ALL Quiet On The Climate ‘Emergency’ Front | Climatism
“Blind trust in authority is the greatest enemy of the truth.”
– Albert Einstein
***
H/t EcologySenseUK @uk_ecology
IN case you hadn’t noticed, the COVID19 crisis has been highly successful in drowning out the mainstream media’s go-to-weapon of mass fear and panic – ClimateChange™️.
PERHAPS the timing is fortunate as recent and prominent climate data hasn’t really held up as ammunition-worthy material in support of their “climate emergency” nightly narrative, or whatever the latest GretaThunberg™️ meme of the day requires.
TWO of the favoured metrics used by CC activists and sycophant mainstream media, in order to push their memes, are conditions applicable to the Arctic and Antarctica. Namely, sea-ice levels.
UNFORTUNATELY for climate ambulance chasers, sea-ice levels for the Arctic and Antarctica are tapping and well within the long-term average respectively. Completely at odds with ‘expert’ and mainstream media predictions and U.N. climate model forecasts.
*
ANTARCTIC SEA-ICE
ACCORDING to NOAA, Antarctic sea-ice coverage in March came in “near the 1981–2010 avg & ended a 41-month period of below-avg monthly values.”
#Antarctic #SeaIce coverage in March came in near the 1981–2010 avg & ended a 41-month period of below-avg monthly values: @NOAANCEIclimate https://t.co/FuWUkSdPjC #StateOfClimate pic.twitter.com/Y759LVmL8g
— NOAA (@NOAA) April 13, 2020
THIS rebound time (41 months) matches nicely the time from the date when a significant portion ofAntarcticsea-ice was blasted away by a “perfect storm of tropical, polar conditions not due to climate change” – Malte F. Stuecker et al
Conditions leading to the unprecedented low Antarctic sea ice extent during the 2016 austral spring season – Stuecker – 2017 – Geophysical Research Letters – Wiley Online Library
Sea Ice Index | National Snow and Ice Data Center | Antarctic | NOAA
BLUE MARBLE VIEW
Sea Ice Index | National Snow and Ice Data Center | Antarctic | NOAA
***
ARCTIC SEA-ICE
ACCORDING to NOAA, “March 2020#Arctic#SeaIcecoverage was 11th smallest for March in the 42-year record”
March 2020 #Arctic #SeaIce coverage was 11th smallest for March in the 42-year record: @NOAANCEIclimate https://t.co/FuWUkSdPjC #StateOfClimate pic.twitter.com/1sdinQDL8R
— NOAA (@NOAA) April 13, 2020
Via NSIDC :
Sea Ice Index | National Snow and Ice Data Center | Antarctic | NOAA (Climatism annotation)
NOTE the complete lack of Arctic sea-ice decline over the past 14 years. In fact, sea-ice growth has been trending slightly up since 2006.
WHERE is the acknowledgment from NOAA that there has been *no* trend in Arctic sea-ice melt, at all, since 2006?
PERHAPS I prefer a “glass half full” approach to climate data analysis, whereas NOAA prefers a “glass half empty”, when assessing theirs…
NO doubt you, as a critical thinker, can work out why this is the case.
BLUE MARBLE VIEW
Sea Ice Index | National Snow and Ice Data Center | Arctic | NOAA
***
CONCLUSION
ANTARCTICA has always been a thorn in the side of ClimateChange™️. It is very much the ‘inconvenient’ pole, the naughty child, that has been gaining ice mass and cooling for decades, despite a 20 per cent increase in atmospheric CO2, and model predictions to the contrary.
THE Arctic, however, has been the veritable whipping-boy for the climate activist movement, as it has seen clear declines in sea-ice levels since the century-maximum of 1979.
BUT, hardly the declines that the mainstream media and ‘experts’ made us believe to be true, according to their dire and hyper-alarmist predictions.
HERE is a taste of what the fake news media and ‘expert’s’ told you about Arctic sea-ice having “disappeared” years ago …
“Arctic summers ice-free by 2013” (BBC 2007)
“Could all Arctic ice be gone by 2012?” (AP 2007)
“Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?”(National Geographic 2007)
“Imagine yourself in a world five years from now, where there is no more ice over the Arctic” – Tim Flannery (2008)
“North Pole could be ice-free in 2008” – Mark Serreze (New Scientist 2008)
“Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014” (USA Today 2009)
“Arctic expert predicts final collapse of sea ice within 4 years” (Guardian 2012)
“Say Goodbye to Arctic Summer Ice” (Live Science 2013)
“Ice-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe – scientist” (The Guardian 2013)
“Why Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013” (Sierra Club 2013)
“Next year or the year after, the Arctic will be free of ice’” – Peter Wadhams (The Guardian 2016)
WHEN will the CSIRO, Australia’s premier ‘scientific’ body retract their 2001 “no snow by 2020” prediction?
SNOWFALL will become “A very rare and exciting event… Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.” Dr David Viner – Senior scientist, climatic research unit (CRU)
“Good bye winter. Never again snow?” Spiegel (2000)
“Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms” IPCC (2001)
“End of Snow?” NYTimes (2014)
“Good bye winter. Never again snow?” Spiegel (2000)
“We must face up to the fact that if our societies are not prepared to make changes to their greenhouse gas emissions and the pumping of massive quantities of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, then in a worst case scenario, we won’t even get to 2020 with a viable snow sports industry in this country.“ – Andrew Fairley, head of the Alpine Resorts Co-ordinating Council.
***
REAL science has provided humanity with an unequivocal advantage over the ravages of nature’s most potent enemies – weather, climate and the A-Z of viral and bacterial intrusions.
IT has achieved this through a simple yet rigorous process known as the scientific method. The goal, to prove a hypothesis wrong, not right.
IF all tests and computations of empirical evidence cannot be falsified, then the hypothesis stands until such other evidence disproves the finding.
“97% CONSENSUS” U.N. climate ‘science’ fails the ‘scientific method’ time and time again.
A classic example of this failure of scientific rigour and the unwillingness to disprove a hypothesis is in the arena of snow.
GLOBALLY, winter and spring snow levels have risen significantly since records began in the late 70’s, according to, accredited, Rutgers University data. With a significant rise in snowpack recorded over the past decade – the years we are constantly told are “the hottest ever”.
GLOBAL WARMING alarmists now claim that current abnormal snow levels are “to be expected” in a “warming world”. What they refuse to accept, in their CO2-centric psychosis, is that in order to produce snow, you need *cold* air.
THE big question still remains: Is Australia’s premier science body, the CSIRO, and the Ski industry willing to retract their 2002 “no snow by 2020” prediction?
HERE’s some recent ‘global’ evidence that these “experts” should consider…
*
AUSTRALIA, MAY 2019
Ski season starts early after heaviest May snow in decades | Sky News Australia
Winter hits a few days early across Australia’s east coast
National news: Australian snowfields opening early after snowfalls and blizzards
*
GERMANY, MAY 2019
Most snow cover in Germany in 20 years : At the highest German summit – the Zugspitze in the Bavarian Alps, the snow cover in May has reached a height of over six meters (aboiut 20 feet) for the first time in 20 years – according to measurements carried out by the German Meteorological Service (DWD).
