CONTRARY to popular thinking and clever marketing, there is no “consensus” on the theory of dangerous man-made climate change. Too many variables exist within the climate system to allow for certainty of future scenarios.
THIS doesn’t deter the $2,000,000,000,000 US per year (2 Trillion) Climate Crisis Industry who manufacture catastrophic climate scenarios (pushed far enough into the distant future as to not be held accountable) with a guarantee of climate calamity unless their utopian ‘green’ dreams are realised.
BUOYED by their recent House Congress win in the 2018 mid-term elections, the hard-Left of the American Democrat party, led by pinup-socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, have doubled-down on their pet global warming theory, proposing the radically-dystopian climate agenda, a Green New Deal.
FOR all the economic pain and social upheaval that inevitably ensues when draconian climate policy is enacted, it is only fair and reasonable for the taxpayer to ask one simple question about a climate which demands so much of their hard-earned money – “what is broken?”.
THE best way to answer this is to look at the current state of a set of common environmental metrics and analyse their relationship with carbon dioxide – the colourless, odourless, tasteless trace gas at the centre of the supposed “climate crisis”.
CLIMATE CHANGE METRICS
- EXTREME WEATHER (Heatwaves, Cyclones, Hurricanes, Tornadoes, Drought, Floods)
- SEA LEVELS
- POLAR BEARS
- GLOBAL GREENING
- GLOBAL FOOD PRODUCTION
- GLOBAL TEMPERATURE
IN the interests of “cherry-picking”, there are a myriad of environmental metrics that make up the climate system. The examples cited for the purpose of this report are the more common associations picked up by the press and interest groups to facilitate climate change discussion and ‘debate’.
*THE empirical evidence featured in this post is taken from the latest data supplied by government scientific agencies and peer-reviewed studies. Hyper and direct links supplied per sample.
STATE OF ARCTIC SEA-ICE : 2018 SUMMER MINIMUM
ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXTENT (September 2018)
MINIMUM sea-ice extent has been trending up over the past decade. The EXACT opposite of what the press and ‘97% experts’ have been telling you :
ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXTENT TO DATE
ARCTIC sea-ice extent is very close to the 1981-2010 median:
ARCTIC sea-ice extent is essentially unchanged since January 2006:
ARCTIC SEA-ICE VOLUME
THE area of the Arctic covered with thick sea ice has greatly expanded over the past eleven years:
SO far this month, ice volume gain has seen a record high:
AND January 9 Arctic sea ice volume has been increasing for over a decade:
*Support data Via Real Climate Science
MINIMUM sea-ice volume has been rising since 2007:
ARCTIC temperatures correlate almost perfectly with ocean circulation cycles, and show no correlation with atmospheric CO2 levels.
ALARMIST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ARCTIC HYSTERIA
CLIMATE ‘experts’ describe these record large increases in ice as an unprecedented meltdown:
MORE on Arctic Sea-Ice Expansion :
- ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXPLOSION : Largest Increase In November Sea Ice Volume On Record | Climatism
- ARCTIC Supply Service Cancelled : Canadian Coast Guard’s Largest Icebreaker Thwarted By “Extreme Ice” | Climatism
- ICEBREAKER Encounters Most Difficult Arctic Ice Conditions In 15 Years | Climatism
- ICE, ICE BABY! Huge Expansion Of Thick Arctic Ice Over The Last Ten Years | Climatism
- ARCTIC Ice Flash Freezing | Climatism
- STUBBORN : Arctic Sea Ice Just Won’t Play The Game | Climatism
- GLOBAL WARMING SMACKDOWN! Tankers Trapped In Midsummer Arctic Sea Ice | Climatism
- CLIMATE CHANGE Predictions Are “Toast”! Arctic Sea Ice Volume Highest In 14 Years | Climatism
THE South Pole has been a thorn in the side for warming alarmists with the giant ice continent gaining mass and cooling for decades. This despite a 20 per cent increase in atmospheric CO2, and model predictions to the contrary.
