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SNOW : Setting The Record Straight

SNOW - Climatism

SNOW


THE problem with lying or perpetuating a scam is that you have to be aware of the spin you’ve spun to get you there.

IN the realm of climate and weather, you pray to god (or Gaia) that the prognostications and rules, as laid out by the “97%” of ‘experts’, come to fruition or go close enough to bolster your position.

CLIMATE and weather outcomes vary greatly, depending on many factors, most of which we are yet to fully understand. Perhaps if ever, owing to the fact that “The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” (IPCC TAR 2001)

WITH that in mind, it is feasible and encouraged to identify errors in predictions. From this we can identify uncertainty in order to sharpen hypothesis and curb costly hysteria.

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SNOW 

A good example of climate predictions gone awry is in the area of snow.

“97%” of venerated ‘scientific’ institutions in concert with the warmist mainstream media were predicting the end of snow…

IN 2000, climate expert Dr David Viner of the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit (CRU) assured us that :

Snowfall will become “A very rare and exciting event…
Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”
Dr David VinerSenior scientist, climatic research unit (CRU)

IN 2001, the UN IPCC predicted diminished snowfalls as human CO2 increased, claiming that “milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms” due to the activities of mankind personkind…

THEY also forecast “warmer winters and fewer cold spells, because of climate change…”

warmer-winters-ipcc

warmer-winters-ipcc

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THE “97% of Experts” Agreed Too!

2000 : a prediction from Professor Mojib Latif of Germany’s GEOMAR Heimholtz Centre for Ocean Research…

“Winters with strong frosts and lots of snow like we had 20 years ago will no longer exist at our latitudes.” – Professor Mojib Latif

2004 : Mark Lynas told us

“Snow has become so rare that when it does fall – often just for a few hours – everything grinds to a halt. In early 2003 a ‘mighty’ five-centimetre snowfall in southeast England caused such severe traffic jams that many motorists had to stay in their cars overnight. Today’s kids are missing out . . . Many of these changes are already underway, but have been accelerating over the last two decades. Termites have already moved into southern England. Garden centres are beginning to stock exotic sub-tropical species, which only a few years ago would have been killed off by winter…” – Mark Lynas

2005 : George Monbiot on climate change and snow

Winter is no longer the great grey longing of my childhood. The freezes this country suffered in 1982 and 1963 are – unless the Gulf Stream stops – unlikely to recur. Our summers will be long and warm. Across most of the upper northern hemisphere, climate change, so far, has been kind to us…

2006 : The Independent‘s somber editorial admonished us that the lack of snow was evidence of a “dangerous seasonal disorder”…

The countryside is looking rather peculiar this winter. It seems we have a number of unexpected guests for Christmas. Dragonflies, bumblebees and red admiral butterflies, which would normally be killed off by the frost, can still be seen in some parts of the country . . . Some might be tempted to welcome this late blossoming of the natural world as a delightful diversion from the bleakness of this time of year. But these fluctuations should be cause for concern because it is overwhelmingly likely that they are a consequence of global warming . . . all this is also evidence that global warming is occurring at a faster rate than many imagined…

2007 : BBC “One Planet Special”…

It Seems the Winters of Our Youth are Unlikely to Return” presenter Richard Hollingham … speaks to climate scientists to get their views. Their conclusion? In the words of the BBC, they all give “predictions of warmer winters, for UK & the Northern Hemisphere”.

2007 : Western Mail (Wales Online) … article, entititled “Snowless Winters Forecast for Wales as World Warms Up” quotes one of the global warming movement’s key figures, Sir John Houghton, former head of the IPCC and former head of the UK Met Office…

Former head of the Met Office Sir John Houghton, who is one of the UK’s leading authorities on climate change, said all the indicators suggest snowy winters will become increasingly rare He said, “Snowlines are going up in altitude all over the world. The idea that we will get less snow is absolutely in line with what we expect from global warming.”

2008 : another prediction

A study of snowfall spanning 60 years has indicated that the Alps’s entire winter sports industry could grind to a halt through lack of snow…. In some years the amount that fell was 60 per cent lower than was typical in the early 1980s, said Christoph Marty, from the Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research in Davos, who analysed the records. ”I don’t believe we will see the kind of snow conditions we have experienced in past decades,” he said.