*
USA, MAY 2019
Denver Breaks a 128 Year Cold Temperature Record plus sees its Biggest Late-May Snowfall in 44 Years – Electroverse
Squaw Valley, CA Has Received 700″ Of Snow This Season & There’s More On The Way – SnowBrains
TWITTER LINKS, MAY 2019
Deep winter conditions on Rogla, Pohorje mountains, north Slovenia today, May 15th. 1500 m elevation. Report: Aleš Rozman / @NeurjeSi pic.twitter.com/klzjpju4qR
— severe-weather.EU (@severeweatherEU) May 15, 2019
Mt Stirling has turned into a stunning Winter wonderland! There is so much snow that the Resort will be opening early this season commencing this Saturday! Make plans! 😍❄
Image: @thefellae pic.twitter.com/vRbQqKilJE
— SNOWSEARCH australia (@SNOWSEARCH_aus) May 29, 2019
Still some pretty impressive amounts of snow on Campo Imperatore, Abruzzo, central Italy today, May 18th! Video: Meteo Aquilano pic.twitter.com/K6h8987Nbq
— severe-weather.EU (@severeweatherEU) May 18, 2019
Thick snow depth in Engelberg, Switzerland (1013m ASL) yesterday, May 5th. Report: Jure Tomas pic.twitter.com/j8dtRBDtIj
— severe-weather.EU (@severeweatherEU) May 6, 2019
Memorial Day weekend coming to New Mexico in three days. Time to bust out the skis and enjoy the summer heat. pic.twitter.com/Ome6paVfdg
— Steve Goddard (@SteveSGoddard) May 21, 2019
Germany's Zuspitze Mountain peak reaches 6 METERS OF SNOW on May 23, 2019: HIGHEST MAY LEVEL IN 20 YEARS! Rekord-Schneehöhe im Mai: Zugspitze knackt Sechs-Meter-Marke | https://t.co/pLUEUCh9ZV via @BR24
— Pierre L. Gosselin (@NoTricksZone) May 25, 2019
❄️ “Good bye winter. Never again snow?” Spiegel (2000)
❄️ SNOW will become “A very rare and exciting event. Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.” – Dr. Viner (2000)
❄️ “…decrease heavy snowstorms” IPCC (2001)
❄️ “End of Snow?” NYTimes (2014) https://t.co/4JMb54iv6x https://t.co/qIIb6pQTEm
— JWSpry 🇦🇶 (@JWSpry) June 1, 2019
JAN, 2019
WOW…. Enormous snow in higher alpine region of #Austria near Tirol this morning 14th January. Never seen snow like it watch until the end. Video; @anthonygibbon8 #severeweather #ExtremeWeather #snowfall pic.twitter.com/WIfvKswVbl
— WEATHER/ METEO WORLD (@StormchaserUKEU) January 14, 2019
***
WHAT THE ‘EXPERTS’ : CSIRO, CRU, IPCC et al. ASSURED YOU ABOUT SNOW
IN 2000, climate expert Dr David Viner of the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit (CRU) assured us that :
Snowfall will become “A very rare and exciting event… Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.” Dr David Viner – Senior scientist, climatic research unit (CRU)
SNOWFALL Will Become “A Very Rare And Exciting Event…” | Climatism
IN 2001, the UN IPCC predicted diminished snowfalls as human CO2 increased, claiming that “milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms” due to the activities of mankindpersonkind…
IPCC – Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
THEY also forecast “warmer winters and fewer cold spells, because of climate change…”
warmer-winters-ipcc
*
THE “97% of Consensus Experts” AGREED TOO
2000 : a prediction from Professor Mojib Latif of Germany’s GEOMAR Heimholtz Centre for Ocean Research…
“Winters with strong frosts and lots of snow like we had 20 years ago will no longer exist at our latitudes.” – Professor Mojib Latif
2000 : Spiegel…
“Good bye winter. Never again snow?”
2004 : Mark Lynas told us…
“Snow has become so rare that when it does fall – often just for a few hours – everything grinds to a halt. In early 2003 a ‘mighty’ five-centimetre snowfall in southeast England caused such severe traffic jams that many motorists had to stay in their cars overnight. Today’s kids are missing out . . . Many of these changes are already underway, but have been accelerating over the last two decades. Termites have already moved into southern England. Garden centres are beginning to stock exotic sub-tropical species, which only a few years ago would have been killed off by winter…” – Mark Lynas
2005 : Christopher Krull, Black Forest Tourism Association / Spiegel…
Planning for a snowless future: “Our study is already showing that that there will be a much worse situation in 20 years.”
2005 : George Monbiot on climate change and snow…
Winter is no longer the great grey longing of my childhood. The freezes this country suffered in 1982 and 1963 are – unless the Gulf Stream stops – unlikely to recur. Our summers will be long and warm. Across most of the upper northern hemisphere, climate change, so far, has been kind to us…
2006 : Daniela Jacob of Max Planck Institute for Meterology, Hamburg …
“Yesterday’s snow… Because temperatures in the Alps are rising quickly, there will be more precipitation in many places. But because it will rain more often than it snows, this will be bad news for tourists. For many ski lifts this means the end of business.”
Less Snow and Drier Summers in German Forecast | Germany| News and in-depth reporting from Berlin and beyond | DW | 30.04.2006
2006 : The Independent‘s somber editorial admonished us that the lack of snow was evidence of a “dangerous seasonal disorder”…
The countryside is looking rather peculiar this winter. It seems we have a number of unexpected guests for Christmas. Dragonflies, bumblebees and red admiral butterflies, which would normally be killed off by the frost, can still be seen in some parts of the country . . . Some might be tempted to welcome this late blossoming of the natural world as a delightful diversion from the bleakness of this time of year. But these fluctuations should be cause for concern because it is overwhelmingly likely that they are a consequence of global warming . . . all this is also evidence that global warming is occurring at a faster rate than many imagined…
2007 : BBC “One Planet Special”…
“It Seems the Winters of Our Youth are Unlikely to Return” presenter Richard Hollingham … speaks to climate scientists to get their views. Their conclusion? In the words of the BBC, they all give “predictions of warmer winters, for UK & the Northern Hemisphere”.
2007 : Schleswig Holstein NABU…
“Ice, snow, and frost will disappear, i.e. milder winters” … “Unusually warm winters without snow and ice are now being viewed by many as signs of climate change.”
2007 : Western Mail (Wales Online) … article, entititled “Snowless Winters Forecast for Wales as World Warms Up” quotes one of the global warming movement’s key figures, Sir John Houghton, former head of the IPCC and former head of the UK Met Office…
Former head of the Met Office Sir John Houghton, who is one of the UK’s leading authorities on climate change, said all the indicators suggest snowy winters will become increasingly rare He said, “Snowlines are going up in altitude all over the world. The idea that we will get less snow is absolutely in line with what we expect from global warming.”
2007 :Die Zeit…
“First the snow disappears, and then winter.”
2008 : Another prediction…
A study of snowfall spanning 60 years has indicated that the Alps’s entire winter sports industry could grind to a halt through lack of snow…. In some years the amount that fell was 60 per cent lower than was typical in the early 1980s, said Christoph Marty, from the Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research in Davos, who analysed the records. ”I don’t believe we will see the kind of snow conditions we have experienced in past decades,” he said.
2012 :
John Clarkson (@JohnClarksonGSM) | Twitter
2014: the global warming theory-obsessed New York Times touted “The End of Snow?”…
“The truth is, it is too late for all of that. Greening the ski industry is commendable, but it isn’t nearly enough. Nothing besides a national policy shift on how we create and consume energy will keep our mountains white in the winter — and slow global warming to a safe level.
This is no longer a scientific debate. It is scientific fact. The greatest fear of most climate scientists is continued complacency that leads to a series of natural climatic feedbacks…”
(Climatism bolds)
The End of Snow? – The New York Times
2017 : The Age’s resident global warming catastrophist Peter Hannam signalled the end of snow…
Snowy retreat: Climate change puts Australia’s ski industry on a downhill slope | The AGE
Australia’s ski resorts face the prospect of a long downhill run as a warming climate reduces snow depth, cover and duration. The industry’s ability to create artificial snow will also be challenged, scientists say.
Snowy retreat: Climate change puts Australia’s ski industry on a downhill slope | The AGE
*
2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that resorts could lose a quarter of their snow within 15 years…
Icons under threat: The Alps – General – In Depth – theage.com.au
“For the first time, they realised that their attention should be directed to a common enemy,” says Andrew Fairley, head of the Alpine Resorts Co-ordinating Council, which advises the State Government and oversees the management of Victoria’s six snow resorts. “And that enemy is climate change.”
Like those who rely on the Great Barrier Reef, the Australian ski industry sees itself as a frontline victim of global warming. A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that the resorts could lose a quarter of their snow in 15 years, and half by 2050. The worst case was a 96 per cent loss of snow by mid-century.
Icons under threat: The Alps – General – In Depth – theage.com.au
***
CSIRO – Simulations of future snow conditions in the Australian alpine regions
Conclusion:
The low impact scenario for 2020 has a minor impact on snow conditions. Average season lengths are reduced by around five days. Reductions in peak depths are usually less than 10%, but can be larger at lower sites (e.g. Mt Baw Baw and Wellington High Plains).
The high impact scenario for 2020 leads to reductions of 30-40 days in average season lengths. At higher sites such as Mt Hotham, this can represent reductions in season duration of about 25%, but at lower sites such as Mt Baw Baw the reduction can be more significant (up to 60%)…
We have very high confidence (at least 95%) that the low impact scenarios will be exceeded and the high impact scenarios will not be exceeded.
https://www.climatechange.vic.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0015/73212/TheImpactofClimateChangeonSnowConditions2003.pdf (Page Not Found – hmm)
*
NOW, of course, climate ‘scientists’ are trying to dig themselves out of snow that’s kept falling…
Looking back at 65 years’ worth of statistics, Environment Canada’s senior climatologist David Phillips noted that since 1948, winter temperatures in the prairie regions have increased by an average of four degrees Celsius… Ironically, warmer weather can mean greater snowfall. “As we warm up, we may see more moisture, we may see more moist air masses, and therefore we could very well see more snow rather than less snow, because the air masses are going to be more moist and so therefore you’re going to be able to wring out more snow than you would be if it was dry air,” Phillips said.
