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HURRICANES & Climate Change : Landfalls

DR. CURRY HIGHLIGHTS :

“While there is no observational evidence of increased frequency or intensity of landfalling hurricanes, either in the Atlantic or globally, there is very clear evidence of increasing damage from landfalling hurricanes. Is this increase in damage solely attributed to increasing population and wealth in vulnerable coastal locations, or is there an element of climate change that is contributing to the increase in damage?”

“Klotzbach et al. and Weinkle et al. argue that given that there are no significant trends in the frequency or intensity of landfalling U.S. hurricanes since 1900, we would expect an unbiased normalization to also exhibit no trend over this time period.”

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NOTABLE SLIDES :

slide08-1

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

Part III: is there any signal of global warming in landfalling hurricanes and their impacts?

View original post 3,279 more words

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Carbon Dioxide ‘Pollution’ On Vacation In Hawaii


“The fact that an opinion has been widely held is no evidence whatever that it is not utterly absurd; indeed in view of the silliness of the majority of mankind, a widespread belief is more likely to be foolish than sensible.” – Bertrand Russel

***

ANTHROPOGENIC global warming theory implies that mankind’s gasses, primarily, carbon dioxide (deceptively known as “carbon pollution” for politics and shock value) is supposed to be warming the lower troposphere – the first 10 kilometres of Earth’s atmosphere.

WHILE the fingerprint for Carbon Dioxide forcing exists in computer simulations, it is yet to be found in the physical world:

THE MISSING ‘HOT SPOT’

hot-spot-model-predicted

One of the most important pieces of the climate change debate rarely cited … the missing ‘Hot-Spot’ | The Missing Hot Spot | Climatism

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WHILE debate rages about the causes of global warming, most of the public and our policy makers are not aware of the most basic salient facts:

1. The greenhouse signature is missing. We have been looking and measuring for years, and cannot find it.

Each possible cause of global warming has a different pattern of where in the planet the warming occurs first and the most. The signature of an increased greenhouse effect is a hot spot about 10km up in the atmosphere over the tropics. We have been measuring the atmosphere for decades using radiosondes: weather balloons with thermometers that radio back the temperature as the balloon ascends through the atmosphere. They show no hot spot. Whatsoever.

If there is no hot spot then an increased greenhouse effect is not the cause of global warming. So we know for sure that carbon emissions are not a significant cause of the global warming. If we had found the greenhouse signature then I would be an alarmist again.

Dr David Evans, former consultant to the Australian Greenhouse Office from 1999 to 2005 

FULL Report here : The Missing Hot Spot | Climatism

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S-NO-W HOT SPOT OVER HAWAII!

BESIDES precipitation, the most important element required for snow to form is cold air. Yesterday’s winter blast set a new (interim) record cold temperature for the 50th state of -12°F or -11.1°C.

via weather.com :

Just after midnight on Monday, a number of sensors atop Mauna Kea dipped below 12 degrees Fahrenheit, according to the Mauna Kea Weather Center, a facility supporting a number of telescopes atop the 13,770-foot volcano on the Big Island of Hawaii.

Screen Shot 2019-02-13 at 1.47.51 am.png

If those temperatures are deemed accurate, at least four of those sensors would exceed the official all-time state record low in Hawaii of 12 degrees (-11.1 degrees Celsius) also set atop Mauna Kea on May 17, 1979.

Hawaii Storm Might Have Set the State’s All-Time Record Low; Snow Fell on Maui, Too | The Weather Channel

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LOWEST-ELEVATION SNOWFALL EVER RECORDED

SNOW is not unheard of in mountainous parts of the tropical island chain, but officials say the coating at 6,200 feet (1,900 meters) at Polipoli State Park on Maui could mark the lowest-elevation snowfall ever recorded in the state.

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Historic Snow Storm Hits Maui Hawaii – YouTube

SEE original video of ’emotional’ gentleman discovering rare snowfall at 6,200 feet here :

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IT’S ONLY WEATER, BUT…

GLOBAL Warming alarmists have already been quick to denounce this as just a weather event, which it is. “You’re confusing weather with climate!” they insist on my twitter account. As they themselves aggressively look for the next heatwave, flood, drought or forest fire to blame on “CLIMATE CHANGE!”.

REMEMBER that rule: Cold = Weather, Hot = Climate.

YES, this is just a weather event. However, it’s worth keeping in mind that such “weather” including the record cold and snow experienced in the current NH winter was not expected in the era of the “HOTTEST XXX EVAHH”, so gleefully marketed by the global warming theory obsessed mainstream media.

IN FACT, according to the ‘97% consensus’ of ‘climate experts’ and sycophant mainstream media, “Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past“. And, “a very rare and exciting event [where] children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”

SEE for yourself what climate ‘experts’ predicted about snow…

IN 2000, climate expert Dr David Viner of the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit (CRU) assured us that :

Snowfall will become “A very rare and exciting event…
Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”
Dr David VinerSenior scientist, climatic research unit (CRU)

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IN 2001, the UN IPCC predicted diminished snowfalls as human CO2 increased, claiming that “milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms” due to human activity…

THEY also forecast “warmer winters and fewer cold spells, because of climate change…”

warmer-winters-ipcc.png

warmer-winters-ipcc

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2000 : a prediction from Professor Mojib Latif of Germany’s GEOMAR Heimholtz Centre for Ocean Research…

“Winters with strong frosts and lots of snow like we had 20 years ago will no longer exist at our latitudes.” – Professor Mojib Latif

2000 : Spiegel

“Good bye winter. Never again snow?”