2014 : the global warming theory-obsessed New York Times touted “The End of Snow?”…

The truth is, it is too late for all of that. Greening the ski industry is commendable, but it isn’t nearly enough. Nothing besides a national policy shift on how we create and consume energy will keep our mountains white in the winter — and slow global warming to a safe level. screenhunter_314-feb-07-11-00

This is no longer a scientific debate. It is scientific fact. The greatest fear of most climate scientists is continued complacency that leads to a series of natural climatic feedbacks…”

(Climatism bolds)

The End of Snow? – The New York Times

2017 : The Age’s resident global warming catastrophist Peter Hannam signalled the end of snow…

Australia’s ski resorts face the prospect of a long downhill run as a warming climate reduces snow depth, cover and duration. The industry’s ability to create artificial snow will also be challenged, scientists say.

Snowy retreat: Climate change puts Australia’s ski industry on a downhill slope | The AGE

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A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that resorts could lose a quarter of their snow within 15 years…

“For the first time, they realised that their attention should be directed to a common enemy,” says Andrew Fairley, head of the Alpine Resorts Co-ordinating Council, which advises the State Government and oversees the management of Victoria’s six snow resorts. “And that enemy is climate change.”

Like those who rely on the Great Barrier Reef, the Australian ski industry sees itself as a frontline victim of global warming. A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that the resorts could lose a quarter of their snow in 15 years, and half by 2050. The worst case was a 96 per cent loss of snow by mid-century.

Icons under threat: The Alps – General – In Depth – theage.com.au

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CSIRO – Simulations of future snow conditions in the Australian alpine regions

Conclusion:

The low impact scenario for 2020 has a minor impact on snow conditions. Average season lengths are reduced by around five days. Reductions in peak depths are usually less than 10%, but can be larger at lower sites (e.g. Mt Baw Baw and Wellington High Plains).

The high impact scenario for 2020 leads to reductions of 30-40 days in average season lengths. At higher sites such as Mt Hotham, this can represent reductions in season duration of about 25%, but at lower sites such as Mt Baw Baw the reduction can be more significant (up to 60%)…

We have very high confidence (at least 95%) that the low impact scenarios will be exceeded and the high impact scenarios will not be exceeded.

https://www.climatechange.vic.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0015/73212/TheImpactofClimateChangeonSnowConditions2003.pdf  (Page Not Found – hmm)

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DOES the CSIRO and “97% of all experts” still stand by their snowmageddon predictions? Or is their alarmist sophistry simply more global warming climate change fear-mongering based on dogma and/or overheated UN IPCC and CSIRO climate computer models?

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SNOW DATA

WINTER snow extent is increasing globally as CO2 emissions rise…

Read the rest of this entry »

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HOW @AlGore Built The Global Warming Fraud

“GLOBAL COOLING gained considerable traction with the general public. But then, instead of cooling as long predicted by manmade climate change advocates, the planet started warming again. Something had to be done to rescue the climate change agenda from utter disaster. Enter Al Gore.”

ANOTHER Paul Driessen, must read, masterpiece…

PA Pundits - International

By Paul Driessen ~

Although his science is often seriously wrong, no one can deny that Al Gore has a flare for the dramatic. Speaking about climate change in an October 12 PBS interview, the former vice-president proclaimed, “We have a global emergency.” Referring to the most recent UN climate report, Gore claimed it showed that current global warming “could actually extend to an existential threat to human civilization on this planet as we know it.”

Al Gore’s overblown rhetoric makes no sense, of course. Yet his hyperbolic claims beg the question: How did this all start?

Back in the 1970s, media articles warning of imminent climate change problems began to appear regularly. TIME and Newsweek ran multiple cover stories asserting that oil companies and America’s capitalist life style were causing catastrophic damage to Earth’s climate. They claimed scientists were almost unanimous in their opinion that manmade climate change would…

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ICEBREAKER Encounters Most Difficult Arctic Ice Conditions In 15 Years

The Swedish icebreaker Oden on its way to the North Pole in August 2018. (Photo- Alfred-Wegener-Institut : Mario Hoppmann, meereisportal.de)

The Swedish icebreaker Oden on its way to the North Pole in August 2018. (Photo: Alfred-Wegener-Institut / Mario Hoppmann, meereisportal.de)


Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to 
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC 
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itohan award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.

These facts get little coverage because they don’t sound alarming at all, and for most reporters that means they’re not news. These ‘inconvenient truths’ are nonetheless a helpful reminder that climate change coverage should be taken with a healthy dose of scepticism. – Harry Wilkinson

“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.