*
CONCLUSION
LISTEN to what the ‘experts’ promised you back then. Because, if they got it wrong then, how can you trust what they are foretelling today or tomorrow? The answer is you cannot, because they have no idea what long-range conditions Mother Nature is going to serve up in such a “chaotic” and complex system as our climate.
AND, most importantly, does the CSIRO and “97% of all climate experts” still stand by their “end of snow” predictions? Or is their alarmist sophistry simply more global warming climate change fear-mongering based on CO2-centric ideology, eco-religious dogma and overheated UN IPCC and CSIRO climate computer models that do not accord with observed reality?
“Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities.”
– Voltaire
“Blind trust in authority is the greatest enemy of the truth.”
– Albert Einstein
***
THE polar bear as an icon for Global Warming Climate Change is dead, because the distorted predictions made by Polar Bear ‘specialists’ were wrong.
THIS is a lesson for researchers in other areas who have failed to stop the invasion of politics into their science.
*
TUCKER CARLSON interviews Zoologist and Polar Bear specialist Dr. Susan Crockford on the prime time ratings-killer show Tucker Carlson Tonight, in a must watch segment that demonstrates how “overpopulation”, not extinction, is now the problem :
*
THE Global Warming Policy Foundation has since released an excellent short video showing why the polar bear no longer serves as the icon of the climate change movement :
“CLIMATE alarmism is a gigantic fraud: it only survives by suppressing dissent and by spending tens of billions of dollars of public money every year on pseudo-scientific propaganda.”
– Leo Goldstein
***
SEA-LEVEL RISE alarmism is just one in a long line of propaganda tools used by the Climate Crisis Industry to promote the narrative that human CO2 emissions are causing dangerous global warming climate change.
VERY little of the carefully orchestrated fear-mongering is based on observed reality and empirical evidence, rather, worst-case climate model scenarios pushed into the unaccountable future, designed to scare you and policy makers into (costly) “climate action now!”.
SEA level alarmism holds significant implications for the public who bear the burden of carbon-dioxide related taxes. Those living within coastal areas, constrained by further punitive imposts as insurance companies exploit the climate of fear for their own profit.
SEA levels vary by geographical region from positive to neutral to negative. Where positive sea-level ‘rise’ is concerned, the best science demonstrates that there is no immediate or long-term crisis in play. Importantly, no acceleration has been detected in the era of industrialisation.
*
VIV Forbes of the Carbon Sense Coalition is a member of the climate-realist think tank The Salt Bush Club – a group of famed ex-industry leaders and climate science experts fighting back against dangerous and costly climate alarmism with fact-based reports filled with reason and common sense. Not hyper-climate alarmism and climate-model based theory that underpins mainstream media climate reporting.
FROM their About page:
INTRODUCING THE SALTBUSH CLUB
Members, Skills and Concerns
“We have been listening to scare-mongers and panicky children for too long – it’s time to listen to sensible people and grown-ups.” November 2018
The Saltbush Club is an unplanned venture. Tapping a deep vein of public concern about the Paris climate agreement, it just grew. In about a month, with zero corporate or government support, a few lone individuals have attracted an imposing line-up of sensible people who are well informed on all aspects of the climate debate, and on the growing energy, water and infrastructure problems facing Australia. Many are only prepared to publicise their concern since they have been freed from corporate, academic or government restraints. They are now expressing long-held but often-suppressed opinions.
A much larger group of “Silent Members” have indicated support, but do not want their names made public because they fear that exposure would harm their prospects for employment, promotion or business. They will help, but silently.
All Saltbush members are concerned that climate-alarm policies promoted by most politicians are not based on sound science, and are already causing great damage to Australian industry, jobs and consumers.
Members include people with formal qualifications and experience in geology, physics, chemistry, meteorology, astronomy, climatology, spectroscopy, electromagnetic radiation, geophysics, geochemistry, land forms, sea levels, vulcanology, palynology, engineering, metallurgy, law, medicine, veterinary science, pharmacy, pathology, sociology, classics, economics, accounting, ecology, soil science, environmental science, carbon accounting, pollution control, mathematics, statistics, electronics, communications, computer science, modelling and forecasting. No longer can it be claimed that there is “no debate among scientists”.
***
They understand that the war on hydro-carbon fuels and grazing animals in Australia is not based on sound science, but is part of a broad international agenda designed to strengthen UN agencies, centralise decision making and weaken property rights with international rules and taxes.
They aim to change the climate of public opinion, thus changing the political agenda.
There is no consensus – it is time for a debate.
On behalf of the founders:
Jerry Ellis Chairman Hugh Morgan Jo Nova Media Director Ian Plimer Viv Forbes Executive Director
See a list of founding members here: https://saltbushclub.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/saltbush-founding-members.pdf
About – The Saltbush Club
*
Dr G M Derrick reports the simple facts on the state of sea-level rise around Sydney Harbour over the past 132 years of records.
THE information is what we should be receiving from our politicians and media. Instead the information we receive about climate change and sea-levels is filled with exaggeration, alarmism, ‘homogenisation’, and plenty of politics in order to drive a political agenda of climate catastrophe in order to justify costly fixes, schemes, scams and taxes.
THE big losers – empirically-based science, the simple truth and the taxpayer who is forced to pay billions upon billions for fake fixes (windmills, solar panels and carbon taxes) to a fake scam.
***
The Carbon Sense Coalition » Sea levels in and around Sydney Harbour 1886 to 2018
By Dr G M Derrick
Executive Summary
There has been NO significant sea level rise in the harbour for the past 120 years, and what little there has been is about the height of a matchbox over a century.
Along the northern beaches of Sydney, at Collaroy there has been no suggestion of any sea level rise there for the past 140 years. Casual observations from Bondi Beach 1875 to the present also suggest the same benign situation.
A rush to judgement by local councils and State Governments by legislating harsh laws and building covenants along our coastlines now seems misplaced.
The falsehoods and mendacity of the IPCC and climate alarmists should be rejected out of hand, and efforts be made to ensure that science, not propaganda, defines our school curricula in matters of climate and sea levels
Full article: https://saltbushclub.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/sea-levels-sydney.pdf [PDF, 3 MB]
***
CLIMATISM SL SUPPORTS
SEA LEVELS
SEAS have risen 400 feet or 120,000 mm since the end of the last Ice Age, around 15,000-20,000 years ago :
WHAT is pertinent to the sea-level rise debate is whether SLR is accelerating due to human CO2 emissions.
Dr Judith Curry …
“Sea level has been rising for the last ten thousand years, since the last Ice Age…the question is whether sea level rise is accelerating owing to human caused emissions. It doesn’t look like there is any great acceleration, so far, of sea level rise associated with human warming. These predictions of alarming sea level rise depend on massive melting of the big continental glaciers — Greenland and Antarctica. The Antarctic ice sheet is actually growing. Greenland shows large multi-decadal variability. …. There is no evidence so far that humans are increasing sea level rise in any kind of a worrying way.” — Dr. Judith Curry, video interview published 9 August 2017
“Observed sea level rise over the last century has averaged about 8 inches, although local values may be substantially more or less based on local vertical land motion, land use, regional ocean circulations and tidal variations.“
(Climatism bolds)
Sea level rise acceleration (or not): Projections for the 21st century | Climate Etc.
*
ACCORDING to “the science” there has been no stat-sig or relevant acceleration of sea-level rise since industrialisation :
Short-Term Tide Gauge Records from One Location are Inadequate to Infer Global Sea-Level Acceleration | SpringerLink
*
SOMETHING other than carbon dioxide caused seas to rise, at the current steady rate, around 1790 :
(NB// 85% of man-made CO2 was emitted after 1945.)
It wasn’t CO2: Global sea levels started rising before 1800 « JoNova
*
NO ‘acceleration’ in sea-level rise exists in any NOAA or PSMSL tidal gauge records :
Relative Sea Level Trend
680-140 Sydney, Fort Denison 1 & 2, Australia
Relative Sea Level Trend 680-140 Sydney, Fort Denison 1 & 2, Australia – NOAA Tides & Currents
*
ONE third of all human (CO2) influence has occurred over the past 20-30 years which has not caused acceleration of sea-levels, a jot :
Relative Sea Level Trend 680-140 Sydney, Fort Denison 1 & 2, Australia – NOAA Tides & Currents
*
THOUGH not as ‘scientific’, it is interesting to use the visual point of Fort Denison to note the high-tide line and the notable absence of SL rise since 1885 to present :
CLIMATE change hysteria and groupthink propaganda freely and uncritically spread by the compliant mainstream media has influenced local municipalities to wrongly and deceptively raise rates to cover “climate change” threats and damage as well insurance companies raising premiums. The result has been a devaluing of many coastal homes of up to 25% and the same increase in insurance premiums.
HERE’s an example of what the NSW Govt and Lake Macquarie Council are projecting for the 21st Century:
Quantifying Sea Level Fall | Watts Up With That?