2004 : Mark Lynas told us

“Snow has become so rare that when it does fall – often just for a few hours – everything grinds to a halt. In early 2003 a ‘mighty’ five-centimetre snowfall in southeast England caused such severe traffic jams that many motorists had to stay in their cars overnight. Today’s kids are missing out . . . Many of these changes are already underway, but have been accelerating over the last two decades. Termites have already moved into southern England. Garden centres are beginning to stock exotic sub-tropical species, which only a few years ago would have been killed off by winter…” – Mark Lynas

2005 : Christopher Krull, Black Forest Tourism Association / Spiegel

Planning for a snowless future: “Our study is already showing that that there will be a much worse situation in 20 years.”

2005 : George Monbiot on climate change and snow

Winter is no longer the great grey longing of my childhood. The freezes this country suffered in 1982 and 1963 are – unless the Gulf Stream stops – unlikely to recur. Our summers will be long and warm. Across most of the upper northern hemisphere, climate change, so far, has been kind to us…

2006 : Daniela Jacob of Max Planck Institute for Meterology, Hamburg …

“Yesterday’s snow… Because temperatures in the Alps are rising quickly, there will be more precipitation in many places. But because it will rain more often than it snows, this will be bad news for tourists. For many ski lifts this means the end of business.”

Less Snow and Drier Summers in German Forecast | Germany| News and in-depth reporting from Berlin and beyond | DW | 30.04.2006

2006 : The Independent‘s somber editorial admonished us that the lack of snow was evidence of a “dangerous seasonal disorder”…

The countryside is looking rather peculiar this winter. It seems we have a number of unexpected guests for Christmas. Dragonflies, bumblebees and red admiral butterflies, which would normally be killed off by the frost, can still be seen in some parts of the country . . . Some might be tempted to welcome this late blossoming of the natural world as a delightful diversion from the bleakness of this time of year. But these fluctuations should be cause for concern because it is overwhelmingly likely that they are a consequence of global warming . . . all this is also evidence that global warming is occurring at a faster rate than many imagined…

2007 : BBC “One Planet Special”…

It Seems the Winters of Our Youth are Unlikely to Return” presenter Richard Hollingham … speaks to climate scientists to get their views. Their conclusion? In the words of the BBC, they all give “predictions of warmer winters, for UK & the Northern Hemisphere”.

2007 : Schleswig Holstein NABU

“Ice, snow, and frost will disappear, i.e. milder winters” … “Unusually warm winters without snow and ice are now being viewed by many as signs of climate change.”

2007 : Western Mail (Wales Online) … article, entititled “Snowless Winters Forecast for Wales as World Warms Up” quotes one of the global warming movement’s key figures, Sir John Houghton, former head of the IPCC and former head of the UK Met Office…

Former head of the Met Office Sir John Houghton, who is one of the UK’s leading authorities on climate change, said all the indicators suggest snowy winters will become increasingly rare He said, “Snowlines are going up in altitude all over the world. The idea that we will get less snow is absolutely in line with what we expect from global warming.”

2007 : Die Zeit

“First the snow disappears, and then winter.”

2008 : Another prediction

A study of snowfall spanning 60 years has indicated that the Alps’s entire winter sports industry could grind to a halt through lack of snow…. In some years the amount that fell was 60 per cent lower than was typical in the early 1980s, said Christoph Marty, from the Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research in Davos, who analysed the records. ”I don’t believe we will see the kind of snow conditions we have experienced in past decades,” he said.

2014 : the global warming theory-obsessed New York Times touted “The End of Snow?” Reassuring their readers that “This is no longer a scientific debate. It is scientific fact.”

The truth is, it is too late for all of that. Greening the ski industry is commendable, but it isn’t nearly enough. Nothing besides a national policy shift on how we create and consume energy will keep our mountains white in the winter — and slow global warming to a safe level. screenhunter_314-feb-07-11-00

This is no longer a scientific debate. It is scientific fact. The greatest fear of most climate scientists is continued complacency that leads to a series of natural climatic feedbacks…”

(Climatism bolds)

The End of Snow? – The New York Times

2017 : The Age’s resident global warming catastrophist Peter Hannam signalled the end of snow…

 

Australia’s ski resorts face the prospect of a long downhill run as a warming climate reduces snow depth, cover and duration. The industry’s ability to create artificial snow will also be challenged, scientists say.

Snowy retreat: Climate change puts Australia’s ski industry on a downhill slope | The AGE

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A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that resorts could lose a quarter of their snow within 15 years…

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DOES the CSIRO and ‘97% of all experts’ still stand by their predictions of “no-snow”? Or is their alarmist sophistry simply more global warming climate change fear-mongering designed to push their socialist agenda based not on evidence but on political dogma, ideology and overheated UN IPCC / CSIRO climate models?

