COGNITIVE BIAS : Climate Change Alarmists Refuse To Accept ‘The Science’ That Proves Extreme Weather Events Are NOT Increasing

Posted: March 18, 2019 | Author: Jamie Spry | Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmism uncovered, Alarmist media, Alarmist Predictions, BIG Government, Climate Alarmism, Climate History, Climatism, Cyclones, Empirical Evidence, Extreme Weather, Fact Check, Fake News, Fires, Floods, Government Grants/Funding, Green Agenda, Green New Deal, Hurricanes, IPCC, Propaganda, Pseudo-Science, Science, Sea Level Rise | Tags: Agitprop, Alarmism Exposed, Climate Change, Climate Change Alarmism, Climatism, Cognitive Bias, Cyclones, drought, Empirical Evidence, Extreme weather, floods, Fox News, Global Warming, Global Warming Alarmism, Hurricanes, Hysteria, IPCC, Mainstream media, Patrick Moore, propaganda, sea level rise, Tornadoes, UN, UN IPCC |1 Comment

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“WHEN the heart rules the head,
passion takes over reason.”
– Ortega y Gasset

“IT would not be impossible to prove with sufficient repetition and a psychological understanding of the people concerned that a square is in fact a circle. They are mere words, and words can be molded until they clothe ideas and disguise.”
― Joseph Goebbels

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THE widely held belief that ‘Extreme Weather’ has become worse, as a result of man-made carbon dioxide emissions, is a tribute to the success of climate change propaganda pushed relentlessly by CO2-centric politicians and compliant mainstream media.

PROMOTING Extreme Weather is specifically designed to shift public opinion about the purported seriousness of human-induced global warming climate change, through the use of emotional imagery and dire prognostications in order for draconian and costly climate policy to be accepted and implemented with as little resistance as possible from the taxpaying public.

COGNITIVE BIAS fuelled by an era of mass hysteria, delusion, groupthink and panic has helped foster dark and far-fetched clichés of a current “climate crisis”, that is an “existential threat” which will “end civilisation by 2030”.

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THANKS to the dramatic rise in personal weather recording devices – smart phones and CCTV – the sampling rate (what you see or hear directly) of Extreme Weather events, broadcast via social and mainstream media, has risen dramatically in recent years.

BUT, have actual Extreme Weather events increased in frequency or intensity? In particular, over long-term ‘climate’ scales?

THE short answer is a big fat NO! Extreme Weather events have not increased in frequency or intensity as carbon dioxide emissions have increased. In many cases the exact opposite is occurring.

THIS ‘inconvenient’ fact has been proven by empirical data and confirmed by the last two (warmist) U.N. IPCC reports on Extreme Weather: SREX (AR5) 2013 report and the latest SR15 report released August, 2018:

• SORRY ALARMISTS : The IPCC Once Again Reports Extreme Weather Events Have Not Increased | Climatism (SR15 2018)
• No steel roof required: IPCC dials back the fear of extreme weather | Climatism (SREX AR5 2013)

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EXTREME WEATHER METRICS

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DROUGHT

UN IPCC : “Low confidence in the sign of drought trends since 1950 at global scale…likely to be trends in some regions of the world, including increases in drought in the Mediterranean and W Africa & decreases in droughts in central N America & NW Australia” – UN IPCC SR15 (2018)

GLOBAL TREND

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NO historical trend in U.S. drought as CO₂ rises :

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1934 : WHEN CO₂ WAS AT ‘SAFE’ LEVELS

IN 1934, when CO₂ was at ‘safe’ levels, severe to extreme drought covered around 80% of the entire U.S. Such conditions endured for most of the decade known as the “Dust Bowl” era :

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400 PPM ‘DANGEROUS’ CO₂

CURRENT U.S. drought conditions with CO₂ at ‘dangerous’ levels (400PPM) :

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CALIFORNIA’s “PERMANENT DROUGHT” UPDATE

THANKS to superstitious climate kiddies wagging school, in just 3 years, California went from 97% in drought to just 1% :

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WHEN CO₂ was at ‘safe’ levels, droughts in California lasted for 200 years :

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FLOODS

“There is low confidence due to limited evidence, however, that anthropogenic climate change has affected the frequency and the magnitude of floods.” – UN IPCC SR15 (2018)

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HEATWAVES

ACCORDING to the EPA, the low-CO2 1930s had (by far) the worst heatwaves in US history :

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WHEN CO₂ was at ‘safe levels’, Adelaide’s temperature climbed above 100°F, six days in a row.