*
OVERHEATED, CO2-CENTRIC U.N. IPCC CLIMATE MODELS
THE very same modelled exaggeration alarmism is evident in the ensemble of U.N. IPCC CMIP5 climate models that basically act as evidence that drives the entire $2,000,000,000,000 US per year (2 Trillion) Climate Crisis Industry and associated climate policy settings that are sending Australian and other Western nations’ electricity prices through the roof, forcing businesses to close and/or move offshore and causing rampant energy poverty, hurting our most vulnerable.
ENERGY poverty, rising insurance premiums, business closures, job losses and the highest electricity prices in the world is the grim reality of what life looks like under the totalitarian rule of the feel-good ‘Greens’. The zero-emissions zealots who want to force us backwards down the energy ladder to the days of human, animal and solar power.
JUST as socialist central planning failed miserably before it was replaced by free market economies, green central planning will have to be discarded before Australia and other Western nations, crippled by pseudoscientific climatology and the mad rush into costly and intermittent ‘green’ energy, will see a return to energy security, competitive pricing, business prosperity, job opportunities and a ‘liveable’ existence for our most vulnerable.
Sushi, Sake, and Coal: Japan’s Peculiar Response to the Climate Conundrum » BarbWire
“The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming
at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.”
– Kevin Trenberth, National Center For Atmospheric Research, USA (2009)
“Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical troposphere … This is just downright dangerous.”
– Peter Thorne, Hadley Centre, Met Office, UK (2007)
***
THE Japanese government has identified and acknowledged the current ~20 year-long global warming “pause” or “hiatus”. The (inconvenient) atmospheric phenomenon that has been the subject of much research and debate in peer-reviewed scientific journals for many years now.
BASED on data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), the government has justified the expansion of its global-leading, ultra-supercritical HELE coal-fired power plant technology both domestically and abroad.
PRIME MINISTER Abe has sanctioned the addition of 35 new coal power plants to the 100 currently operational.
“Japan’s use of coal is not justified exclusively on the basis of the country’s nuclear debacle. The heart of the reason is Japan’s climate.
For the past three decades, there has been no significant warming in its major cities.”
Sushi, Sake, and Coal: Japan’s Peculiar Response to the Climate Conundrum
By
Vijay Jayaraj
– February 16, 2019
We all know that the Japanese love their sushi. Japan is also famous for sake, a rice wine unique to the country. Lately, the Japanese have shown unrestrained love for a commodity that is increasingly demonized by climate groups: coal.
Global warming alarmists blame coal for causing dangerous global warming. But the Japanese beg to differ. They have revived their love affair with coal. Why? That’s an interesting story.
Soon after the Fukushima nuclear incident, public sentiment towards nuclear energy became hostile. Many organizations, including foreign non-profits, called for the closure of nuclear plants on fears of future mishaps.
The Fukushima plant was outdated and less safe than Japan’s other, modern nuclear plants. Yet, the impact of the Fukushima disaster (in which no one died from radiation exposure) remains fresh in people’s minds, and the nation was not ready to defend the operations of other nuclear plants.
The Japanese government caved in to the pressure and closed many nuclear plants. By 27 March 2012, Japan had only one out of 54 nuclear reactors operating. As a result, the country was forced to seek alternative sources of energy generation.
The most economical and safe solution was coal. Contrary to popular belief and the mainstream media, coal is not as polluting as you might think.
Moreover, coal is a tried and tested source of energy, guaranteeing superior-quality, stable output to meet the energy demands of modern cities and industries.
With the development of “clean coal technology,” coal combustion now results in fewer contaminants and more energy, making it far superior to the combustion plants of previous decades.
HELE (High Energy Low Emissions) Ultra-Supercritical Coal Power Plant
So, Japan went against the tide and embraced coal with both arms.
It now employs the most advanced and safest coal combustion technology available on the planet, becoming a leading manufacturer and exporter of clean coal technology.
But Japan’s use of coal is not justified exclusively on the basis of the country’s nuclear debacle. The heart of the reason is Japan’s climate.
For the past three decades, there has been no significant warming in its major cities.
Data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) clearly indicates that there has been no significant deviation in the monthly average temperature between 1998 and 2018. The period between is of special importance to the Japanese government.
As per the climate doomsday theorists, temperatures should have displayed a strong warming trend as the manmade carbon dioxide emissions increased exponentially.
But the temperature levels failed to display any warming trend. That flies in the face of the notion that atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration levels control temperature over the island nation—or, for that matter, the world.
Last week, Sapporo recorded its coldest day in 40 years. In fact, winter in Japan had no warming trend from 1986 to 2018, with the January monthly mean temperature anomalies displaying a cooling trend. If anything, there has been a cooling trend in Japan between 1998 and 2018.
So, the reason for Japanese embrace of coal is pretty clear: no significant warming, coupled with the post-Fukushima anti-nuclear hysteria.
No country would want to reduce its emissions when its monthly average temperatures are actually decreasing. It is for this reason that Japanese Prime Minister Shinzō Abe refuses to stay true to the hasty anti-coal commitments he made at the UN’s international climate summits.
Instead of discouraging the use of coal, Japan is increasing its dependency on coal. Abe has sanctioned the addition of 35 new coal power plants to the 100 currently operational. The country is also encouraging its Asian neighbors and other developing countries to purchase its clean coal technology.
The Japanese response to the anti-coal establishment, besides being bold, accurately reflects climate reality. Japan understands the need to prioritize the domestic energy needs over faulty, pseudo-scientific forecasts of climate doom.
The lack of warming, however, is not limited to Japan. Satellite temperature measurements (between 1979 and January 2019) show no significant warming in the earth’s atmosphere during the past 19 years.
Other countries should emulate Japan’s example, especially in the developing world. Domestic energy needs are far too important to be slain on the altar of global warming hysteria.
Sushi, Sake, and Coal: Japan’s Peculiar Response to the Climate Conundrum » BarbWire
Vijay Jayaraj (M.Sc., Environmental Science, University of East Anglia, England), is Research Associate for and Contributor for Developing Countries, for the Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation. He lives in Chennai, India.
FOLLOW Vijay on Twitter : @vjxxvj
***
REFRESHING to see government energy policy being driven by empirical evidence and real-world data, and NOT by fear, hysteria, mainstream media climate change advocacy and alarmism or politically-driven, CO2-centric, UN IPCC climate models.
BRAVO Japan for standing up to the climate groupthink bullies and misanthropic eco-activists. Instead, supporting their industry and citizens by providing them with cheap, abundant and clean (HELE) coal-fired power technology to advance and maintain their world-renowned pristine environment, civic cleanliness, health and wealth!
“The Japanese response to the anti-coal establishment, besides being bold, accurately reflects climate reality. Japan understands the need to prioritize the domestic energy needs over faulty, pseudo-scientific forecasts of climate doom.”
***
PIC of Kinkaku-ji Palace Kyoto from my recent family trip to ‘pristine’ HELE powered Japan!
IF you haven’t been to Japan – GO! Incredible people, culture and country…
Jamie Japan Trip – Kinkaku-ji Royal Palace Kyoto – Jan 2019 (iPhone 8 – No filter!)
Source Photo : Things People in Hawaii Generally Don’t Have to Worry About
“The fact that an opinion has been widely held is no evidence whatever that it is not utterly absurd; indeed in view of the silliness of the majority of mankind, a widespread belief is more likely to be foolish than sensible.”– Bertrand Russel
***
ANTHROPOGENIC global warming theory implies that mankind’s gasses, primarily, carbon dioxide (deceptively known as “carbon pollution” for politics and shock value) is supposed to be warming the lower troposphere – the first 10 kilometres of Earth’s atmosphere.
WHILE the fingerprint for Carbon Dioxide forcing exists in computer simulations, it is yet to be found in the physical world:
THE MISSING ‘HOT SPOT’
One of the most important pieces of the climate change debate rarely cited … the missing ‘Hot-Spot’ | The Missing Hot Spot | Climatism
*
WHILE debate rages about the causes of global warming, most of the public and our policy makers are not aware of the most basic salient facts:
1. The greenhouse signature is missing. We have been looking and measuring for years, and cannot find it.
Each possible cause of global warming has a different pattern of where in the planet the warming occurs first and the most. The signature of an increased greenhouse effect is a hot spot about 10km up in the atmosphere over the tropics. We have been measuring the atmosphere for decades using radiosondes: weather balloons with thermometers that radio back the temperature as the balloon ascends through the atmosphere. They show no hot spot. Whatsoever.
If there is no hot spot then an increased greenhouse effect is not the cause of global warming. So we know for sure that carbon emissions are not a significant cause of the global warming. If we had found the greenhouse signature then I would be an alarmist again.