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SNOW EXTENT DATA

WINTER snow extent is increasing globally as CO2 emissions rise…

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HIGHEST snow mass build-up since 1982

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RECORD NORTH AMERICAN SNOWFALL 2018

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‘FALL’ snow extent is also increasing globally as CO2 emissions rise…

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ALARMISTS U-TURN

NOW, of course, climate scientists are trying to dig themselves out of snow that’s kept falling…

Looking back at 65 years’ worth of statistics, Environment Canada’s senior climatologist David Phillips noted that since 1948, winter temperatures in the prairie regions have increased by an average of four degrees Celsius… Ironically, warmer weather can mean greater snowfall. “As we warm up, we may see more moisture, we may see more moist air masses, and therefore we could very well see more snow rather than less snow, because the air masses are going to be more moist and so therefore you’re going to be able to wring out more snow than you would be if it was dry air,” Phillips said.

NB//

“Interestingly, some scientists have stated that increasing snow is consistent with climate change because warmer air holds more moisture, more water vapor and this can result in more storms with heavy precipitation. The trick, of course, is having sufficient cold air to produce that snow. But note that 93% of the years with more than 60″ of snow in Boston were colder than average years. The reality is cooling, not warming, increases snowfall.” – Veteran Meteorologist Barry Burbank 

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CONCLUSION

LISTEN to what the ‘experts’ promised you back then. Because, if they got it wrong then, how can you trust what they are foretelling today or tomorrow? The answer is you cannot, because they have no idea what long-range conditions Mother Nature is going to serve up in such a “chaotic” and complex system as our climate.

BUT, one thing is a “97%” certainty within the current and scary world of post-modern climate ‘science’ – whatever scenario suits and supports the political and ideological position of man-made ‘climate change’ will be predicted, promoted and spread like a hurricane within the compliant mainstream media, throughout our most ‘esteemed’ scientific institutions, our schools and of course throughout academia – DAMN the data and real-world evidence!

Aloha

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 SEE also :

Read the rest of this entry »


BLACK THURSDAY 168 Years Ago : Bushfires Burn 5 Million Hectares or A Quarter Of Victoria

Black Thursday, February 6th. 1851, as depicted by William Strutt in 1864

Black Thursday, February 6th. 1851, as depicted by William Strutt in 1864


“People have been imagining that the climate is changing,
exaggerating every weather event, getting widespread press coverage,
and blaming it on man – for as long as there have been newspapers.”

– Tony Heller
Climate Change Insanity Never Changes

The only way to get our society to truly change is to
frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe
.”
– emeritus professor Daniel Botkin

***

THE Black Thursday bushfires were a devastating series of fires that swept through Victoria on February 6, 1851. They are considered the largest Australian bushfires in a populous region in recorded history, with approximately 5 million hectares, or a quarter of Victoria, being burnt. Twelve lives were lost, along with one million sheep and thousands of cattle.

THE year preceding the fires was exceptionally hot and dry and this trend continued into the summer of 1851. On Black Thursday, a northerly wind set in early and the temperature in Melbourne was reported to have peaked at 47.2 degrees C (117 degrees F) at 11:00am.

“The temperature became torrid, and on the morning of the 6th of February 1851, the air which blew down from the north resembled the breath of a furnace. A fierce wind arose, gathering strength and velocity from hour to hour, until about noon it blew with the violence of a tornado. By some inexplicable means it wrapped the whole country in a sheet of flame — fierce, awful, and irresistible.” (Wikipedia).

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IN 1851, carbon dioxide levels were around 285 ppm. Today, carbon dioxide “pollution” levels are around 400 ppm.

CLIMATE change alarmists, like Tim Flannery ,their ABC, and The Greens claim Australian bush fires are unprecedented and becoming more extreme, thanks to human carbon dioxide “pollution” emissions.

THEY tell you this because the ultimate prize of the Climate Crisis Industry is the control of carbon dioxide (energy). Virtually every human activity, including breathing, releases carbon dioxide. Consequently, greenhouse gases have become weaponised in the global effort to control every aspect of your life and lifestyle.

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WHY AUSTRALIA’S BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY HIDES PRE-1910 TEMPERATURES

On February 6, 1851 – Melbourne was 117°F at 8AM. Data like this wrecks the global warming story, so BOM simply makes them disappear.

IMG_4666

DZhkVCIUQAART_9DZhkVCGU8AEtCS1DZhkVCIVoAA5yd9

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CLIMATE AMBULANCE CHASERS

THE annual ‘summer’ season guarantees bushfires in Australia – a clarion call for climate ambulance chasers…

ASSOCIATE editor at The Australian and Sky news presenter Chris Kenny hits back with logic and reason to the lazy correlation by Leftist media and celebrities who associate every weather event and bushfire to man’s emissions, in an effort to improve ones virtue and morality over the next.

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SEE also:

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BREAKING : Carbon Dioxide Causes Both Record Hot And Record Cold

breaking - co2 causes record hot & cold - climatism

CO2 – The Magic Molecule | Climatism


“As we all know, this isn’t about truth at all,
it’s about plausibly deniable accusations.”
– Michael Mann (Climategate Emails)

“Those who can make you believe absurdities,
can make you commit atrocities.”
– Voltaire

“Blind trust in authority
is the greatest enemy of the truth.”
Albert Einstein

***

THE $2,000,000,000,000 US per year (2 Trillion) Climate Crisis Industry is not unlike the Washington “swamp”. When its orthodoxy and authority is threatened, questioned or challenged, major stakeholders launch a swift and coordinated defence to maintain the status quo.