ADELAIDE – March, 1940 :

1. Friday  –  24°C (74.4F)
2. Saturday  –  24°C (75.7F)
3. Sunday  –  28°C (81.7F)
4. Monday  –  34°C (93.5F)
5. Tuesday  –  31°C (88.4F)
6. Wednesday  –  35°C (94.9F)
7. Thursday  –  40°C (103.9F)
8. Friday  –  42°C (107.7F)
9. Saturday  –  43°C (110.1F)
10. Sunday  –  42°C (108.3F)
11. Monday  –  42°C (107.9F)
12. Tuesday  –  40°C (103.6F)

 

RECORD MARCH HEAT WAVE : Six Consecutive Days Above 100°F | Climatism

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GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONES

“Numerous studies towards and beyond AR5 have reported a decreasing trend
in the global number of tropical cyclones and/or the globally accumulated cyclonic energy”– UN IPCC SR15 (2018)

“There is only low confidence regarding changes in global tropical cyclone numbers under global warming over the last four decades.” – UN IPCC SR15 (2018)

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AUSTRALIAN TROPICAL CYCLONES

AUSTRALIAN tropical cyclones are declining in both intensity and frequency as CO₂ rises :

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HURRICANES

GLOBAL Hurricanes are declining in both frequency and intensity as CO₂ increases :

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CAT 3+ U.S. Landfalling Hurricanes (per decade) declining rapidly as CO₂ emissions rise :

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FLORIDA Major Hurricane Strikes – Still No Trend :

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TORNADOES

2018 was one of the least active US tornado years on record, despite record and rising CO₂ emissions.

AS of October, a new record low tornado count was set. The cumulative total for 2018 is 759; the previous lowest number of tornadoes for this date was 761. The SPC has records extending back 65 years.

This lack of tornadic storms in recent years should also correlate with lesser severe thunderstorm activity in general in the U.S., since the conditions which produce large hail and damaging winds are generally the same as are required for tornadoes (strong instability, plentiful moisture, and wind shear). – Roy Spencer PhD

NB// The US represents about 75 percent of the world’s recorded tornadoes.

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THE frequency of strong to violent tornadoes is also decreasing :

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THE trend is clearly down across the board. Yet why are no mainstream journalists curious about this?

NB// IPCC SR15 “Extreme Weather” report made no mention of Tornadoes. Nor, the mainstream media!

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GLOBAL WEATHER DISASTERS / LOSSES

GLOBAL weather disasters/losses as a percentage of global GDP are declining as CO₂  emissions rise.

THROUGH 7 months of 2018 weather disasters as % GDP were on record (low) pace…

NB// LOSS data does not include the two big CAT4’s that struck the US in 2018 – Florence (Sep) and Michael (Oct).

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CONCLUSION

BIAS BY OMISSION

IN my opinion, the worst form of propaganda is ‘bias by omission’ – information and facts that you are ‘not’ told about, in order to keep the truth from you.

THE mainstream media has not and will not report the facts on “Extreme Weather”, as clearly laid out in the science and data above, because such facts are obviously extremely ‘inconvenient’ to their “catastrophic” man-made global warming narrative.

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VITAL information central to the potential seriousness of climate change – Extreme Weather – has been purposely omitted by the mainstream media and replaced by emotions, alarmism and exaggerations in order to fit the climate-calamity narrative designed to scare you into belief and obedience.

THIS is why the global warming climate change debate has become so dangerously deceptive and dishonest. Climate truths hidden from you and replaced with a narrative far more acceptable – Hollywood-style climate hysteria based on alarmism, increased sampling rates and overheated, CO2-centric climate models that do not accord with observed reality.

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UPDATE

DID not see either of these instructive graphs painted on a placards at any of the kiddie climate rallies last Friday. Guess they don’t fit their ‘catastrophic’ climate narrative…

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PERHAPS the climate kids would have been wise to read and learn the words of H.L. Mencken, before being forced out by their parents and teachers to act as standard bearers of new radical eco-socialism, protected by ‘innocence’ and lack of age :

“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary. The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule it.” – H.L. Mencken

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RELATED :

• SORRY ALARMISTS : The IPCC Once Again Reports Extreme Weather Events Have Not Increased | Climatism
• CLIMATISM : 2019 State Of The Climate Report | Climatism
• EXTREME WEATHER Expert: “World Is Presently In An Era Of Unusually Low Weather Disasters” | Climatism
• Major hurricane landfall drought continues: 4001 days and counting in updated Pielke graph | Climatism
• OPEN Letter To The Bureau Of Meteorology – Tropical Cyclone Trends | Climatism

BUSHFIRES :

• VICTORIAN BUSHFIRES : A History Lesson For Climate Change Ambulance Chasers @Melissa4Durack | Climatism
• BLACK THURSDAY 168 Years Ago : Bushfires Burn 5 Million Hectares or A Quarter Of Victoria | Climatism
• CALIFORNIA Climate Ambulance Chasers | Climatism

HEATWAVES :

• SHOCK News 1923 : ‘Meteorological Office Exists As A Corrective To Scare Mongering And Shameless Prophecy’ | Climatism
• January 1908 : Adelaide’s Temperature Rose Above 38°C Fourteen Times | Climatism
• RECORD MARCH HEAT WAVE : Six Consecutive Days Above 100°F | Climatism

DROUGHT :

• TOP 10 Climate Change Alarmist Myths Unearthed : #1 DROUGHT | Climatism
• OPEN Letter To The Bureau Of Meteorology : Climate Extremes – The “Federation Drought” 1895-1902 | Climatism

SEA LEVELS :

• PANIC DENIED : Sea Levels In And Around Sydney Harbour 1886 to 2018 | Climatism
• TOP 10 Climate Change Alarmist Myths Unearthed : #2 SEA LEVEL RISE | Climatism
• PICTORIAL Guide To Sea-Level Rise Alarmism And Observed Reality | Climatism
• THE Guardian Spewing Out More Man-Made Sea Level Rise Vomit | Climatism (Miami)
• CLIMATE “Deniers” Were Right – Island Nation Growing, Not ‘Sinking’ With Sea Level Rise! | Climatism
• WORLD Leading Authority : Climate and Sea Level Science Is A “Quasi Religion” Hijacked By An Activist Agenda | Climatism
• Special Report on Sea Level Rise | Climate Etc.