2015 NASA STUDY
GUARDIAN REPORT 2015
2016 NATURE STUDY
WHAT’S DRIVING ANTARCTIC SEA-ICE GROWTH?
THANKS to the Journal of Climate by Josefino Comiso et al, we now know what’s driving the increase in Antarctic sea-ice. It’s – wait for it – cooling temperatures over the ocean surrounding Antarctica…
2016 SEA-ICE LOSS
DURING 2016 there was substantial sea-ice loss which still reflects on the record and has become a popular talking point for warmists aiming to discredit the Antarctic with its stable and ‘inconvenient’ ice growth over many decades.
HOWEVER, sound ‘science’ confirmed this was due, not to human-induced “climate change” but thanks to a ‘perfect storm’ of tropical, polar conditions’ :
“This was a really rare combination of events, something that we have never seen before in the observations,” Stuecker said.
LATEST DECEMBER 2018 / JANUARY 2019 ANTARCTICA ANOMALY NSIDC
ANTARCTICA monthly sea-ice extent is very close to the 1981-2010 median:
ANTARCTICA daily sea-ice extent, close to the 1981-2010 median:
THESE charts at odds with NSIDC SH anomaly 1978-2018… (There has been some massive ice growth since I last checked the “blue marble” charts. Both are now back to the 1981-2010 median!?)
2018 ANTARCTIC, BACK-ON-TRACK
APRIL 2018 : BBC was reporting on a big increase in Antarctic snowfall with “The effect of the extra snow locked up in Antarctica is to slightly slow a general trend in global sea-level rise.”
SOUTH POLE ON STILTS!
ANOTHER unique way of knowing that the Antarctic ice mass is growing significantly, year in, year out, is by the structural design of the Amundson-Scott South Pole Station:
THIS is the third station built at this site. The other two have been buried by snow! (see black dome of previous station now partially buried, top right of pic)
FOR the last several decades, Antarctica has been accumulating about 8 inches of snow every year and as temps never get above freezing, the snow never melts!
THE new building comprises 7 modular buildings that sit on stilts. Every year they jack up the buildings over the accumulating snow to prolong the life if the station:
THE South Pole represents 90% of the earth’s ice, and it’s getting thicker. A problem for climate alarmists and their contradictory UN climate models.
BUT, KEEP PANICKING!
ANY sign of ‘warming’ at the inconvenient South Pole sends the climate-theory-obsessed mainstream media into a collective meltdown.
A recent and ongoing example being the discovery of melt occurring along the Western Antarctic ice shelf caused by recently discovered undersea volcanoes, not by evil mankind’s gasses:
WEST-ANTARCTIC DOOMSDAY MEDIA …
- West Antarctic ice sheet collapse ‘unstoppable’ [ABC]
- Irreversible Changes Now Affect Antarctica and the World [Live-science]
- ‘Nothing can stop retreat’ of West Antarctic glaciers [BBC, By Jonathan Amos]
- West Antarctic ice collapse ‘could drown Middle East and Asia crops’ [The Guardian, Suzanne Goldenberg]
- Antarctica’s ice collapse threatens metres of sea level rise within decades [The Ecologist]
- Global warming: it’s a point of no return in West Antarctica. [The Guardian Eric Rignot]
MORE on Antarctica :
- BIAS BY OMISSION : No Mention Of Mother Nature’s Undersea Volcanoes In The Latest Antarctic ‘Global Warming’ Scare Story | Climatism
- ANTARCTICA : It’s Time We Had That Talk | Climatism
- Both Arctic & Antarctic Sea Ice Now at Historic HIGH Levels – Ice Age Now
LATEST ANTARCTIC “MELT” SCARE STORY JUST IN (Worth a read) :
- Taking down the latest Washington Post Antarctic scare story on 6x increased ice melt | Watts Up With That?
EXTREME WEATHER, the Climate Crisis Industries most revered weapon of mass hysteria has been scuttled, once again, by their very own authority, the UN IPCC! The latest report – SR15 – released in October 2018 by the UN’s holiest ‘science’ body finding, yet again, that there is “little basis or evidence” for claiming that heatwaves, drought, floods, hurricanes, cyclones, tornadoes have increased due to greenhouse gas emissions!