ANY real-world evidence that contradicts the anthropogenic global warming theory (AGW) is viciously refuted with eye-popping examples of reverse logic and shameless shifting of goal-posts. However implausible, a clear and consistent message will follow nonetheless, carefully coordinated and synced between ‘scientific’ bodies and compliant mainstream media to add plausibility, authenticity and believability.

A priceless example was one by The Guardian’s resident climate catastrophist, George Monbiot, who claimed that the widespread and prolonged snowfalls of the 2017/18 Northern Hemisphere winter were caused by, yep, ‘global warming’!

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HISTORIC DEEP FREEZE SWEEPS MIDWEST

FAST forward only 10 months and the climate cult has been in crisis management mode dealing with the current Polar Vortex that has ravaged the US and Europe with historic low temperatures.

WITH the mercury in Milwaukee plunging as low as -65°F (wind chill) and Indianapolis -40°F, comparisons have been made to temperatures as cold as Mt Everest, Siberia and Mars!

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CHICAGO hit -25°F (actual) which was -2°F shy of the all time record cold set in 1985. Temperatures fell early Wednesday to -19°F making it the coldest Jan. 30 in Chicago on record. It beat the last record daily low of -15°F set on Jan. 30, 1966, according to the National Weather Service.

THE New York Times dubbed this years Arctic blast the “coldest weather in a generation”:

CHICAGO — Two of the most dreaded words in a Midwestern weather forecast — “polar vortex” — returned this week, promising life-threatening low temperatures that could shatter records and plunge much of the region into its deepest freeze in decades.

——-

“The vortex, a brutal mass of cold air within strong bands of circulating winds, has spread southward from its normal location near the North Pole in recent weeks, bringing arctic weather to the middle of the United States. Such weather events have become more common in recent years; scientists are not sure why, but some suspect a link to climate change.”

Midwest Bracing for Antarctic-Like Weather – The New York Times

NOTE the Times’ urgency to blame “climate change”, even as “scientists are not sure why”.

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TRUMP TROLLS THE WARMISTS

NO politician or President has ever been able to unnerve the mainstream media and expose their true colours and extreme Leftist/Socialist ideologies like Trump. Like or loath him, he dares to question orthodoxy and the preferred wisdom of the day, disrupting the status quo.

HIS tweet on the extreme cold weather sent the global warming theory-obsessed mainstream media into a literal meltdown:

BREITBART’S John Nolte with the apoplectic reaction from the press:

Naturally, this launched a million reactionary headlines from our oh-so objective, unbiased, not-at-all left-wing media.

“Look at This Embarrassing F*cking Moron,” screamed Esquire.

“Debunking the utter idiocy of Donald Trump’s global warming tweet,” pouted CNN.

“Here’s Why the Crazy Cold Temperatures Prove Global Warming is Real,” Forbes says reassuringly.

“What Trump keeps getting wrong about Global Warming,” the Washington Post helpfully reports.

But here is my personal favorite headline from, where else?, NBC News…. “Yes, it can be this cold outside in a time of global warming.”

Experts Claim Every Kind of Weather Proves Global Warming Is Fer’ Real | Breitbart

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GOVERNMENT institutions quick to defend their sacred (cash) cow, too :

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TONY HELLER (Steve Goddard) quick to correct the warmist NOAA’s flawed, reactionary argument:

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CO2 CAUSES BOTH ‘EXTREME’ HOT & COLD!

NEW YORK Times Climate – making sure you believe that both extreme cold and extreme heat are a direct byproduct of your gasses and excesses.

NOTE the goal-posts being shifted to accomodate any weather event :

MY reply :

REGARDING “Extremes” :

I noted in a past Climatism post detailing the latest IPCC report on “Extreme Weather” that the mainstream media would wilfully dismiss its ‘inconvenient’ findings:

EXTREME WEATHER, the Climate Crisis Industries favoured weapon of mass hysteria has been scuttled, once again, by their very own authority, the UN IPCC!

THE latest report finding that there is “little basis or evidence” for claiming that drought, floods, hurricanes and cyclones have increased due to greenhouse gases. Tornadoes were not even mentioned, owing to the record lack of.

BUT, alas! Just as the extreme weather findings from last IPCC report – AR5 (2013) – were conveniently dismissed by the mainstream media and climate crusaders, so too will the latest ‘inconvenient’ findings from the SR15 ‘Special Report’.

SORRY ALARMISTS : The IPCC Once Again Reports Extreme Weather Events Have Not Increased | Climatism

NEW YORK Times Climate didn’t disappoint!

THE Grey Lady falling foul of one of the Climate Crisis Industries ten commandments – “YOU’RE CONFUSING CLIMATE WITH WEATHER”, whilst blaming CO2 – the magic molecule – for both hot and cold weather!

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THE POLAR VORTEX

THE mainstream media in conjunction with warmist ‘scientists’ have been desperate to blame this years Polar Vortex on ‘global warming’.

THE Economist “explains” :

Why Chicago is so cold – Global warming may be to blame | The Economist

“Two sets of air currents determine which parts of North America and Europe get blasted by Arctic air each winter. The stratospheric polar vortex is a smallish patch of low-pressure air that circulates, anti-clockwise, in a ring some 48km (30 miles) above the Arctic. It helps to trap the coldest air near the pole and forms only in winter.