Dr David Evans, former consultant to the Australian Greenhouse Office from 1999 to 2005
BESIDES precipitation, the most important element required for snow to form is cold air. Yesterday’s winter blast set a new (interim) record cold temperature for the 50th state of -12°F or -11.1°C.
via weather.com :
Just after midnight on Monday, a number of sensors atop Mauna Kea dipped below 12 degrees Fahrenheit, according to the Mauna Kea Weather Center, a facility supporting a number of telescopes atop the 13,770-foot volcano on the Big Island of Hawaii.
If those temperatures are deemed accurate, at least four of those sensors would exceed the official all-time state record low in Hawaii of 12 degrees (-11.1 degrees Celsius) also set atop Mauna Kea on May 17, 1979.
Hawaii Storm Might Have Set the State’s All-Time Record Low; Snow Fell on Maui, Too | The Weather Channel
*
LOWEST-ELEVATION SNOWFALL EVER RECORDED
SNOW is not unheard of in mountainous parts of the tropical island chain, but officials say the coating at 6,200 feet (1,900 meters) at Polipoli State Park on Maui could mark the lowest-elevation snowfall ever recorded in the state.
Strong storm brings damage — and snow — to Hawaii | The Seattle Times
*
Historic Snow Storm Hits Maui Hawaii – YouTube
SEE original video of ’emotional’ gentleman discovering rare snowfall at 6,200 feet here :
‘It’s f***ing snowing’: Snow falls in Maui, Hawaii | Metro Video
‘It’s f***ing snowing’ – Snow falls in Maui, Hawaii | Metro Video
*
IT’S ONLY WEATER, BUT…
GLOBAL Warming alarmists have already been quick to denounce this as just a weather event, which it is. “You’re confusing weather with climate!” they insist on my twitter account. As they themselves aggressively look for the next heatwave, flood, drought or forest fire to blame on “CLIMATE CHANGE!”.
REMEMBER that rule: Cold = Weather, Hot = Climate.
YES, this is just a weather event. However, it’s worth keeping in mind that such “weather” including the record cold and snow experienced in the current NH winter was not expected in the era of the “HOTTEST XXX EVAHH”, so gleefully marketed by the global warming theory obsessed mainstream media.
IN FACT, according to the ‘97% consensus’ of ‘climate experts’ and sycophant mainstream media, “Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past“. And, “a very rare and exciting event [where] children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”
SEE for yourself what climate ‘experts’ predicted about snow…
IN 2000, climate expert Dr David Viner of the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit (CRU) assured us that :
Snowfall will become “A very rare and exciting event… Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.” Dr David Viner – Senior scientist, climatic research unit (CRU)
SNOWFALL Will Become “A Very Rare And Exciting Event…” | Climatism
*
IN 2001, the UN IPCC predicted diminished snowfalls as human CO2 increased, claiming that “milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms” due to human activity…
IPCC – Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
THEY also forecast “warmer winters and fewer cold spells, because of climate change…”
warmer-winters-ipcc
*
2000 : a prediction from Professor Mojib Latif of Germany’s GEOMAR Heimholtz Centre for Ocean Research…
“Winters with strong frosts and lots of snow like we had 20 years ago will no longer exist at our latitudes.” – Professor Mojib Latif
2000 : Spiegel…
“Good bye winter. Never again snow?”
2004 : Mark Lynas told us…
“Snow has become so rare that when it does fall – often just for a few hours – everything grinds to a halt. In early 2003 a ‘mighty’ five-centimetre snowfall in southeast England caused such severe traffic jams that many motorists had to stay in their cars overnight. Today’s kids are missing out . . . Many of these changes are already underway, but have been accelerating over the last two decades. Termites have already moved into southern England. Garden centres are beginning to stock exotic sub-tropical species, which only a few years ago would have been killed off by winter…” – Mark Lynas
2005 : Christopher Krull, Black Forest Tourism Association / Spiegel…
Planning for a snowless future: “Our study is already showing that that there will be a much worse situation in 20 years.”
2005 : George Monbiot on climate change and snow…
Winter is no longer the great grey longing of my childhood. The freezes this country suffered in 1982 and 1963 are – unless the Gulf Stream stops – unlikely to recur. Our summers will be long and warm. Across most of the upper northern hemisphere, climate change, so far, has been kind to us…
2006 : Daniela Jacob of Max Planck Institute for Meterology, Hamburg …
“Yesterday’s snow… Because temperatures in the Alps are rising quickly, there will be more precipitation in many places. But because it will rain more often than it snows, this will be bad news for tourists. For many ski lifts this means the end of business.”
Less Snow and Drier Summers in German Forecast | Germany| News and in-depth reporting from Berlin and beyond | DW | 30.04.2006
2006 : The Independent‘s somber editorial admonished us that the lack of snow was evidence of a “dangerous seasonal disorder”…
The countryside is looking rather peculiar this winter. It seems we have a number of unexpected guests for Christmas. Dragonflies, bumblebees and red admiral butterflies, which would normally be killed off by the frost, can still be seen in some parts of the country . . . Some might be tempted to welcome this late blossoming of the natural world as a delightful diversion from the bleakness of this time of year. But these fluctuations should be cause for concern because it is overwhelmingly likely that they are a consequence of global warming . . . all this is also evidence that global warming is occurring at a faster rate than many imagined…
2007 : BBC “One Planet Special”…
“It Seems the Winters of Our Youth are Unlikely to Return” presenter Richard Hollingham … speaks to climate scientists to get their views. Their conclusion? In the words of the BBC, they all give “predictions of warmer winters, for UK & the Northern Hemisphere”.
2007 : Schleswig Holstein NABU…
“Ice, snow, and frost will disappear, i.e. milder winters” … “Unusually warm winters without snow and ice are now being viewed by many as signs of climate change.”
2007 : Western Mail (Wales Online) … article, entititled “Snowless Winters Forecast for Wales as World Warms Up” quotes one of the global warming movement’s key figures, Sir John Houghton, former head of the IPCC and former head of the UK Met Office…
Former head of the Met Office Sir John Houghton, who is one of the UK’s leading authorities on climate change, said all the indicators suggest snowy winters will become increasingly rare He said, “Snowlines are going up in altitude all over the world. The idea that we will get less snow is absolutely in line with what we expect from global warming.”
2007 :Die Zeit…
“First the snow disappears, and then winter.”
2008 : Another prediction…
A study of snowfall spanning 60 years has indicated that the Alps’s entire winter sports industry could grind to a halt through lack of snow…. In some years the amount that fell was 60 per cent lower than was typical in the early 1980s, said Christoph Marty, from the Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research in Davos, who analysed the records. ”I don’t believe we will see the kind of snow conditions we have experienced in past decades,” he said.
2014: the global warming theory-obsessed New York Times touted “The End of Snow?” Reassuring their readers that “This is no longer a scientific debate. It is scientific fact.”
“The truth is, it is too late for all of that. Greening the ski industry is commendable, but it isn’t nearly enough. Nothing besides a national policy shift on how we create and consume energy will keep our mountains white in the winter — and slow global warming to a safe level.
This is no longer a scientific debate. It is scientific fact. The greatest fear of most climate scientists is continued complacency that leads to a series of natural climatic feedbacks…”
(Climatism bolds)
The End of Snow? – The New York Times
2017 : The Age’s resident global warming catastrophist Peter Hannam signalled the end of snow…
Snowy retreat: Climate change puts Australia’s ski industry on a downhill slope | The AGE
Australia’s ski resorts face the prospect of a long downhill run as a warming climate reduces snow depth, cover and duration. The industry’s ability to create artificial snow will also be challenged, scientists say.
Snowy retreat: Climate change puts Australia’s ski industry on a downhill slope | The AGE
*
A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that resorts could lose a quarter of their snow within 15 years…
Icons under threat: The Alps – General – In Depth – theage.com.au
*
DOES the CSIRO and ‘97% of all experts’ still stand by their predictions of “no-snow”? Or is their alarmist sophistry simply more global warming climate change fear-mongering designed to push their socialist agenda based not on evidence but on political dogma, ideology and overheated UN IPCC / CSIRO climate models?
*
SNOW EXTENT DATA
WINTER snow extent is increasing globally as CO2 emissions rise…
Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab
Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab
Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab
*
HIGHEST snow mass build-up since 1982
Yota111 on Twitter: “Highest snow mass build-up since 1982… “
*
RECORD NORTH AMERICAN SNOWFALL 2018
Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab
*
‘FALL’ snow extent is also increasing globally as CO2 emissions rise…
Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab (Fall NH)
Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab (Eurasia Fall)
Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab (NorAm Fall)
*
ALARMISTS U-TURN
NOW, of course, climate scientists are trying to dig themselves out of snow that’s kept falling…
Looking back at 65 years’ worth of statistics, Environment Canada’s senior climatologist David Phillips noted that since 1948, winter temperatures in the prairie regions have increased by an average of four degrees Celsius… Ironically, warmer weather can mean greater snowfall. “As we warm up, we may see more moisture, we may see more moist air masses, and therefore we could very well see more snow rather than less snow, because the air masses are going to be more moist and so therefore you’re going to be able to wring out more snow than you would be if it was dry air,” Phillips said.