BUT, alas! Just as the “low confidence” extreme weather findings from the last SREX report (IPCC AR5 2013) were/are conveniently dismissed by the mainstream media and climate crusaders, so too will the latest ‘inconvenient’ findings from the SR15 ‘Special Report’.
WE know this to be true because the mainstream media and virtue-signalling politicians still manage to blame man-made ‘Climate Change’ for every
weather climate event – exceptional or tepid.
IPCC AR5 / SREX (2013) :
- No steel roof required: IPCC dials back the fear of extreme weather | Climatism
- Pielke Jr. Agrees – ‘Extreme weather to climate connection’ is a dead issue | Watts Up With That?
ACCORDING to the EPA, the low-CO2 1930s had (by far) the worst heatwaves in US history:
AUSTRALIAN TROPICAL CYCLONES
AUSTRALIAN tropical cyclones are declining in both intensity and frequency as CO2 rises:
“No matter if the science of global warming is all phony…
climate change provides the greatest opportunity to
bring about justice and equality in the world.”
– Christine Stewart,
fmr Canadian Minister of the Environment
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
President UN Foundation
WHEN prosecuting the case for “unprecedented” man-made Global Warming, the first thing you need to make sure of is that no recent climate era was as warm or warmer than the present, even if that means having to rewrite the past to fit your narrative.
THE Medieval Warm Period, also known as the Medieval Climate Optimum (due to conditions favoured for crops, life and civilisation to thrive) existed a short time ago in the climate record, from c. 950 to c. 1250., and has remained a thorn in the side, ever since, for today’s
Global Warming Climate Change activist movement.
IN the 1990 IPCC report, the Medieval Warm Period was much warmer than the late 19th century:
THE IPCC’s 1990 report dives deeper into the reality of the Medieval Warm Period and provides an insight into the cause of these warming periods:
“This period of widespread warmth is notable in that there is no evidence that it was accompanied by an increase of greenhouse gases.”
BY the 2001 IPCC report, the Medieval Warm period disappeared and became much cooler than the late 20th century:
BY pure coincidence, in the year 1995 the IPCC made a decision to make the Medieval Warm Period disappear:
YOUTUBE clip of Dr David Deming’s US Senate testimony on the “disappearance” of the Medieval Warm Period (see 01m:50s) :
Video of Dr David Deming’s statement to the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment & Public Works on December 6, 2006. Dr Deming reveals that in 1995 a leading scientist emailed him saying “We have to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period”. A few years later, Michael Mann and the IPCC did just that by publishing the now throughly discredited hockey stick graph.
IN case you missed it…
“I had another interesting experience around the time my paper in Science was published. I received an astonishing email from a major researcher in the area of climate change. He said, “We have to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period.””
The existence of the MWP had been recognized in the scientific literature for decades. But now it was a major embarrassment to those maintaining that the 20th century warming was truly anomalous. It had to be “gotten rid of.””
Statement of Dr. David Deming | U.S. Senate Committee
THE MEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD : GLOBAL and PEER REVIEWED
ACCORDING to multiple lines of “peer-reviewed science”, the Medieval Warm Period was indeed ‘global’ and was as warm, if not warmer than today.
CLICK here for excellent interactive map of clickable peer-reviewed MWP studies in both North and Southern Hemispheres :
THE ‘INCONVENIENT’ PAST
THERE is absolutely nothing unusual about today’s so-called
Global Warming aka Climate Change.
LOOK at how many periods of warmth our planet has enjoyed during the past 10,000 years alone.
CIVILISATIONS flourished during those warm periods (“climate optimums”), and collapsed when they ended.
DID humans cause the Minoan warm period of about 3,300 years ago?
DID humans cause the Roman warm period of about 2,100 years ago?
DID humans cause the Medieval warm period of about 1,000 years ago?
WHAT about all of those other warm periods? Should we blame Fred Flintstone, perhaps?