—–

The problem for America’s Midwest is that the Arctic has warmed unusually fast, a result of more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and so the polar jet stream is fluctuating more widely. As a result, the stratospheric polar vortex may slow down, and colder air is drawn southwards. A similar sort of shift in the air currents helped to cause the “Beast from the East” that chilled western Europe in 2018.”

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HISTORY ‘DENIERS’

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1977 “Global Cooling” Polar Vortex

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FORTY years ago, the New York Times blamed the Polar Vortex on global cooling and increasing Arctic ice. Now they say the exact opposite – the Polar Vortex is caused by global warming and decreasing Arctic ice:

“A gradual increase in area of the northern circumpolar vortex, the massive flow of frigid air around the Arctic, has been recorded by Drs. Angell and Korshover.”

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SCIENCE has known about the Polar Vortex for decades. But, as it contradicts the current ‘global warming’ theory, it’s conveniently forgotten:

sciencemag1975-polarvortex

Science Mag – 1975

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THE Polar Vortex used to be evidence of “Another Ice Age” setting in:

Another Ice Age?

Time Magazine   Monday, Jun 24, 1974

Scientists have found other indications of global cooling. For one thing there has been a noticeable expansion of the great belt of dry, high-altitude polar winds —the so-called circumpolar vortex

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NOW the same Polar Vortex is evidence that the Earth is burning up:

While climate change is warming the earth, not all parts of the earth are warming at the same rate; the Arctic is warming at a rate twice as fast as the world average. That warming has led to historically low levels of sea ice in the region. The melting sea ice, particularly in an area near the Barents and Kara Seas off Siberia, may be linked to the changes in the polar vortex.

“When we lose a lot of ice in that particular area in the summer, it absorbs a lot of extra heat from the sun,” Dr. Francis said. This is because the darker open ocean absorbs more heat than reflective ice. “And so we see a very persistent, hot spot there in terms of temperature differences from what they should be.”

Research suggests that the hot spot, along with changes in the jet stream driven by climate change, cause the polar vortex to break down in mid- to late winter.

(Climatism bolds)

WORKING for the New York Times, one would think Kendra would have access to historical (Polar Vortex) articles from her own workplace? Google?

MAYBE delving into the ‘inconvenient’ past simply wrecks her entire narrative. That would be a shame. Pity we had to do it here, for her.

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CONCLUSION

JOHN NOLTE from his great piece in Breitbart on the Polar Vortex fiasco with this to aptly conclude:

Any student of history can look back and discover that all of history’s mass-murdering socialists — from Hitler to Stalin to Mao — have manufactured audacious lies and scapegoats as a means to consolidate power into a malevolent Central Authority.

Freedom is Slavery.

War is Peace.

Ignorance is Strength.

Cooling is Warming.

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CLIMATE IS CYCLICAL

THE science as to what is the predominant driver of climate is far from “settled”. The effect to global temperature per doubling of carbon dioxide is ever-decreasing as “the science” develops. Some estimates are as low as 0.5°C by 2100.

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AND then there’s that big yellow light in the sky :

  • approximately 330,000 times greater the mass of Earth.
  • 1.3 million earths can fit into it.
  • contains 99.86% of the mass in the Solar System.
  • has a surface temperature of ‎5,500 °C.
  • whose light reaches Earth in 8 minutes and 20 seconds, and
  • whose core is around 13600000 degrees Celsius.

YEP, the Sun!

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THE SUN & CLIMATE CHANGE

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UPDATE

INSIGHTFUL analysis by Roy Spencer of UAH questioning the theory that declining Arctic sea-ice is the cause of the Polar-Vortex.

SPENCER provides an interesting chart from his colleague John Christy of “cold waves” in the US, showing that they are ‘declining’:

“the connection between Eastern U.S. cold waves and Arctic sea ice is speculative, at best. Just like most theories of climate change.” – Roy Spencer PhD

If the Polar Vortex is due to Global Warming, Why are U.S. Cold Waves Decreasing? « Roy Spencer, PhD

“At a minimum we should demand good observational support for any specific claim. In this case I would say that the connection between Eastern U.S. cold waves and Arctic sea ice is speculative, at best.

Just like most theories of climate change.”

Full report : If the Polar Vortex is due to Global Warming, Why are U.S. Cold Waves Decreasing? « Roy Spencer, PhD

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POLAR VORTEX – “THE MOST POWERFUL (Unnoticed) STORM IN THE WORLD” 

FASCINATING video explanation of what is a Polar Vortex by Simon Clark (PhD in theoretical atmospheric physics at the University of Exeter)

Watch especially from 1:20

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MORE :

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SEE also :

Read the rest of this entry »


‘GLOBAL WARMING’ UPDATE : Montreal’s Fête Des Neiges (Winter Snow Festival) Cancelled Due To Extreme Cold!

fete des neiges - cancelled - extreme cold - climatism

Fête des Neiges de Montréal 2019 | Montreal


“It’s never too cold for Fete des Neige!”
– Christine Muschi | Montreal Gazette

***

BEING careful not to confuse ‘weather’ with ‘climate’, even though our warmist friends have no problem finding a direct link between heatwaves and ‘climate change’, every summer, there’s no escaping the irony of cancelling a snow festival due to extreme cold in the era of extreme global warming climate change alarmism!