NB//
“Interestingly, some scientists have stated that increasing snow is consistent with climate change because warmer air holds more moisture, more water vapor and this can result in more storms with heavy precipitation. The trick, of course, is having sufficient cold air to produce that snow. But note that 93% of the years with more than 60″ of snow in Boston were colder than average years. The reality is cooling, not warming, increases snowfall.” – Veteran Meteorologist Barry Burbank
*
CONCLUSION
LISTEN to what the ‘experts’ promised you back then. Because, if they got it wrong then, how can you trust what they are foretelling today or tomorrow? The answer is you cannot, because they have no idea what long-range conditions Mother Nature is going to serve up in such a “chaotic” and complex system as our climate.
BUT, one thing is a “97%” certainty within the current and scary world of post-modern climate ‘science’ – whatever scenario suits and supports the political and ideological position of man-made ‘climate change’ will be predicted, promoted and spread like a hurricane within the compliant mainstream media, throughout our most ‘esteemed’ scientific institutions, our schools and of course throughout academia – DAMN the data and real-world evidence!
“It’s never too cold for Fete des Neige!”
– Christine Muschi | Montreal Gazette
***
BEING careful not to confuse ‘weather’ with ‘climate’, even though our warmist friends have no problem finding a direct link between heatwaves and ‘climate change’, every summer, there’s no escaping the irony of cancelling a snow festival due to extreme cold in the era of the “Hottest Year Evahh“!
THE extreme irony highlighted by a support comment from Christine Muschi of the Montreal Gazette, before the cancellation – “It’s never too cold for Fete des Neige…”!
Fête des neiges debuts in deep freeze | Montreal Gazette
*
ORGANISERS disagree with Christine’s optimism and have cancelled the event on Sunday due to extreme cold and snow conditions :
“Although the majority of the Fête’s activities can be held despite difficult winter conditions, blowing snow, freezing cold, wind gusts and dangerous roads are all factors that have influenced our decision,” François Carier, director of marketing, business development and communications at Parc Jean-Drapeau, said in a statement.”
While you were sleeping: Fête des neiges disrupted by titular snow | Montreal Gazette
*
CBC with the story on today’s cancellation :
The annual Fête des neiges at Parc Jean-Drapeau is cancelled today due to the extreme cold and winter storm warning.
This is the first time in 10 years that activities for the winter festival have been cancelled due to weather, according to a statement from François Cartier, director of marketing and communications for the Société du parc Jean-Drapeau.
Cartier said that the decision was made in an effort to maintain the safety of the public as well as employees and volunteers who make the festival possible.
The events, which run until Feb. 10, will restart Saturday Jan. 26.
This is the 36th edition of the Fête des neiges.
Freezing, snowy weekend in store for much of southern Quebec
Environment Canada issued a winter storm warning for the greater Montreal area and predicted as much as 20 or 25 cm of snowfall though Sunday.
Temperatures are expected to dip as low as -35 C (with windchill) and the weather agency is warning that there is a frostbite risk.
Montreal’s Fête des neiges cancelled due to extreme cold weather | CBC News
*
MEANWHILE, Justin Trudeau and environment minister Catherine McKenna campaign for a Carbon Tax to stop ‘Global Warming’ or ‘Climate Change’, or something…
HOW does wrecking your economy with a #CarbonTAX and then redistributing $307 to ‘families’ stop bad weather??
YOU #climate-theory-obsessed buffoons are so dumb. 🤦♂️
WHAT’s wrong with the ‘climate’ or the weather anyway? https://t.co/OWmn4lqydl#CDNpoli #onpoli #BCpoli #Auspol https://t.co/sqASw1Wcyq
— JWSpry 🇦🇶 (@JWSpry) January 19, 2019
***
UPDATE
‘NOTHING to see here’ according to the global warming theory-obsessed mainstream media.
KEEP in mind their golden rule:
COLD = WEATHER
HOT = CLIMATE
ELECTROVERSE.NET with more…
Coldest Montreal Snowstorm for a Century and the Mainstream Media’s Embarrassing “Explain-Away” – Electroverse
Meteorologists and historians believe that this weekend’s baptism by snow could actually have been the coldest snowstorm experienced by Montrealers in a century, reads amontreal.ctvnews.caarticle from Jan 20.
Sunday’s high held below -15C all day and snow accumulation was expected to exceed 25cm.
According to the Twitter account YUL Weather Records, the last time Montreal experienced a similar snowstorm was Jan 16, 1920. On that day, a total of 30.2 cm of snow fell, and the daytime high reached -19.4C.
By 3pm on Sunday it was already Montreal’s 2nd snowiest Jan 20th since records began in 1872:
With a 3pm snow total of 18cm, today is #Montréal's 2nd snowiest Jan 20th since records began in 1872. pic.twitter.com/FA9kThZG39
— YUL Weather Records (@YUL_Weather) January 20, 2019
And it was a similar story in nearby Ottawa:
Coldest snowstorm in more than 100 years expected tomorrow. Temperatures are expected to stay below -15°C with up to 20cm of snow. The last time that happened in #Ottawa was February 8th, 1895 when we received 45.7cm of snow with a daytime high of -17.8°C (0°F). #OttNews pic.twitter.com/0DMFkFgZAf
— YOW Weather Records 🎄 (@YOW_Weather) January 19, 2019
Environment Canada advised people to postpone “non-essential travel” until conditions improve, which may not be for a couple of days.
“There is another storm that may be heading our way for the middle of the week, so we expect more snow,” warned Michelle Fleury, a meteorologist with Environment Canada.
For the full article from montreal.ctvnews.ca,click here.
THE MAINSTREAM’S “EXPLAIN-AWAY”
A recently published NYTimes article desperately tries to explain-away the brutal cold gripping the Northern Hemisphere this winter with a painfully stupid, logic-lacking argument.
According to the article, we can expect further disruptions to the polar vortex due to Global Warming. Yes, that’s right, a complete tune-change, but Global Warming now means more record snow and cold during the winter.
An incredible flip, and one clearly driven by the multitude of cold-weather records tumbling across the continents along with the above-average Snow Mass the Northern Hemisphere has maintained all winter.
The irritating thing is that this slimy bullshit will likely fly with those that can’t be bothered, or simply don’t have the time, to do any digging.
“We’d better just believe what the NYTimes says.
After all, they have such a stellar track record on this topic…
…right?”
Forty years ago, a NYTimes headline read ‘International Team of Specialists Finds No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend in Northern Hemisphere’:
Forty years ago, the @nytimes blamed the Polar Vortex on global cooling and increasing Arctic ice.
Now they say the exact opposite – the Polar Vortex is caused by global warming and decreasing Arctic ice.
"All the #FakeNews, unfit to print"https://t.co/lxOUscq761 pic.twitter.com/e4AXL8QvLd
— Steve Goddard (@SteveSGoddard) January 20, 2019
The Polar Vortex used to be evidence that a new ice age is setting in. Now apparently it is evidence that the Earth is burning up, writes Steve Goddard on his website realclimatescience.com.
It pains me to link it, but here is the NYTimes article in question, entitled Brace for the Polar Vortex: It May Be Visiting More Often.
I can hear it being cited during many a heated family debate — the AGW alarmists new ace-in-the-hole to explain away the encroaching Grand Solar Minimum.
But the truth is out there:
Arctic Sea Ice continues to trend thicker — link.
Total Snow Mass for the NH is well-above the 30-year average — link.
Global Average Temperatures continue to fall — link.
And it has nothing to do with increasing CO2 heating the planet, it’s all the result of our sun beginning its latest shut down (relatively) which past cycles suggest is due.
WHAT THE SCIENCE SUGGESTS IS ACTUALLY HAPPENING
Research (linked below) shows blocking persistence increases when solar activity is low, causing weather patterns to become locked in place at high and intermediate latitudes for prolonged periods of time.
During a solar minimum, the jet stream’s usual Zonal Flow (a west–east direction) reverts to more of a Meridional Flow (a north-south direction) — this is exaggerated further during a Grand Solar Minimum, like the one we’re likely entering now, and explains why regions become unseasonably hot or cold and others unusually dry or rainy, with the extremes lasting for an extended period of time.
Mikhaël Schwander, et al, 2017 — “The 247-year-long analysis of the 11-year solar cycle impact on late winter European weather patterns suggests a reduction in the occurrence of westerly flow types linked to a reduced mean zonal flow under low solar activity. Based on this observational evidence, we estimate the probability to have cold conditions in winter over Europe to be higher under low solar activity than under high activity.”