IF the downward trend in temperature of the past 3,300 years continues, we could be in a heap of trouble. While our leaders keep on wringing their collective hands over global warming, we could be blindsided by an ice age.
ALL this talk about human-caused global warming is sheer nonsense, if not downright fraud. The record shows that both periods of warmth – and periods of cold – hit our planet with almost consistent regularity.
Mother Nature, yet again, doing her best to bury the failed global warming theory. Mainstream media silent, of course…
SEE also :
By Paul Homewood
From David Whitehouse:
In a press release the World Meteorological Organisation said,
The main message was echoed by others, such as the BBC.
Likewise the Guardian:
It all goes to show how temperature data can be misrepresented if you don’t show the temperature data itself.
Fig 1 is the HadCRUT4 monthly global temperature from the UK Met Office.
As you can see a graph tells a very different story. The past decade has a climate change contribution but what elevates the past four years above the previous ones is an El Nino event, the strongest one on record. As we have said many time before an El Nino is not a climatic phenomenon, it is weather. What’s more, after its peak in 2016 the global temperature has fallen by around 0.4° C. The past four years being the warmest on record is true, but it has…
View original post 349 more words
Good find. Makes sense.
By Paul Homewood
We’ve been discussing the sudden rise in UK and European temperatures in the 1990s, and I was reminded about a study undertaken by Clive Best and Euan Mearns looking at the role of cloud cover four years ago:
Clouds have a net average cooling effect on the earth’s climate. Climate models assume that changes in cloud cover are a feedback response to CO2 warming. Is this assumption valid? Following a study with Euan Mearns showing a strong correlation in UK temperatures with clouds, we looked at the global effects of clouds by developing a combined cloud and CO2 forcing model to sudy how variations in both cloud cover  and CO2  data affect global temperature anomalies between 1983 and 2008. The model as described below gives a good fit to HADCRUT4 data with a Transient Climate Response (TCR )= 1.6±0.3°C. The 17-year hiatus in…
View original post 290 more words
WITH the latest release of the UN IPCC Report, it’s worth understanding the current state of the climate in contrast to the doomsday scenarios as predicted by the UN IPCC, based upon their own CMIP5 climate models.
A question pondered via Twitter:
IPCC REPORT: Do politicians actually read the underlying data pertaining to #climate? Or do wildly overheated #UN CMIP5 climate models, alarmist assumptions and appeasement to UN climate gods trump real-world empirical evidence?
global warming climate change scare has almost nothing to do with the environment or “Saving The Planet”. Rather, its roots lie in a misanthropic agenda engineered by the environmental movement of the mid 1970’s, who realised that doing something about claimed man-made “global warming” would play to quite a number of the Left’s social agendas.
IN THEIR (IPCC) OWN WORDS:
ENERGY rationing and the control of carbon dioxide (the direct byproduct of cheap, reliable energy) has always been the key feature of the Left’s misanthropic agenda of
depopulation deindustrialisation. Enforced through punitive emissions controls, protected under the guise of human-induced climate change.
STANFORD University and The Royal Society’s resident global warming alarmist and population freak Paul R. Ehrlich spelled out, in 1976, the anti-energy agenda that still underpins the global warming scare…
“Giving society cheap, abundant energy…
View original post 4,337 more words
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
Fmr President of the UN Foundation
GLOBAL atmospheric temperatures continue their rapid decline off the record heights of the 2016 super El Niño, despite record and rising CO2 emissions.
UAH global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for September, 2018 was +0.14°C, down from +0.19°C in August:
Latest Global Average Tropospheric Temperatures
Since 1979, NOAA satellites have been carrying instruments which measure the natural microwave thermal emissions from oxygen in the atmosphere. The intensity of the signals these microwave radiometers measure at different microwave frequencies is directly proportional to the temperature of different, deep layers of the atmosphere. Every month, John Christy and I update global temperature datasets that represent the piecing together of the temperature data from a total of fifteen instruments flying on different satellites over the years. A discussion of the latest version (6.0) of the dataset is located here.