THE extreme irony highlighted by a support comment from Christine Muschi of the Montreal Gazette, before the cancellation – “It’s never too cold for Fete des Neige…”!

*

ORGANISERS disagree with Christine’s optimism and have cancelled the event on Sunday due to extreme cold and snow conditions :

“Although the majority of the Fête’s activities can be held despite difficult winter conditions, blowing snow, freezing cold, wind gusts and dangerous roads are all factors that have influenced our decision,” François Carier, director of marketing, business development and communications at Parc Jean-Drapeau, said in a statement.”

While you were sleeping: Fête des neiges disrupted by titular snow | Montreal Gazette

*

CBC with the story on today’s cancellation :

The annual Fête des neiges at Parc Jean-Drapeau is cancelled today due to the extreme cold and winter storm warning.

This is the first time in 10 years that activities for the winter festival have been cancelled due to weather, according to a statement from François Cartier, director of marketing and communications for the Société du parc Jean-Drapeau.

Cartier said that the decision was made in an effort to maintain the safety of the public as well as employees and volunteers who make the festival possible.

The events, which run until Feb. 10, will restart Saturday Jan. 26.

This is the 36th edition of the Fête des neiges.

Environment Canada issued a winter storm warning for the greater Montreal area and predicted as much as 20 or 25 cm of snowfall though Sunday.

Temperatures are expected to dip as low as -35 C (with windchill) and the weather agency is warning that there is a frostbite risk.

Montreal’s Fête des neiges cancelled due to extreme cold weather | CBC News

*

MEANWHILE, Justin Trudeau and environment minister Catherine McKenna campaign for a Carbon Tax to stop ‘Global Warming’ or ‘Climate Change’, or something…

***

UPDATE

‘NOTHING to see here’ according to the global warming theory-obsessed mainstream media.

KEEP in mind their golden rule:

  • COLD = WEATHER
  • HOT = CLIMATE

ELECTROVERSE.NET with more…

Meteorologists and historians believe that this weekend’s baptism by snow could actually have been the coldest snowstorm experienced by Montrealers in a century, reads a montreal.ctvnews.ca article from Jan 20. 

Sunday’s high held below -15C all day and snow accumulation was expected to exceed 25cm.

According to the Twitter account YUL Weather Records, the last time Montreal experienced a similar snowstorm was Jan 16, 1920. On that day, a total of 30.2 cm of snow fell, and the daytime high reached -19.4C.

By 3pm on Sunday it was already Montreal’s 2nd snowiest Jan 20th since records began in 1872:

And it was a similar story in nearby Ottawa:

Environment Canada advised people to postpone “non-essential travel” until conditions improve, which may not be for a couple of days.

“There is another storm that may be heading our way for the middle of the week, so we expect more snow,” warned Michelle Fleury, a meteorologist with Environment Canada.

For the full article from montreal.ctvnews.ca, click here.

THE MAINSTREAM’S “EXPLAIN-AWAY”

A recently published NYTimes article desperately tries to explain-away the brutal cold gripping the Northern Hemisphere this winter with a painfully stupid, logic-lacking argument.

According to the article, we can expect further disruptions to the polar vortex due to Global Warming. Yes, that’s right, a complete tune-change, but Global Warming now means more record snow and cold during the winter.

An incredible flip, and one clearly driven by the multitude of cold-weather records tumbling across the continents along with the above-average Snow Mass the Northern Hemisphere has maintained all winter.

The irritating thing is that this slimy bullshit will likely fly with those that can’t be bothered, or simply don’t have the time, to do any digging.

“We’d better just believe what the NYTimes says.

After all, they have such a stellar track record on this topic…

…right?”

Forty years ago, a NYTimes headline read ‘International Team of Specialists Finds No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend in Northern Hemisphere’:

The Polar Vortex used to be evidence that a new ice age is setting in. Now apparently it is evidence that the Earth is burning up, writes Steve Goddard on his website realclimatescience.com.

It pains me to link it, but here is the NYTimes article in question, entitled Brace for the Polar Vortex: It May Be Visiting More Often.

I can hear it being cited during many a heated family debate — the AGW alarmists new ace-in-the-hole to explain away the encroaching Grand Solar Minimum.

But the truth is out there:

Arctic Sea Ice continues to trend thicker — link.

Total Snow Mass for the NH is well-above the 30-year average — link.

Global Average Temperatures continue to fall — link.

And it has nothing to do with increasing CO2 heating the planet, it’s all the result of our sun beginning its latest shut down (relatively) which past cycles suggest is due.

WHAT THE SCIENCE SUGGESTS IS ACTUALLY HAPPENING

Research (linked below) shows blocking persistence increases when solar activity is low, causing weather patterns to become locked in place at high and intermediate latitudes for prolonged periods of time.

During a solar minimum, the jet stream’s usual Zonal Flow (a west–east direction) reverts to more of a Meridional Flow (a north-south direction) — this is exaggerated further during a Grand Solar Minimum, like the one we’re likely entering now, and explains why regions become unseasonably hot or cold and others unusually dry or rainy, with the extremes lasting for an extended period of time.

jet-streams

Mikhaël Schwander, et al, 2017 — “The 247-year-long analysis of the 11-year solar cycle impact on late winter European weather patterns suggests a reduction in the occurrence of westerly flow types linked to a reduced mean zonal flow under low solar activity. Based on this observational evidence, we estimate the probability to have cold conditions in winter over Europe to be higher under low solar activity than under high activity.”