We’ve known the mechanisms for decades, as this article from 1975’s Science Mag would indicate, but as they contradict the modern political Global Warming agenda they’re conveniently forgotten:
TEXAS ‘OUT-SNOWING’ PARTS OF ALASKA? — ALL PREDICTED DURING A GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM
Back in the fall of 2018, Texas was reported to be ‘out-snowing’ Fairbanks, Alaska.
The story was twisted by the mainstream media to somehow prove AGW, however the phenomenon is exactly the pattern we’d expect to see during a Grand Solar Minimum.
Looking at NASA’s own Maunder Minimum Temperature Reconstruction Maps, some regions actually warm during periods of global cooling — the Arctic, North Atlantic and Alaska being the main ones (although ‘warm’ to the Arctic, for example, is still well-below freezing — there’s no melt):
NASA – Temp Change 1680-1780
Alaska may have had a slow start to winter but the Northern Hemisphere as a whole certainly didn’t.
As linked to earlier, Total Snow Mass for the NH, excluding the mountains, is comfortably sitting well-above the 30 year average:
Total NH Snow Mass — Latest Observation Jan 19, 2019
Our climate is cyclic, never linear — driven mainly by the sun.
History is repeating.
The cold times have returned.
Click here for more on the Grand Solar Minimum and how the resulting increase in Galactic Cosmic Rays contribute to global cooling. GSM
Coldest Montreal Snowstorm for a Century and the Mainstream Media’s Embarrassing “Explain-Away” – Electroverse
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation
***
CLIMATE DEPOT’S Marc Morano nails the true intentions of the UN’s globalist ‘Climate Change’ agenda…
CLICK to watch >>
Watch: Morano on Fox News: France climate rebellion spreading – ‘Global warming’ fears are a tool for ‘political and economic’ change…it has nothing to do with the actual climate’ | Climate Depot
TAKEOUTS
• “This is major progress for people who care about energy security, sovereignty and who are against the UN agenda.”
• “Any impact man has on the climate is indistinguishable from natural variability”
• “This is a this political and economic movement. It has nothing to do with the actual climate. They’re talking about central transformation, that is what the UN Climate head, we seek central transformation to make the climate different. They’re using a climate scare on people.”
CLICK for transcript >>
***
HOW DID WE GET HERE?
THE global warming climate change scare has absolutely nothing to do with the environment or “Saving The Planet”. Rather, its roots lie in a misanthropic agenda engineered by the environmental movement of the mid 1970’s, who realised that doing something about claimed man-made “global warming” would play to quite a number of the Left’s social agendas.
THE goal was advanced, most notably, by The Club Of Rome (Environmental consultants to the UN) – a group of mainly European scientists and academics, who used computer modelling to warn that the world would run out of finite resources if population growth were left unchecked.
“In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that .. the threat of global warming.. would fit the bill.. the real enemy, then, is humanity itself.”– Club Of Rome (Environmental consultants to the U.N.)
THOUGHTS on humanity:
“The Earth has cancer
and the cancer is Man.” – Club of Rome, (environmental think-tank, consultants to the United Nations)
THE Club Of Rome’s 1972 environmental best-seller “The Limits To Growth”, examined five variables in the original model: world population, industrialisation, pollution, food production and resource depletion.
NOT surprisingly, the study predicted a dire future for mankind unless we ‘act now’:
AROUND the same time, influential anthropologist and president of the American Medical Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), Margaret Mead, gathered together like-minded anti-population hoaxsters at her 1975, North Carolina conference, “The Atmosphere: Endangered and Endangering”. Mead’s star recruits were climate scare artist Stephen Schneider, population-freak George Woodwell and former AAAS head, John Holdren (Barack Obama’s Science and Technology Czar). All three of them disciples of Malthusian catastrophist Paul Ehrlich, author of the “The Population Bomb”.
THE conference concluded that human-produced carbon dioxide would fry the planet, melt the ice caps, and destroy human life. The idea being to sow enough fear of man-made climate change to force global cutbacks in industrial activity and halt Third World development.
*
THE CREATOR, FABRICATOR AND PROPONENT OF GLOBAL WARMING – Maurice Strong (UNEP)
THE creator, fabricator and proponent of global warming alarmism Maurice Strong, founded UNEP and ‘science’ arm, the UN IPCC, under the premise of studying only human (CO2) driven causes of climate change.
STRONG and the UN’s ‘Climate Change’ agenda was clearly laid out before the ‘science’ of Climate Change was butchered and tortured to fit the Global Warming narrative…
“Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsiblity to bring that about?” – Maurice Strong, founder of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP)
“Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, use of fossil fuels, appliances, air-conditioning, and suburban housing – are not sustainable.” – Maurice Strong, Rio Earth Summit
“It is the responsibility of each human being today to choose between the force of darkness and the force of light. We must therefore transform our attitudes, and adopt a renewed respect for the superior laws of Divine Nature.“ – Maurice Strong, first Secretary General of UNEP
*
WHY CARBON DIOXIDE (CO2) aka “Carbon Pollution”?
ATMOSPHERIC Physicist, MIT Professor of Meteorology and former IPCC lead author Richard S. Lindzen, examines the politics and ideology behind the CO2-centricity that drives the man-made climate change agenda.
LINDZEN’S summary goes to the very heart of why Carbon Dioxide has become the centre-piece of the ‘global’ climate debate:
“For a lot of people including the bureaucracy in Government and the environmental movement, the issue is power. It’s hard to imagine a better leverage point than carbon dioxide to assume control over a society. It’s essential to the production of energy, it’s essential to breathing. If you demonise it and gain control over it, you so-to-speak, control everything. That’s attractive to people. It’s been openly stated for over forty years that one should try to use this issue for a variety of purposes, ranging from North/South redistribution, to energy independence, to God knows what…”
•••
“CO2 for different people has different attractions. After all, what is it? – it’s not a pollutant, it’s a product of every living creature’s breathing, it’s the product of all plant respiration, it is essential for plant life and photosynthesis, it’s a product of all industrial burning, it’s a product of driving – I mean, if you ever wanted a leverage point to control everything from exhalation to driving, this would be a dream. So it has a kind of fundamental attractiveness to bureaucratic mentality.”
ENERGY rationing and the control of carbon dioxide, the direct byproduct of cheap, reliable hydrocarbon energy, has always been key to the Left’s Malthusian and misanthropic agenda of depopulation and deindustrialisation. A totalitarian ideology enforced through punitive emissions controls under the guise of “Saving The Planet”.
STANFORD University and The Royal Society’s resident global warming alarmist and population freak Paul R. Ehrlich spelled out in 1976 the Left’s anti-energy agenda that still underpins the current ‘climate change’ scare :
“Giving society cheap, abundant energy would be the
equivalent of giving an idiot child a machine gun.”
– Prof Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University/Royal Society fellow
Prof Paul R. Ehrlich, Stanford University / Royal Society fellow
*
THE motives of the UN and its affiliates are no different from those of the radical eco-zealots of the 1970’s. They despise capitalism, development, growth and freedom, with the misguided fear of overpopulation, a principle driver.
THEIR solution is to use the emotive issue of ‘Climate Change’ to pursue a radical transformation in cultural, economic and political structures across the globe through their various unelected, taxpayer funded global(ist) bodies…
“This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years since the Industrial Revolution.” – Christiana Figueres, fmr executive secretary of the UN’s Framework on Climate Change (Feb 2015, Brussels)
Thickness Of The Ice Sheets Compared With Modern Skylines
THE Laurentide Ice Sheet was a massive sheet of ice that covered millions of square kilometers, including most of Canada and a large portion of the northern United States.
THE last advance covered most of northern North America between 95,000 and 20,000 years ago.
THIS ice sheet was the primary feature of the Pleistocene epoch in North America, commonly referred to as the ice age. It was up to 2 mi (3.2 km) thick in Nunavik, Quebec, Canada.
PRIOR to the intervention of humans – when the climate was ‘stable’ – Chicago was buried under a mile of ice :
Before Mann Made Climate Change | Real Science
The maximum extent of glacial ice in the north polar area during the Pleistocene period included the vast Laurentide ice sheet in eastern North America.
*
SNOWPACK
IN order for glaciers and ice sheets to form, they require lots of snow to fall.
THIS is how a non-activist (real) expert explains the record snowfalls that have persisted over the past decade :
VETERAN METEOROLOGIST Barry Burbank :
“INTERESTINGLY, some scientists have stated that increasing snow is consistent with climate change because warmer air holds more moisture, more water vapor and this can result in more storms with heavy precipitation. The trick, of course, is having sufficient cold air to produce that snow. But note that 93% of the years with more than 60″ of snow in Boston were colder than average years. The reality is cooling, not warming, increases snowfall.” – Veteran meteorologist Barry Burbank
Will The Snowiest Decade Continue? « CBS Boston
Record Snow Decade – CBS Boston
Will The Snowiest Decade Continue? « CBS Boston
*
CHICAGO AND THE GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM
ELECTROVERSE – the excellent site “Documenting Earth Changes As We Enter A Grand Solar Minimum” reports on this weeks record snowfalls in Chicago. Snowfalls that demonstrate Mother Nature is doing her best to not only bury the failed Global Warming theory, but to perhaps return The Windy City to the Pleistocene epoch and the era of the mile-high Laurentide ice sheet!