•••

Via High North News :

Icebreaker encounters most difficult ice conditions in 15 years

22/08/2018 AV KATHRIN STEPHEN

A Swedish icebreaker on the way to the North Pole has encountered heavy ice conditions and had to stop just before the North Pole.

The Swedish icebreaker Oden embarked to the North Pole from Svalbard last week but encountered difficult ice conditions not seen in one and a half decades.

The captain of the Oden icebreaker described the ice conditions as the most difficult in the past fifteen years.

The pack ice the ship encountered north of 80° was very dense, piled together through a months-long northward ice drift in the Central Arctic Ocean, meereisportal.de reports.

Overall, however, the Arctic’s summer sea ice extent is again very small; the Oden hit the ice edge only at 82°N.

Destination in jeopardy

The dense ice pack left hardly any patches of open water for the ship to navigate between the massive ice floes. The crew and researchers were thus faced with the situation that the North Pole could possibly not be reached.

However, about 200 km before the Pole the situation improved with the Oden encountering younger, thinner ice and tracks of open ice left by a Russian icebreaker plowing the area a few days before.

Massive ice floe blocks North Pole

About four miles away from the North Pole, the Oden eventually had to stop its journey since a massive ice flow on the top of the Pole prevented the onward journey, meereisportal.de reports.
Icebreaker encounters most difficult ice conditions in 15 years – High North News

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MORE real-world evidence that the Arctic is not in a “Death Spiral” or “Screaming” and certainly not “Ice-Free”, as the mainstream media and activist climate ‘scientists’ like NSIDC director Mark Serreze have promised you for years.

MARK SERREZE – “The Arctic is screaming”:

“ICE-FREE” Arctic in 2008:

ARCTIC “Death Spiral”:

ARCTIC ICE “Death Spiral” | National Geographic

ARCTIC ICE “Death Spiral” | National Geographic

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BACK IN THE REAL WORLD

DATA from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) record indicates how the Swedish icebreaker – Oden – found itself struggling in the stubborn, thick summer sea-ice that is apparently “screaming” and “Ice-Free” by now.

2.0 – 3.0 metre-thick sea ice covers a vast extent of the Arctic basin:

NO trend in Arctic sea-ice volume/thickness over the past decade. Though, there’s been a big build up in 2018 of 2.0-3.0 meter thick, multi-year sea ice that has stymied Oden’s travels:

TOTAL ice loss since the winter peak, has been the lowest in the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) record:

ARCTIC temps were below the average nearly everyday during the summer melt season:

THERE has been no trend in Arctic sea ice extent over the last 12 years:

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WITH the Arctic in good shape, and certainly no sign of imminent meltdown at either pole, it’s hard to see the “climate crisis” that the mainstream media, activist ‘scientists’ and politicians insist is upon us.

EVEN harder to see how policy makers can justify deindustrialisation of the Western world through draconian, UN climate Paris-policies based on overheated UN climate models, fear, propaganda, and not observed reality.

DO politicians even look at empirical data or “the science” anymore? Or does the wicked truth expose their scam, hindering globalist intentions?

DON’T expect an apology or correction from any of these interest groups, now heavily invested in climate alarm, anytime soon.

TOO many jobs, reputations and egos are now at stake. And, access to unlimited “Save The Planet” taxpayer trillions, immune to oversight.

••• Read the rest of this entry »


ANOTHER Dud Climate Change Prediction: Record Grain Harvest For Australian Farmers

OBAMA Food Crisis Climate Fear Mongering CLIMATISM

CLIMATE Propagandists Have Been Using The Same Apocalyptic Language For Decades – Irrespective of Temperature – To Drive Their Agenda And Scare You Into Belief | Climatism


Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to 
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC 
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itohan award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.

“It is a blatant lie put forth in the media that makes it seem there is only a fringe of 
scientists who don’t buy into anthropogenic global warming.” – U.S Government
Atmospheric Scientist Stanley B. Goldenberg of the Hurricane Research Division of
NOAA.

“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.

•••

WHERE are the global warming climate change catastrophists now? Global warming is giving us record crops:

Record grain harvest potential for Western Australian farmers as prices spike on east coast drought

On the back of nine-year-high prices, grain farmers in Western Australia are hoping a mild spring will allow them to have one of their biggest and most profitable harvests in the state’s history.