We’ve known the mechanisms for decades, as this article from 1975’s Science Mag would indicate, but as they contradict the modern political Global Warming agenda they’re conveniently forgotten:

TEXAS ‘OUT-SNOWING’ PARTS OF ALASKA? — ALL PREDICTED DURING A GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM

Back in the fall of 2018, Texas was reported to be ‘out-snowing’ Fairbanks, Alaska.

The story was twisted by the mainstream media to somehow prove AGW, however the phenomenon is exactly the pattern we’d expect to see during a Grand Solar Minimum.

Looking at NASA’s own Maunder Minimum Temperature Reconstruction Maps, some regions actually warm during periods of global cooling — the Arctic, North Atlantic and Alaska being the main ones (although ‘warm’ to the Arctic, for example, is still well-below freezing — there’s no melt):

Alaska may have had a slow start to winter but the Northern Hemisphere as a whole certainly didn’t.

As linked to earlier, Total Snow Mass for the NH, excluding the mountains, is comfortably sitting well-above the 30 year average:

Total NH Snow Mass — Latest Observation Jan 19, 2019

Our climate is cyclic, never linear — driven mainly by the sun.

History is repeating.

The cold times have returned.

Click here for more on the Grand Solar Minimum and how the resulting increase in Galactic Cosmic Rays contribute to global cooling.
GSM

Coldest Montreal Snowstorm for a Century and the Mainstream Media’s Embarrassing “Explain-Away” – Electroverse

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H/t @Shaun_222

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SEE also : 

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CLIMATISM : 2019 State Of The Climate Report

CLIMATISM - State Of The Climate 2019.png

CLIMATISM – 2019 State Of The Climate Report


CONTRARY to popular thinking and clever marketing, there is no “consensus” on the theory of dangerous man-made climate change. Too many variables exist within the climate system to allow for certainty of future scenarios.

THIS doesn’t deter the $2,000,000,000,000 US per year (2 Trillion) Climate Crisis Industry who manufacture catastrophic climate scenarios (pushed far enough into the distant future as to not be held accountable) with a guarantee of climate calamity unless their utopian ‘green’ dreams are realised.

BUOYED by their recent House Congress win in the 2018 mid-term elections, the hard-Left of the American Democrat party, led by pinup-socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, have doubled-down on their pet global warming theory, proposing the radically-dystopian climate agenda, a Green New Deal.

ACCORDING to PJMedia, the Green New Deal will cost approximately $49.109 Trillion in the first ten years, enough to fund Trump’s border wall 8,616 times over.

FOR all the economic pain and social upheaval that inevitably ensues when draconian climate policy is enacted, it is only fair and reasonable for the taxpayer to ask one simple question about a climate which demands so much of their hard-earned money – “what is broken?”.

THE best way to answer this is to look at the current state of a set of common environmental metrics and analyse their relationship with carbon dioxide – the colourless, odourless, tasteless trace gas at the centre of the supposed “climate crisis”.

CLIMATE CHANGE METRICS

  • ARCTIC
  • ANTARCTIC
  • EXTREME WEATHER (Heatwaves, Cyclones, Hurricanes, Tornadoes, Drought, Floods)
  • SEA LEVELS
  • SNOW
  • POLAR BEARS
  • WILDFIRES
  • GLOBAL GREENING
  • GLOBAL FOOD PRODUCTION
  • GLOBAL TEMPERATURE

IN the interests of “cherry-picking”, there are a myriad of environmental metrics that make up the climate system. The examples cited for the purpose of this report are the more common associations picked up by the press and interest groups to facilitate climate change discussion and ‘debate’.

*THE empirical evidence featured in this post is taken from the latest data supplied by government scientific agencies and peer-reviewed studies. Hyper and direct links supplied per sample.

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ARCTIC

STATE OF ARCTIC SEA-ICE : 2018 SUMMER MINIMUM

ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXTENT (September 2018)

MINIMUM sea-ice extent has been trending up over the past decade. The EXACT opposite of what the press and ‘97% experts’ have been telling you :

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ARCTIC SEA-ICE EXTENT TO DATE

ARCTIC sea-ice extent is very close to the 1981-2010 median:

ARCTIC sea-ice extent is essentially unchanged since January 2006:

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ARCTIC SEA-ICE VOLUME

THE area of the Arctic covered with thick sea ice has greatly expanded over the past eleven years:

SO far this month, ice volume gain has seen a record high:

january1-9arcticseaicevolumeincrease_shadow

Jan Arctic Sea-Ice Volume gain historic

AND January 9 Arctic sea ice volume has been increasing for over a decade:

*Support data Via Real Climate Science

MINIMUM sea-ice volume has been rising since 2007:

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@KiryeNet キリエ on Twitter : “The Arctic has been refreezing for 12 years…minimum sea ice volume has been rising since 2007”

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ARCTIC TEMPS 

ARCTIC temperatures correlate almost perfectly with ocean circulation cycles, and show no correlation with atmospheric CO2 levels.

