by two years:

“Given present trends in extent and thickness, the ice in September will be gone in a very short while, perhaps by 2015.”

Screen Shot 2013-07-31 at , July 31, 12.50.14 PM

‘Arctic is Rotten and decayed and will all melt soon’

Via Real Science:

ScreenHunter_381 Jul. 29 12.06

David Barber says that the little remaining ice in the Arctic is rotten and decayed and will all melt soon. (He has been saying that for every year I can remember.)

Paul Beckwith of Sierra Club Canada still thinks “Arctic sea ice will vanish” in a few weeks:

Screen Shot 2013-07-31 at , July 31, 12.57.25 PM

National Geographic laments:

“Arctic Ice in ‘Death Spiral” with additional heating due to global warming, the extent of sea ice cover has gotten smaller and smaller over the summers since the 1980s. 

Screen Shot 2013-07-31 at , July 31, 1.01.12 PM

Look forward to Nat Geo’s Arctic ice Death Spiral, rotten decaying, ice-free arctic 2013 update: “We’ve got no idea what we’re talking about. However human’s are still to blame, the problem of global warming will hopefully not go away.”

From Real Science:

Reader Brian D sent over this 1971 National Geographic map, which shows that there is a lot more Arctic sea ice now than there was 42 years ago.

ScreenHunter_11 Jul. 30 19.16

Arctic Ocean Map 1971 by National Geographic from Maps.com.

I remember seeing that map at the time.  The next map overlays current ice extent on the 1971 map, with green representing ice present in 2013 that was not present in 1971, and red representing the opposite.

ScreenHunter_12 Jul. 30 19.29

NSIDC likes to pretend that ice has been declining steadily, by starting their graphs near the century maximum in 1978.

ScreenHunter_168 Jun. 15 11.08

N_05_plot.png (420×240)

But sadly for them, the 1990 IPCC report captured the growth in ice prior to 1979.

ScreenHunter_170 Jun. 15 11.10

www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf

NCAR mentioned the ice growth at the time

by Walter Orr Roberts  Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies, andNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

In February of 1972 earth-orbiting artificial satellites revealed the existence of a greatly increased area of the snow and ice cover of the north polar cap as compared to all previous years of space age observations.

www.iaea.org/Publications/Magazines/Bulletin/Bull165/16505796265.pdf

As did the CIA

PaintImage10991 (1)

CIA Report 1974

Is Mark Serreze hiding the incline of Arctic ice since 1971?

#ArcticIceScam

2013 ARCTIC STATS:

  • 2013: According to Environment Canada, the Western Arctic has the 3rd highest July ice coverage in history:

canada sea ice west arctic 2 record

  • Beaufort Sea ice area currently above normal:

beaufort

  • Arctic sea-ice extent highest for the date since 2005:

Arctic sea ice extent

  • 2013 the coldest summer on record in the Arctic:

COLDEST SUMMER ARCTIC

UPDATE:

Latest Death Spiral Forecast

August 3, 2013by 

Our leading diplomats, scientists and environmental organizations have promised that the remaining 155,000 Manhattans of Arctic sea ice are going to melt in the next week or two. The graph below updates the most likely death spiral trajectory.

ScreenHunter_127 Aug. 03 06.03

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

the Arctic will be ice-free in the summer of 2013

– John Kerry, US Secretary of State

John Kerry: We Can’t Ignore the Security Threat from Climate Change

James Hansen : ‘This is the last chance’

6/23/2008

“We see a tipping point occurring right before our eyes,” Hansen told the AP before the luncheon. “The Arctic is the first tipping point and it’s occurring exactly the way we said it would.”

Hansen, echoing work by other scientists, said thatin five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer.

NASA warming scientist: ‘This is the last chance’ – USATODAY.com

June 26, 2013

The alarming loss of sea ice which has grown worse each summer over the past several decades, has taken a sharp turn for the worse: this year the loss is right in the middle, the most resilient part of the ice cover. This could lead to a completely ice-free Arctic Ocean by September.

Unprecedented hole is growing in Arctic sea ice – Fairfax Climate WatchWhy Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013 | Sierra Club Canada

UPDATE:

NOAA Reminds Us That They Have Degenerated Into A Propaganda Wing Of The White House

ScreenHunter_05 Aug. 06 22.59

Noaa report says Arctic sea ice is disappearing at unprecedented pace | World news | theguardian.com

Disappearing at an unprecedented rate, means growing at an unprecedented rate since last summer.

ScreenHunter_271 Aug. 06 08.02

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Satellite imagery shows that there is 50% more ice than last year (green area.)

ScreenHunter_291 Aug. 06 16.35

UPDATE:

Second Largest Arctic Ice Gain On Record

Arctic ice area has increased by almost 20,000 Manhattans from this date last year, making it the second largest increase on record. The only year which gained more ice was 1996.

In a few days, it is likely that 2013 will move into the #1 spot.

ScreenHunter_64 Aug. 07 22.23

arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/timeseries.anom.1979-2008

 

Cheers, Steven Goddard Real Science