The shining light of grain production for WA this year is the thriving northern wheatbelt where growers say crops show potential to be the best they have ever grown.

However, the weather over the coming weeks is crucial to determine how much grain they produce.

Brady Green farms 8,900 hectares of wheat, lupins, barley, and canola near Yuna in the Chapman Valley, about 40 kilometres north-east of Geraldton.

He said he needed mild temperatures and some rain over the coming weeks as crops began flowering and filling grain.

“All our indicators show that our prices are strong, our yields should be strong,” Mr Green said.

Chapman Valley farmer Brady Green, with his dog Charlie, says weather over the coming weeks is critical. (ABC Rural - Jo Prendergast)

Chapman Valley farmer Brady Green, with his dog Charlie, says weather over the coming weeks is critical. (ABC Rural – Jo Prendergast)

Record harvest potential

The Grain Industry Association of Western Australia (GIWA) has conservatively estimated the state’s crop production at 15.5 million tonnes: 9.9 million of that as wheat, 3.5 barley, and 1.2 million of canola.

GIWA crop report author Michael Lamond said that figure could easily grow.

Record grain harvest potential for Western Australian farmers as prices spike on east coast drought – ABC Rural – ABC News

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Global warming is a licence to tell lies

FORMER President Barack Hussein Obama… Read the rest of this entry »


DEATH SPIRAL DENIED : No Change In Arctic Sea-Ice Extent Or Volume Over The Past 12 Years


ARCTIC

AS the annual Arctic melt season comes to a close, hopes of an “Ice-free” Arctic for “Death Spiral” enthusiasts are once again denied as sea-ice remains stubbornly stable for the twelfth year in a row.

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GREENLAND

GREENLAND, also not cooperating with climate model predictions or the prognostications of climate catastrophists.

via Real Science :

Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper.

George Orwell

Summer is over, and Greenland’s surface has gained 510 billion tons of ice over the past year – about 40% above normal.  The surface mass budget is snow/ice accumulation minus melt.  It does not include ice loss caused by glaciers flowing to the sea, which is very difficult to measure, and is driven by processes which have little to do with the current climate.

 

Last year Greenland gained a little more ice, about 50% above normal.

 

The trajectories were very different last year and this year, but the final result was about the same.

2018-08-31052405_shadow-1024x543

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (2017/18)

 

Lining the two graphs up side by side,   you can see the more than one trillion tons of ice which Greenland’s surface has gained over the past two years.

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget- DMI

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI (Split)

 

Last year, the Danish Meteorological Institute reported on the gain in ice, and blamed it on Hurricane Nicole. I wonder what their excuse will be this year?

 

Even NOAA begrudgingly admitted that the huge ice gain was a “small increase.”

 

Meanwhile, the usual fraudsters in the press continue to report Greenland is melting and we are all about to die.

Greenland Gains Huge Amounts Of Ice For The Second Year In A Row | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

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THE ARCTIC, yet another icon of global warming climate change doom, set to join the graveyard of alarmist tosh.

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SEE also :

Read the rest of this entry »


ARCTIC FAKE NEWS ON STEROIDS : ‘Next Year Or The Year After, The Arctic Will Be Free Of Ice’ (@Guardian 2016)

GUARDIAN ARCTIC FAKE NEWS.png


TWO years ago today, The Guardian proclaimed, under the ‘expert’ tutelage of professional Arctic alarmist ‘Professor’ Peter Wadhams, that ‘Next year or the year after, the Arctic will be free of ice’… 

Peter Wadhams has spent his career in the Arctic, making more than 50 trips there, some in submarines under the polar ice. He is credited with being one of the first scientists to show that the thick icecap that once covered the Arctic ocean was beginning to thin and shrink. He was director of the Scott Polar Institute in Cambridge from 1987 to 1992 and professor of ocean physics at Cambridge since 2001. His book, A Farewell to Ice, tells the story of his unravelling of this alarming trend and describes what the consequences for our planet will be if Arctic ice continues to disappear at its current rate.

You have said on several occasions that summer Arctic sea ice would disappear by the middle of this decade. It hasn’t. Are you being alarmist?
No. There is a clear trend down to zero for summer cover. However, each year chance events can give a boost to ice cover or take some away. The overall trend is a very strong downward one, however. Most people expect this year will see a record low in the Arctic’s summer sea-ice cover. Next year or the year after that, I think it will be free of ice in summer and by that I mean the central Arctic will be ice-free. You will be able to cross over the north pole by ship. There will still be about a million square kilometres of ice in the Arctic in summer but it will be packed into various nooks and crannies along the Northwest Passage and along bits of the Canadian coastline. Ice-free means the central basin of the Arctic will be ice-free and I think that that is going to happen in summer 2017 or 2018.