reykjavik-iceland-temperatures-vs-the-atlantic-multidecadal-oscillation

Reykjavik, Iceland Temperatures Vs. The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

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ALARMIST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ARCTIC HYSTERIA

CLIMATE ‘experts’ describe these record large increases in ice as an unprecedented meltdown:

2019-01-11060118_shadow-789x1024

“Arctic meltdown” search

SEE also : CLIMATE DUD-PREDICTIONS : ‘Ice-Free’ Arctic Prophesies By The ‘97% Consensus’ And Compliant Mainstream Media | Climatism

* Read the rest of this entry »


BEFORE Mann Made Climate Change, Chicago Was Buried Under A Mile Of Ice

Thickness Of Ice Sheets 20,000 Years Ago - CLIMATISM

Thickness Of The Ice Sheets Compared With Modern Skylines


THE Laurentide Ice Sheet was a massive sheet of ice that covered millions of square kilometers, including most of Canada and a large portion of the northern United States.

THE last advance covered most of northern North America between 95,000 and 20,000 years ago.

THIS ice sheet was the primary feature of the Pleistocene epoch in North America, commonly referred to as the ice age. It was up to 2 mi (3.2 km) thick in Nunavik, Quebec, Canada.

PRIOR to the intervention of humans – when the climate was ‘stable’ – Chicago was buried under a mile of ice :

Pleistocene

The maximum extent of glacial ice in the north polar area during the Pleistocene period included the vast Laurentide ice sheet in eastern North America.

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SNOWPACK

IN order for glaciers and ice sheets to form, they require lots of snow to fall.

FOR most of this Century, the planet has seen a significant uptick in fall and winter snowfall during some extremely cold winters :

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CLIMATE CHANGE alarmists blame the increase in snowfall on man-made Global Warming!

TAKE the Guardian’s resident climate ‘expert’ George Monbiot :

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BACK ON PLANET EARTH

THIS is how a non-activist (real) expert explains the record snowfalls that have persisted over the past decade :

VETERAN METEOROLOGIST Barry Burbank :

“INTERESTINGLY, some scientists have stated that increasing snow is consistent with climate change because warmer air holds more moisture, more water vapor and this can result in more storms with heavy precipitation. The trick, of course, is having sufficient cold air to produce that snow. But note that 93% of the years with more than 60″ of snow in Boston were colder than average years. The reality is cooling, not warming, increases snowfall.” – Veteran meteorologist Barry Burbank

Will The Snowiest Decade Continue? « CBS Boston

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CHICAGO AND THE GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM

ELECTROVERSE – the excellent site “Documenting Earth Changes As We Enter A Grand Solar Minimum” reports on this weeks record snowfalls in Chicago. Snowfalls that demonstrate Mother Nature is doing her best to not only bury the failed Global Warming theory, but to perhaps return The Windy City to the Pleistocene epoch and the era of the mile-high Laurentide ice sheet!

Chicago-Snowstorm-e1543315475145

This Week Saw one of the Worst November Snowstorms to Ever Hit the Chicago Area – Electroverse

THIS WEEK SAW ONE OF THE WORST NOVEMBER SNOWSTORMS TO EVER HIT THE CHICAGO AREA

“One of the largest November storms on record dumped as much as 13 inches (33 cm) of snow on the Chicago area Sunday into Monday,” says the Chicago Tribune.

The storm, which all by itself made this the sixth-snowiest November in Chicago history, jammed the morning commute.

It forced the cancellation of more than 1,200 flights.

It shut hundreds of schools.

And it knocked out power to more than 340,000 homes and businesses.

For the full article from the Chicago Tribune, click here.

But AGW meant less snow, right? That’s what we were told?

Well we’re watching yet another narrative shift as the reality changes — the first was the re-branding of Global Warming to Climate Change, and the latest is that a warming world means we should now expect more snowfall, not less.

That’s right, apparently our baking planet will now witness more record cold temperatures, blizzards and early season snow.

I call bullshit.

And I call you a moron if you’re buying this tripe, because it’s so obviously the sun.

We’ve known the mechanism for decades, as this article from 1975’s Science News explains:

Meridional Circulation

Meridional Circulation

It’s all cyclical.

And as our star continues its decline into this next Grand Solar Minimum, a cooling globe will become ever-more apparent — and ever-harder for the UN to cover up.

But they’ll no doubt give it a bash, they’ve been doing it for decades after-all.

Back in 1989 the UN came out with this: “entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.

“Governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.

“As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations.”

Just how many dire tipping points and deadlines have passed since 1989, and how many more need to come and go before populations fully wake?

It’s an epic fraud.

The sun is again shutting down.

Prepare for the cold times.

GSM

 

For the full UN 1989 AGW article, click here.

This Week Saw one of the Worst November Snowstorms to Ever Hit the Chicago Area – Electroverse

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“It’s an epic fraud. The sun is again shutting down. Prepare for the cold times.”

UNFORTUNATELY, we at Climatism agree. Substantial real-world evidence points toward global cooling, not global warming, as the overheated UN climate models shamelessly foretell:

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CURRENT GLOBAL SATELLITE TEMPS (NASA MSU UAH Oct, 2018)

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“Winter Is Coming”

GET prepared…

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UPDATE

GLOBAL Temperature Drops By 0.4°C In Three Years

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SEE also :

GSM related :

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