This Week Saw one of the Worst November Snowstorms to Ever Hit the Chicago Area – Electroverse
THIS WEEK SAW ONE OF THE WORST NOVEMBER SNOWSTORMS TO EVER HIT THE CHICAGO AREA
CAP ALLON
“One of the largest November storms on record dumped as much as 13 inches (33 cm) of snow on the Chicago area Sunday into Monday,” says the Chicago Tribune.
The storm, which all by itself made this the sixth-snowiest November in Chicago history, jammed the morning commute.
It forced the cancellation of more than 1,200 flights.
It shut hundreds of schools.
And it knocked out power to more than 340,000 homes and businesses.
For the full article from the Chicago Tribune, click here.
@CherylScottWX @ABC7Chicago Transformer exploding near my house last night in Wheaton! The power was out all night and still is this morning.. #Chicagoblizzard pic.twitter.com/mR1tg8rhlY
— Joe Hernandez ♛ (@joe_hernandezz) November 26, 2018
But AGW meant less snow, right? That’s what we were told?
Well we’re watching yet another narrative shift as the reality changes — the first was the re-branding of Global Warming to Climate Change, and the latest is that a warming world means we should now expect more snowfall, not less.
That’s right, apparently our baking planet will now witness more record cold temperatures, blizzards and early season snow.
I call bullshit.
And I call you a moron if you’re buying this tripe, because it’s so obviously the sun.
We’ve known the mechanism for decades, as this article from 1975’s Science News explains:
Meridional Circulation
It’s all cyclical.
And as our star continues its decline into this next Grand Solar Minimum, a cooling globe will become ever-more apparent — and ever-harder for the UN to cover up.
But they’ll no doubt give it a bash, they’ve been doing it for decades after-all.
Back in 1989 the UN came out with this: “entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.
“Governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.
“As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations.”
Just how many dire tipping points and deadlines have passed since 1989, and how many more need to come and go before populations fully wake?
It’s an epic fraud.
The sun is again shutting down.
Prepare for the cold times.
GSM
For the full UN 1989 AGW article, click here.
This Week Saw one of the Worst November Snowstorms to Ever Hit the Chicago Area – Electroverse
•••
“It’s an epic fraud. The sun is again shutting down. Prepare for the cold times.”
UNFORTUNATELY, we at Climatism agree. Substantial real-world evidence points toward global cooling, not global warming, as the overheated UN climate models shamelessly foretell:
Climate Models are a Joke « JoNova
*
CURRENT GLOBAL SATELLITE TEMPS (NASA MSU UAH Oct, 2018)
“The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations
on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.”
– Prof. Chris Folland,
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
“Themodels are convenient fictions
that provide something very useful.”
– Dr David Frame,
Climate modeler, Oxford University
“We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.“
– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation
***
THE global warming climate change scare has absolutely nothing to do with the environment or “Saving The Planet”. Rather, its roots lie in a misanthropic agenda engineered by the environmental movement of the mid 1970’s, who realised that doing something about claimed man-made “global warming” would play to quite a number of the Left’s social agendas.
ENERGY rationing and the control of carbon dioxide, the direct byproduct of cheap, reliable hydrocarbon energy, has always been key to the Left’s Malthusian and misanthropic agenda of depopulation and deindustrialisation. A totalitarian ideology enforced through punitive emissions controls under the guise of “Saving The Planet”.
STANFORD University and The Royal Society’s resident global warming alarmist and population freak Paul R. Ehrlich spelled out in 1976 the Left’s anti-energy agenda that still underpins the current ‘climate change’ scare :
“Giving society cheap, abundant energy would be the
equivalent of giving an idiot child a machine gun.”
– Prof Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University/Royal Society fellow
THE creator, fabricator and proponent of global warming alarmism Maurice Strong, founded UNEP and ‘science’ arm, the UN IPCC, under the premise of studying only human (CO2) driven causes of climate change.
STRONG and the UN’s charter and agenda was clearly laid out before the ‘science’ of climate change was butchered and tortured to fit the global warming narrative…
“Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsiblity to bring that about?” – Maurice Strong, founder of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP)
“Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, use of fossil fuels, appliances, air-conditioning, and suburban housing – are not sustainable.” – Maurice Strong, Rio Earth Summit
“It is the responsibility of each human being today to choose between the force of darkness and the force of light. We must therefore transform our attitudes, and adopt a renewed respect for the superior laws of Divine Nature.“ – Maurice Strong, first Secretary General of UNEP
ATMOSPHERIC Physicist, MIT Professor of Meteorology and former IPCC lead author Richard S. Lindzen, examines the politics and ideology behind the CO2-centricity that drives the man-made climate change agenda.
LINDZEN’S summary goes to the very heart of why Carbon Dioxide has become the centre-piece of the ‘global’ climate debate:
“For a lot of people including the bureaucracy in Government and the environmental movement, the issue is power. It’s hard to imagine a better leverage point than carbon dioxide to assume control over a society. It’s essential to the production of energy, it’s essential to breathing. If you demonise it and gain control over it, you so-to-speak, control everything. That’s attractive to people. It’s been openly stated for over forty years that one should try to use this issue for a variety of purposes, ranging from North/South redistribution, to energy independence, to God knows what…”
•••
“CO2 for different people has different attractions. After all, what is it? – it’s not a pollutant, it’s a product of every living creature’s breathing, it’s the product of all plant respiration, it is essential for plant life and photosynthesis, it’s a product of all industrial burning, it’s a product of driving – I mean, if you ever wanted a leverage point to control everything from exhalation to driving, this would be a dream. So it has a kind of fundamental attractiveness to bureaucratic mentality.”
SCIENCE Matters‘ Ron Clutz on the myth of CO2 as a significant driver of global warming climate change and our weather:
To believe humans are dangerously warming earth’s climate, you have to swallow a bunch of unbelievable notions.
You have to think the atmosphere drives temperature, instead of the ocean with 1000 times the heat capacity.
You have to disregard the sun despite its obvious effects from summer to winter and longer term.
You have to think CO2 drives radiative heat transfers, instead of H2O which does 95% of the radiative work.
You have to think rises in CO2 cause temperatures to rise, rather than the other way around.
You have to forget it was warmer than now in the Middle Ages, warmer still in the Roman era, and warmest of all during Minoan times. And on and on.
The global warmist narrative is full of ideas upside down and backwards, including many reversals of cause and effect.
It is like a massive hot air balloon, so why doesn’t it deflate? Answer: It is because so many interests are served by keeping it alive and pumping up public fears.
Self-Serving Global Warmism | Science Matters
*
EQUILIBRIUM CLIMATE SENSITIVITY (ECS)
WE are constantly told by the Climate Crisis Industry that the “science is settled”. Yet, the main indicator of a so-called climate “crisis” – Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity or ECS – the hypothesised amount of temperature increase per doubling of CO2, keeps shrinking even as carbon dioxide rises.
CO2 is Life with the rub…
The Ever Changing “Settled” Science; How Can a “Settled” Science need Continual Updating?
The Ever Changing “Settled” Science; How Can a “Settled” Science need Continual Updating? | CO2 is Life
The “Science” was “Settled” in 2000 CO2 Sensitivity 4.25°C
The “Science” was “Settled” in 2005 CO2 Sensitivity 3.75°C
The “Science” was “Settled” in 2010 CO2 Sensitivity 2.75°C
The “Science” was “Settled” in 2015 CO2 Sensitivity 0.50°C
(More)(Source)
The Ever Changing “Settled” Science; How Can a “Settled” Science need Continual Updating? – CO2 is Life
*
OVERHEATED UN CLIMATE MODELS
THEN there are the failed CO2-centric UN CMIP5 climate models. Overheated climate models that do not accord with observed reality, and yet increase IPCC confidence in dangerous global warming despite ever-increasing divergence from satellite and weather-balloon data…
JUST as ECS declines as CO2 increases it becomes harder to see how policy makers can justify the deliberate deindustrialisation of the Western world driven by draconian, UN climate policies based on overheated UN climate models, fear, funding and mass propaganda.
DO politicians even look at empirical data or “the science” anymore? Or does the wicked truth expose their scam, hindering globalist intentions?
THIS eco-scare is strong and will not die quickly. Too many jobs, reputations and egos are now at stake. And, access to unlimited “Save The Planet”taxpayer trillions, completely immune to oversight.
Recent Comments