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The scientific method is at work on the USHCN temperature data set

Sceptics “eat crow” ~ Science, discovery, truth, integrity and reason the big winners.

Bravo Mr Watts…and Mr Heller.

Will the Global Warming zealotry; NASA, NOAA, USHCN, Gavin, Mosher et al come to the table, or will the usual dose of denial, obfuscation and pal-reviewed-reasoning win the day?

Watts Up With That?

Temperature is such a simple finite thing. It is amazing how complex people can make it.

commenter and friend of WUWT, ossqss at Judith Curry’s blog

Sometimes, you can believe you are entirely right while simultaneously believing that you’ve done due diligence. That’s what confirmation bias is all about. In this case, a whole bunch of people, including me, got a severe case of it.

I’m talking about the claim made by Steve Goddard that 40% of the USHCN data is “fabricated”. which I and few other people thought was clearly wrong.

Dr. Judith Curry and I have been conversing a lot via email over the past two days, and she has written an illuminating essay that explores the issue raised by Goddard and the sociology going on. See her essay:

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NOAA’s “Hottest Month” Claims Are Unscientific

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/10921695/May-was-the-hottest-month-ever-for-Earth.html

It’s not that I’m particularly prescient, but today’s headlines, prompted by the latest NOAA press release, rather substantiates the point I was making last week.

The Telegraph (and no doubt many other outlets) report:

Driven by exceptionally warm ocean waters, Earth smashed a record for heat in May and is likely to keep on breaking high temperature marks, experts have said.

May’s average temperature on Earth of 15.54 degrees Celsius was the warmest since records began in 1880, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

So let’s recap:

NOAA’s own figures give an error margin for their figures of +/- 0.07C. When this is allowed for, May 2014 statistically joins an eight-way tie as the hottest May, all since 1998. The other years being:

1998, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2010, 2012, and 2013.

Statistically, their claim of the “hottest month” does not hold water.

We…

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