‘Next year or the year after, the Arctic will be free of ice’ | Environment | The Guardian

WADHAMS’ 2016 prediction has been proven “alarmist” by none other than Mother Nature, in the worst possible kind of way…

AT the time of Wadhams’ claim, in August 2016, Arctic sea-ice volume was approximately 5 million square kilometres:

HE claimed in 2016 that by 2017 or 2018 There will still be about a million square kilometres of ice in the Arctic in summer”.

EXACTLY two years later, Arctic sea-ice volume has grown to approximately 7 million square kilometres to date:

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AUGUST 2018 SEA-ICE EXTENT

6 million kilometers squared

WADHAMS’ prediction out by only 5 million square kilometres!

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ARCTIC sea-ice volume has grown from 5 million square kilometres in August 2016 to 7 million square kilometres as of 20th August 2018:

MASSIVE growth in both sea-ice volume and thickness despite the howling and screams of Arctic alarmists and record and rising CO2 emissions!

ARCTIC-2016-2018-CLIMATISM

DMI : 2016 // 2018

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THERE has been a massive expansion in multi-year, thick summer sea-ice over the past decade:

PURPLE (2008) = 0.1 – 1.0 metre thick sea-ice

GREEN (2018) = 2.0 – 3.0 metre thick sea-ice

ARCTIC-2008-2018-CLIMATISM

DMI : 2008 // 2018

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WADHAMS has about as much credibility as climate charlatan and fellow Arctic alarmist Tim Flannery who also assured us that we will “see an ice-free North Pole in 2018” :

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THEY are not alone.

MOST of the fake-news-mainstream-media, grant-driven alarmist climate ‘scientists’ and “97%” of those esteemed ‘scientific’ institutions ALL promised you an “ice-free” Arctic by now, in order to push their fraudulent global warming climate change agenda:

Read the rest of this entry »


DISGRACE : Shameless Link Between Suicide And Climate Change, Circulating The Mainstream Media’s Echo Chamber

THE Death of Mainstream Media - Suicide blog CLIMATISM.png


SINCE Climatism reported on the lazy and disrespectful link between suicide and climate change two days ago, a study has now surfaced out of the warmist, Nature Climate Change…

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NOT surprisingly, the mainstream media has jumped all over this single study like a pack of hungry wolves, in a blatant attempt to link their emotionally-charged climate change cause with the genuinely emotional and tragic issue of suicide.

“The study, published today in the journal Nature Climate Change, concluded that projected temperature increases over the next few decades could lead to an additional 21,000 suicides in the United States and Mexico by 2050.”

Warming climate will likely boost suicide rates worldwide | Berkeley News

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YET another study using the widely criticised UN IPCC CMIP5 climate models that do not accord with the stubborn observed reality of the current and inconvenient ~20 year global warming “pause”

CURRENT UN CMIP5 CLIMATE MODEL PREDICTIONS Vs TEMPS

See : 100% Of Climate Models Prove that 97% of Climate Scientists Were Wrong! | Climatism

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THE STUDY

PUBLISHED yesterday in the warmist journal, Nature climate change

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THE studies “could, maybe, might” findings are based on the highest emissions scenario, RCP8.5, pushed out to the arbitrary, unaccountable and ‘sciencey’ date of 2050…

“We project that unmitigated climate change (RCP8.5) could result in a combined 9–40 thousand additional suicides (95% confidence interval) across the United States and Mexico by 2050, representing a change in suicide rates comparable to the estimated impact of economic recessions, suicide prevention programmes or gun restriction laws.”

THE study also took into account seasonal variation, levels of poverty, the news of celebrity suicides and even depressive social media commentary that can lead to more death…

“Analysis of depressive language in >600 million social media updates further suggests that mental well-being deteriorates during warmer periods.”

Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico | Nature Climate Change

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THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA ECHO CHAMBER…

WHAT level of responsibility is the mainstream media itself willing to accept for stoking “global warming” fears – flogging every heatwave or extreme weather event leading to the collective mass hysteria played out on social media?

Read the rest of this entry »