The graph above represents the latest update; updates are usually made within the first week of every month. Contrary to some reports, the satellite measurements are not calibrated in any way with the global surface-based thermometer records of temperature. They instead use their own on-board precision redundant platinum resistance thermometers (PRTs) calibrated to a laboratory reference standard before launch.
THE September anomaly represents a 0.72°C drop since 2016 super El Niño heights, bringing temps down now to ~1988 levels.
DON’T expect the mainstream media to report in this anytime soon. They are only concerned about hot and climbing temperatures to push their
global warming climate change agenda.
CO2 CONCENTRATION Vs TEMPS – Correlation?
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS – You Be The Judge!
Satellites Vs Land-Based Thermometers?
NASA’s MSU satellite measurement systems, generate the RSS and UAH datasets, which measure the average temperature of every cubic inch of the lower atmosphere, the exact place where global warming theory is meant to occur.
BEFORE 2016, UAH and RSS both tracked closely showing very little warming in their data sets which led to the identification and validation of “the pause” in global warming which has since become the subject of much research and debate in peer-reviewed scientific journals.
From the RSS website:
“The simulation as a whole are predicting too much warming” – RSS
HOWEVER, by 2016, Carl Mears, who is the chief scientist for RSS (Remote Sensing Systems) and who has used the pejorative “denialist” in various correspondence, decided that “the pause” was not a good look for the global warming narrative so RSS was massively adjusted upwards, conveniently eliminating “the pause” in the RSS dataset.
MEARS’ objectivity towards the business of global temperature data collection and reporting can be found in his commentary on his website:
MEARS then published a paper claiming that new and improved adjustments have “found” that missing warming.
Mears, C., and F. Wentz, 2016: Sensitivity of satellite-derived tropospheric
temperature trends to the diurnal cycle adjustment. J. Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLID-
15-0744.1, in press.
Differences between the old version and new version of RSS:
UAH NASA SATELLITE (Featured)
UAH is the satellite data set featured in this post and is jointly run by Dr. John R. Christy – Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science and Director of the Earth System Science Center at The University of Alabama in Huntsville. And Roy Spencer Ph.D. Principal Research Scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville.
SPENCER commentary on the divergence between RSS and UAH post “adjustment”:
“We have a paper in peer review with extensive satellite dataset comparisons to many balloon datasets and reanalyses. These show that RSS diverges from these and from UAH, showing more warming than the other datasets between 1990 and 2002 – a key period with two older MSU sensors both of which showed signs of spurious warming not yet addressed by RSS. I suspect the next chapter in this saga is that the remaining radiosonde datasets that still do not show substantial warming will be the next to be “adjusted” upward.
The bottom line is that we still trust our methodology. But no satellite dataset is perfect, there are uncertainties in all of the adjustments, as well as legitimate differences of opinion regarding how they should be handled.
Also, as mentioned at the outset, both RSS and UAH lower tropospheric trends are considerably below the average trends from the climate models.
And that is the most important point to be made.”
Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD environmental physical
IT was such a success that the San Francisco International Airport’s corporate jet traffic rose roughly 30 percent to accomodate the planets most concerned citizens! Ahem.
NO doubt it was all worth it for the global eco-elites – flexing their moral muscles, nattering on how best to stop you from using cheap, reliable thermal energy sources and how to best control every aspect of your life and lifestyle.
MEANWHILE, at the same summit, four climate scientists, talking “science”, and without spending a cent of your hard-earned taxpayer money, took just 3 minutes and 46 seconds of your precious time to utterly destroy the crumbling edifice that the Climate Crisis Industry relies on to keep their scam afloat and your wallet open – Climate Change Alarmism…
Four climate scientists destroy the anthropogenic global warming myth in response to the Global Climate Action Summit.
Published on Sep 14, 2018
FOR details on the “Arctic dire warning” report featured in the clip, see here:
SEE also :
- CLIMATISM : State Of The Climate Report | Climatism
- 100% Of Climate Models Prove that 97% of Climate Scientists Were Wrong! | Climatism
- Private Jet Traffic Bumped Up 30 Percent During California Climate Conference | The Daily Caller