CLIMATISM Hot Links :

• JAPAN ACKNOWLEDGES THE GLOBAL WARMING ‘PAUSE’ : Sanctions 35 New Coal Power Plants Added To The 100 Currently Operational | Climatism
• DRACONIAN UN CLIMATE AGENDA EXPOSED : ‘Global Warming Fears Are A Tool For Political and Economic Change…It Has Nothing To Do With The Actual Climate’ | Climatism
• METHANE Mendacity : Cows, Farts And New Green Lies | Climatism
• Carbon Dioxide ‘Pollution’ On Vacation In Hawaii | Climatism
• BREAKING : Carbon Dioxide Causes Both Record Hot And Record Cold | Climatism
• BILL GATES Slams Unreliable Wind & Solar: ‘Let’s Quit Jerking Around With Renewables & Batteries’ | Climatism
• THE Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming Scam | Climatism
• CLIMATE DUD-PREDICTIONS : ‘Ice-Free’ Arctic Prophesies By The ‘97% Consensus’ And Compliant Mainstream Media | Climatism
• SNOW : Setting The Record Straight | Climatism
• Shock news : The UN’s Real Agenda Is A New World Order Under Its Control | Climatism
• UN Climate Chief Says Communism Is Best To Fight Global Warming | Climatism

STATE Of The Climate Report :

• CLIMATISM : 2019 State Of The Climate Report | Climatism

IPCC Extreme Weather Report 2018 SR15 :

• SORRY ALARMISTS : The IPCC Once Again Reports Extreme Weather Events Have Not Increased | Climatism

TEMPERATURE Related :

• JAPAN ACKNOWLEDGES THE GLOBAL WARMING ‘PAUSE’ : Sanctions 35 New Coal Power Plants Added To The 100 Currently Operational | Climatism
• THE Great Global Warming “Pause” | Climatism
• GLOBAL Temperature Drops By 0.4°C In Three Years | Climatism
• PEER-REVIEWED SCIENCE : The Medieval Warm Period Was Indeed Global And Warmer Than Today | Climatism
• THE SUN : Climate Control Knob, Enemy Of The Climate Cult | Climatism
• THE SUN : Climate Changer, Climate Driver, Climate Disruptor | Climatism

ORIGINS Of The Global Warming Scam :

• DRACONIAN UN CLIMATE AGENDA EXPOSED : ‘Global Warming Fears Are A Tool For Political and Economic Change…It Has Nothing To Do With The Actual Climate’ | Climatism
• THE Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming Scam | Climatism
• CLIMATE CHANGE : The Unsettled Science Of “Settled” Science | Climatism
• FATHER Of The 2°C Climate Target Admits Number Is Fabricated : ‘Two degrees is not a magical limit; it’s clearly a political goal’ | Climatism
• TIM FLANNERY – Professor of Dud Predictions and Climate Falsehoods | Climatism
• THE Mind-blowing Costs Of Global Warming Hysteria | Climatism
• THE Orwellian Era Of @NASA Climate Pseudoscience | Climatism
• WESTERN Nations, Driven By A Global Agenda Of Climate Alarmism, Are Destroying Their Industries With Carbon Taxes And Promotion Of Expensive, Intermittent Green Energy | Climatism
• TOMORROW’S Grim, Global, Green Dictatorship | Climatism
• CLIMATE CHANGE – The Most Massive Scientific Fraud In Human History | Climatism
• “In Searching For A New Enemy To Unite Us, We Came Up With The Threat Of Global Warming” | Climatism
• The Creator, Fabricator And Proponent Of Global Warming – Maurice Strong | Climatism
• Global Warming Is The Greatest And Most Successful Pseudoscientific Fraud In History | Climatism
• Sustainability is Malthusianism for the 21st Century | Climatism
• THE Climate Change Farce Explained By Two Expert “Scientists” | Climatism
• UN IPCC : Climate “Has Almost Nothing To Do With Environmental Policy.” | Climatism
• UN IPCC : “Long-Term Prediction of Future Climate States Is Not Possible.” | Climatism
• UN IPCC Rewrote Temperature History To Suit Their Political Agenda | Climatism
• 100% Of Climate Models Prove That 97% Of Climate Scientists Were Wrong! | Climatism
• YES! The Climate Changes | Climatism
• OUR Planet Has Enjoyed 10 Warm Periods During The Past 10,000 Years | Climatism
• THE ARCTIC : Ground Zero For Anthropogenic Hubris And Climate Change Hysteria | Climatism

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