Claims Of Increasing Tornado Outbreaks Don’t Hold WaterPosted: December 4, 2016
How is it that Paul Homewood, armed with an internet connection, a cup of coffee and a few hours can destroy a “scientific” study funded with other people’s money, over hundreds of hours, published by a “scientific” article for hundreds of thousands of dollars?
Another classic example of the “climate change” scam in action.
By Paul Homewood
Who will rid me of this junk science?
The latest attempt to prove that tornadoes are becoming more extreme:
Tornadoes and severe thunderstorms kill people and damage property every year. Estimated U.S. insured losses due to severe thunderstorms in the first half of 2016 were 8.5 billion USD. The largest U.S. impacts of tornadoes result from tornado outbreaks, which are sequences of tornadoes that occur in close succession. Here, using extreme value analysis, we find that the frequency of U.S. outbreaks with many tornadoes is increasing and is increasing faster for more extreme outbreaks. We model this behavior by extreme value distributions with parameters that are linear functions of time or of some indicators of multidecadal climatic variability. Extreme meteorological environments associated with severe thunderstorms show consistent upward trends, but the trends do not resemble those currently expected to result from global warming.
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